[Wigington]

YTD 59-42

Looking at 4 games on the board today. I am trying to limit my plays throughout the week and not take so much action just because there are a multitude of games. I have been killed the past week doing such. Seeing how many games are on the board for Saturday, 4 seems like a very small number.

Game #1

Syracuse (89.9) @ Villanova (94.3)

Syracuse

Record: 15-3
Power Rating: 89.9
Ranking: 20
1-2v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
7-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (11-2): 84.1 (61)
0-1v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
5-0v #101-200
5-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (2-0): 106.3 (3)
1-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332

Villanova

Record: 12-2
Power Rating: 94.3
Ranking: 8
0-2v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (5-1): 86.5 (42)0-1v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (4-1): 98.9 (9)
0-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
1-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332


This looks too be one of the more popular games amongst the public with two ranked teams going head to head. I believe this line is a bit inflated going against a very good Orange squad. Lets take a look at Villanova's Home Games this year.

W Seton Hall 9pts
L West Virginia 4 pts
W LaSalle 41 pts
W Oklahoma 11 pts
W Lehigh 23 pts
W Stony Brook 43 pts

Villanova has 2 quality wins against #99 Seton Hall and #57 Oklahoma. Their toughest competition to date has both been on the road against #19 West Virginia and #3 Texas, where they lost both events.(These rankings come from Mike Greenfield's Site) Now lets take a look at Orangemen's Road Games.

W Notre Dame 6 pts
W Cincinatti 19 pts

Only 2 road games thus far for Syracuse both being against their toughest competition and one game was against Florida losing by 5 on a neutral court. Syracuse matches up well against Nova and they have a chance to pull the upset here, even though it would be a tall order on the road it wouldn't suprise me as Nova 0-2 vs #1-25 ranked teams. This line has already dropped from 9.5 to 8.5 & 8 @ Pinnacle with 64% on Nova. I think this game could be a close one, an up and down type of game is what I expect and 8 points seems like a bit too much for this type of game. Seeing as Syracuse has pulled off the W the last 2 times these teams have met, it would not be a bad investment to make a small play on Syracuse ML as well.

Syracuse +8
Syracuse ML

Game #2

Florida (100.0) @ Tennessee (89.7)

Florida

Record: 17-0
Power Rating: 100.0
Ranking: 2
1-0v #1-25
3-0v #26-50
4-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
7-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (12-0): 95.8 (6)
0-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
7-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (3-0): 103.4 (5)
0-0v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332

Tennessee


Record: 11-3
Power Rating: 89.7
Ranking: 211-2v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
3-1v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (8-0): 90.3 (20)
0-0v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
2-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (2-2): 94.7 (12)
1-2v #1-25
0-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332

I believe this game could be one of the bigger public games. There are a lot of them, but Florida the #2 undefeated team in the nation laying 1 point on the road seems too easy. Lets take a look at Florida's Road Games.

W Providence 10 pts
W Miami 10 pts
W Georgia 18 pts

This game will be a big test for both teams as Florida is still undefeated and Tennessee is undefeated at home. Miami FL has been their toughest competition on the road, but Florida has played some good teams like Wake Forest & Syracuse on neutral courts. Looking back on the Miami FL game. This game was a very tight game until the end when Miami loked to collapse. The 10 point Florida win doesn't explain that looking upon the final score.

Now for Tennessee's Home Games.

W E. Tenn St 23 pts
W UL Lafayette 7 pts
W EKU 34 pts
W Appalachian 8 pts
W Alabama A&M 25 pts
W Lippscomb 11 pts
W S. Alabama 18 pts
W Georgia 13 pts

Tennessee's only quality home wins were against S. Alabama & Georgia, but as far as momentum goes I see an edge for Tennesse here. The last real cmpetitive game for Florida was 7 games ago on 12/22/05 against Miami FL. Since that game here are the teams Florida has played.

#221 Florida A&M
#331 Morgan St
#71 Georgia
#97 Mississippi
#88 Auburn
#332 Savannah St

I guess you could say Georgia & Auburn were good competition, even though the score won't indicate it, but lets include Georgia as both squads have played this team.

Tennessee's Last 4 Games

#77 S. Carolina
#71 Georgia
#22 LSU
#4 Memphis

The way I see it is Florida has been playing some real poor competition and Tennessee has been playing tougher opponnents as of late and now Florida seems to be their biggest challenge so far, but now Tennessee has the home court. Home court advantage is so crucial in every game, but especially in games that have so much riding on them as this one does. Tennessee can get hot from begind the arch and if they do, which is very possible at home, they could pull off the upset. Looking upon the last 3 meetings between these 2 teams Tennessee has won 2 out of 3 SU. Florida might have a wake up call early in the game as them playing easier competition might not have them up to par on the road. We have all seen how Tennessee has been beating a very good Texas squad on the road. The highest I have seen this line is Florida -1.5 and oa little over 1,000 bets have been placed already and 81% of those bets are on Florida. I am hoping this line will be pushed up around 2 or 3 before tipoff, as I will be waiting to get the highest number. This seems like a great time to fade the public. I do want to say that in no way am I saying that fading the public is how to make money, because I have seen a lot of newbies here discussing this "system." I like Tennessee in this matchup and it just so happens that the Gators will be a heavy public favorite.

Tennessee +


I think I am going to limit myself to 3 games to start out with for Saturday. I was looking at the Pitt/St John's, but I feel it could go either way.

Game #3

Boston College (87.0) @ Miami FL (85.2)

Boston College

Record: 12-4
Power Rating: 87.0
Ranking: 290-2v #1-25
1-1v #26-50
2-1v #51-100
6-0v #101-200
3-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (7-1): 87.9 (31)
0-1v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
1-0v #51-100
3-0v #101-200
2-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (3-2): 85.7 (41)0-0v #1-25
0-1v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
1-0v #201-332

Miami FL

Record: 11-6
Power Rating: 85.2
Ranking: 42
0-3v #1-25
3-2v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
4-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-332

Home Ratings (8-1): 90.6 (19)
0-1v #1-25
2-0v #26-50
0-0v #51-100
2-0v #101-200
4-0v #201-332

Away Ratings (1-3): 85.5 (43)
0-2v #1-25
1-0v #26-50
0-1v #51-100
0-0v #101-200
0-0v #201-332

I am really liking this matchup because Boston College seemed to just roll anyone they played, but then they had dissappointing losses to Georgia Tech & Maryland. Lets take a look at BC's Road history this year.

L Maryland 2 pts
W Duquesne 12 pts
W Rhode Island 22 pts
L Georgia Tech 2 pts
W Holy Cross 10 pts

Miami FL is favored by 1.5 points and I will get into that in a minute, but first I wanna take a look at the competition Miami has played at home.

W Morgan St 32 pts
W NC AT&T 25 pts
W Birmingham 27 pts
W Wofford 31 pts
L Florida 10 pts
W Stetson 9 pts
W Sacred Heart 6 pts
W Maryland 14 pts
W Clemson 24 pts

I know it is still early, but there has to have been a lot of money already being put on Boston College because they started out as a 1.5 point underdog and now they are a 1 point favorite. This line has shifted 2.5 points in the opposite direction with 85% on Miami FL! I am thinking the public is all over Miami at home due to their double digit wins against Maryland & Clemson. It is hard to understand how BC lost to Maryland and Georgia Tech even on the road, but every team has a letdown and I am assuming that was their wakeup call. Maryland has had one of the roughest starts in a while for their school and I wouldn't claim Miami's win over them as something spectacular. The last 7 meetings BC has won SU and I expect no different tommorrow. This game should be a close one, but I expect BC to pull this game out as they have the past 7 times.

Boston College -1

[QuickNick]

Charles, BOL today Bro and I have to say thank you, I use your system last night and got lucky and hit a 4-team parlay with the last $5 buck that I won in the account. Now I am going to bet straight and see what I can do. I bet 3 games to start and I am hoping to hit at least 2 of 3 and if I can hit all 3 that would be icying on the cake THANKS AGAIN, for showing me how to do your system. I don't think I have it down pat, but, hoping to get there!!!!

[Wigington]

Glad it worked for you!

[Wigington]

Cancelling Tenn

[Wigington]

Well I wish I would have stuck with me Tennessee play, a biddy of mine talked me out of it. Lesson learned. Back to the drawing board.

YTD 60-43