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| | #1 (permalink) |
| Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island
Posts: 15,068
| Virginia Tech waxed North Carolina last year 30-3 in Blacksburg, outrushing Tar Heels 277-36 and holding UNC to 15-41/160 thru the air. Carolina covered eight of last 10 after loss; they lost last week at home to Rutgers 21-16, as Knights ran ball for 223 yards so rush defense still a problem. Tech covered 12 of last 18 after a win, seven of last nine league road games and seven of nine as a road favorite. Rutgers led 27-7 at Illinois last year, but lost 33-30 in OT, one of two Illini wins in '05; Knights gained 517 yards in disappointing loss, but they still made bowl, and won at UNC last week, so lot of momentum for Rutgers' home opener- they're 6-11 vs spread in last 17 home openers, and 2-7 vs the spread in game after last nine wins. Illinois is 20-10 vs spread after win, but 3-11 in last 14 tries as road dog. Rutgers 4-5 as home favorite under Schiano. NC State completed just 7-13/44 passing last week, so concerns over Wolfpack offense still exist; they're 4-12 vs spread in game after their last 16 wins, and just 3-10 vs spread in last 13 tries as home favorite. Akron covered four of last six as road dog; they held Penn State to 76 rushing yards last week, in 34-16 loss. One good thing for State; they had only three penalties last week. Thought Schaeffer did enough to get Ole Miss home with a win last week, but 7-16/99 passing ain't going to do it on road. Rebs just 7-15 vs spread in last 22 non-SEC games, but are 6-4 in last ten tries as road dog. Their SEC opener is next week. Missouri covered just one of last six after a win, but they're 15-10 vs the spread after a win (they drilled I-AA Murray State last week). Sophomore Daniel got couple series at QB in every game last yr. Army lost 14-6 as road favorite at Arkansas State last week, as Cadets were outrushed 222-69 and passed for only 95 yards, in bad loss. kent was blasted 44-0 at home by Minnesota, getting stopped twice near goal line by Gophers. Kent covered only two of last ten road openers; they're 3-6 in last nine tries as road dog Army covered nine of last thirteen games vs MAC competition. Clemson lost at home in OT to Boston College last year, after a 10-0 lead disappeared; Tigers covered seven of their last nine road openers. BC is 24-14 vs spread in last 38 home games, but are 1-3 as home dog last three years. BC ran ball for just 85 yds in 31-24 opening win at Central Michigantotal yardage was just 408-366, and Chippewas used their second string quarterback. Eagles covered last thrteen series games. Syracuse lost 20-10 at Wake Forest last week, allowing 247 yds on ground; Orange gained total of just 141 yards and were 2-11 on third down, despite having senior QB (he's not very good). Iowa failed to cover last three tries as road fave- they're 20-12 vs spread in game after their last 32 wins, and are 7-3-1 vs spread in last 11 games on carpet. Syracuse is 21-8 vs spread last 29 times they were home dog, but covered just 7 of last 23 home openers. Washington beat San Jose State 35-29 last week, just fourth win in last 2+ years, but San Jose was 28-35/326 passing. U-Dub is 1-7 vs spread in game after their last eight wins, 4-13 vs spread on grass, 4-8 in last dozen tries as road dog. Oklahoma was life-and-death with UAB last week, holding on to 24-17 win that was tied at half. Rushing yardage was 141-135, but Sooners did toss ball for 277 yards in Thompson's return to QB position. Penn State had just 76 yards rushing vs Akron last week; JoePa is concerned with young OL. Lions held NFL prospect Getsy to 23-43/192 passing last week, but now they move up in class, as they visit Heisman frontrunner quinn. Irish won 14-10 last week in Atlanta; they had 11 penalties for 80 yards, but held Tech to 2-11 on third down and shut Jackets out in second half. Penn St is 8-3 vs spread after a win, but 3-5 in last eight tries as road dog Three Colorado State players, one a former starter at defensive back, were charged with felony fraud this week, as Rams prepare for rivalry game vs Colorado, which lost to I-AA Montana State last week, 19-10. Rams covered just five of last 16 after win and 16-26 in last 42 tries as favorite. Underdog is 13-3 vs spread in this series, with Buffs winning four of last five, but not scoring in second half vs I-AA team last week indicates that both sides here have serious issues, some on the field, some off. Arizona is improved team with good OL and electric QB Tuitama but Wildcats were outgained at home by BYU last week, 312-254 with Arizona running ball for only 69 yards. LSU is superior club that held ULL to eight first downs in 45-3 thrashing last week, a game where Tigers were 17-23/299 passing. LSU has Auburn on deck, so lookahead threat looms. LSU is 13-6 vs spread in last 19 September games, but 5-8 in last thirteen tries as home favorite. Cal got whacked in Knoxville last week, now they go home, face Minnesota squad that won its opener 44-0 at Kent, running ball for 322 yards and forcing six turnovers. Bears lost 35-18 last wk, running ball 23 times for 64 yards, and completing 20-42 passes, so QB guru Tedford has work to do. Minnesota is 5-12 in last 17 tries as road dog, but they have senior QB. Cal is 10-9 as home favorite under Tedford. Gophers faced this Northwestern-style offense every year in Big 11 play. Arkansas State covered 14 of last 18 tries as home dog, but are 7-17 vs spread in game after a win; they upset Army last week, outrushing Cadets 222-69 and outgaining Army 319-164. last year, ASU lost 20-10 to Oklahoma State, even though ASU had a 322-273 edge in total yardage, running ball for 200 yards. OSU covered six of last seven tries as road favorite and seven of last nine non-Big 12 games. Georgia won last four games vs South Carolina; they beat USC 17-15 last year, outrushing Gamecocks 238-43. Home team is 8-4 vs spread in last dozen series games. Carolina shut Miss State out in opener, but MSU's QB broke his collarbone. Dawgs have a senior QB who is program guy but not great player- they were just 12-25 passing last week vs Western Kentucky, and gained only 295 yards in total offense. Georgia is 12-6 in last 18 tries as a road favorite, but just 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road openers. Texas had three-year starting cornerback suspended for this on drug/weapon charges; it has to hurt them. Longhorns won last year at Columbus, outgaining Buckeyes 382-255, but Young was 18-29/270 passing, and he's in Nashville now, while McCoy is making just his second college start. Senior QB Smith leads the Buckeyes; OSU was 20-27/315 passing last week in easy win vs decent Northern Illinois squad. Both sides have strong trends in their favor, as befits a 1-2 matchup. Texas Tech covered just three of last 12 after a win; they waxed SMU last week 35-3, piling up 28 first downs, 501 yuards of total offense. San Diego State's QB got hurt last week vs UTEP, but a sub came in and Aztecs were 24-30/275 thru air, which may not bode well for Miners vs Tech's aerial assault. Miners covered 4 of last five non-league games; Price's revival of UTEP program has generated lot of enthusiasm at the Sun Bowl. Fresno State covered four of last five as home dog, is 24-13 vs spread after win, and 22-8 vs spread in last 30 non-WAC games; they're especially dangerous vs BCS teams, with ten outright upsets in recent years. Oregon covered fifteen of last eighteen games on grass, 24 of its last 29 road openers, but they trailed Fresno State 17-0 at home last year, before rallying for 37-34 win (-2.5).. Total yardage in last year's game at Autzen was 530-492 in favor of visiting Fresno State. |
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| SCI Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: New Orleans
Posts: 9,637
| NICE INFO Bro!!!
__________________ Nick |
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