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Old 09-22-07, 11:26 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default College Football 9-22

Air Force just pulled upsets of Utah (20-12. +7.5), TCU (20-17, +7.5) now goes for hat trick against BYU club that lost last two games, both on road, allowing 82 points. BYU, which covered five of last six as home favorite, won the last three series games (41-24/62-41/33-14). Flyboys are 7-4 vs. spread ad road dog; they outrushed I-A foes 480-182, outscored them 34-16 in second half. BYU has seven giveaways in its last two games.

UCLA outrushed Washington 143-49 LY, led 16-0, but lost 29-19 in Seattle (-3), ending four-game series skid. Huskies lost last two visits here, 46-16/21-7. Bruins had shocking 44-6 loss at Utah LW (-14), turning ball over five times (outscored 30-0 in second half, suggesting a tank job). U-Dub led Ohio State 7-3 at half last week, lost 33-14, as Buckeyes ran the ball for 263 yards. Huskies are 6-3-1 as road dog under Willingham.

First road game for Georgia squad that lost SEC opener 16-12 to South Carolina; their 27-25 win in last visit here (27-25, +4, ’02) was first in eight visits here. Alabama beat Arkansas in last :08 LW, after blowing 31-10 lead late in third quarter—Hogs ran ball for 301 yards vs. Bama, gained 450 total yards, but not many teams have McFadden/Jones combo. Tide outscored its two SEC foes 37-13 in first half of games. Dawgs were just 3-18 on third down vs. Carolina.

Not sure which Michigan teams shows up, shell-shocked group that Oregon shredded for 624 yards in 39-7 win two weeks ago, or team that led Notre Dame 31-0 at half LW. Wolverines won last eight games vs. Penn State, winning last two here, 27-24/27-25; they had 116-M4 edge in rushing yards LY at Happy Valley (17-10 Mich). First ’07 road game for JoePa, who played three weak teams, outscoring them 80-24 in first half.

Explosive Texas Tech scoring 51 ppg so far, averaging 478.3 passing yds/game; they outscored their three foes 80-13 in 2nd half, but home side won last five games vs. Oklahoma State, with Tech losing last two visits here, 51-49/24-17. OSU already changed QBs this year, are struggling at 1-2, allowing 76 pts in two road losses- if Troy gained 562 yards against them, what will Red Raiders do? OSU is 19-9-1 vs. spread last 29 at home. .

First road game for Clemson QB Harper, after upsetting Florida State and beating two cupcakes; Tigers are just 5-10 vs spread in last 15 ACC road games, but they’ve beaten NC State three years in row, winning last visit here 31-10. Wolfpack beat I-AA team last week, after turning ball over nine teams in losing first two games (25-23 vs. UCF/37-17 @ BC). Clemson covered just two of last 10 as road favorite. Visitor covered six of last seven in series.

Spurrier is 9-1 vs spread on road with Gamecocks, 7-1 SU at this site, but LSU has been awesome so far this year, beating Hokies 48-7 here, outscoring first three foes by total of 137-7. South Carolina turned ball over six times vs. I-AA foe last week (four INTs) so not sure Mitchell is up to solving terrific Tiger defense (three foes completed just 31 of 77 passes). LSU covered just one of last eight as home favorite in SEC games. Game being at 3:30 is boon to visitors, as LSU's home record far better at night.

Wisconsin was tied at half with Citadel last week, trailed UNLV in last 3:00 week before that, so not sold on Badgers as top 20 club; they beat Iowa 24-21 LY (-2), holding Hawkeyes to 10-31 passing, and that was vs. Iowa’s Tate, a senior QB. That win ended four-game series skid— Iowa won last two visits here, 27-21/ 20-10, both as small dogs. Bielema (Iowa alum) covered eight of last 10 as favorite. Hawkeye foes are just 13-49 on 3rd down (26.5%) and have yet to score TD in ’07.

Utah hammered UCLA 44-6 LW, after scoring of 19 points in opening losses to Oregon State, Air Force. UNLV has been outscored 40-17 in first half of its games; they lost last five games vs. Utah by average of 41-22, with Utes winning last two visits here, 28-10/42-32. Rebel coach Sanford was assistant to Meyer in Utes’ big ’05 season. UNLV lost last 11 games in this series, but is 9-5 vs. spread in last 14 tries as home dog. Utes were 20-24/290 passing vs. UNLV LY.

Erickson has Arizona State (3-0, outscored foes 112-30) on fire, now runs into one of his former teams, as Oregon State visits desert. Home side won six of last seven series games, with Beavers losing last two trips here, 13-9/27-14. OSU crushed Sun Devils 44-10 LY (402-223 TY, ASU 9-29 passing), but Sun Devil foes are just 11-49 on 3rd down, with ASU outscoring them 38-3 in second half. Beavers are 6-8 vs. spread in last 14 tries as road dog- they lost previous road game 34-3 at Cincinnati (-3.5).
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