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Old 01-07-08, 06:18 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Sportscapper Island
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Default BCS Championship LSU/OSU

Current Line: LSU -3.5

Current O/U: 47


Both LSU losses came in OT games, at Kentucky, vs Arkansas; Tigers have +18 turnover ratio, time to heal injured DT Dorsey, a great player who limped thru second half of season. DC Pellini is leaving to be coach at Nebraska but LSU players are used to the circus atmosphere after all the Miles-Michigan rumors this year. Bayou Bengals played six games decided by seven pts or less; they play in best league in country, are certainly more tested in big games than Ohio State, which played three MAC teams and Washington in four non-Big 11 games. LSU beat Va Tech 48-7.

Ohio State is 0-8 in bowl games against SEC teams, but Tressel beat Miles 33-7 three years ago in bowl games when Miles was at Oklahoma State. Unfortunately for Tressel, Miles has LSU's resources and talent for this game. Buckeyes lost 28-21 Nov 10 to Illinois, then slogged through 14-3 win over Michigan, with no takeaways in either game, although they did hold Michigan to 99 total yards. Ohio State is underdog for first time all season and they have motivation after being squashed 41-14 by Florida in this game last year. Make no mistake, there is big-time talent on both squads here, but LSU has more experienced QB, which offsets Tressel's track record in championship games.

Underdog won this game SU five of seven years; LSU plays to level of their opponent, going just 1-7-2 vs spread in last 10 tilts; huge question is health of Glenn Dorsey, who got hurt when he got chop-blocked in Auburn game- if he is back to 100%, that is huge for LSU defense. Tressel won four national titles in I-AA, another with Buckeyes, so going against him in these spots has been bad idea, but LSU plays in better league, has been tested a lot more than Buckeyes, plus this game is in Superdome, so it is going to be an LSU crowd. Slightest of leans to the Tigers.
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