[Tommy]

College Football Betting Saturday

October, 17, 2009


(20) Oklahoma @ (3) Texas (-3, 53½) 12:00 ET

Texas won three of last four games vs Oklahoma, holding Sooners to 48 rushing yards in 45-35 win LY. Longhorns are 5-0 with average win by 47-15- they've run kick/punt back for TD in last three games, but they did trail Colorado 14-10 at half last week. Sooners are 7-4 as an underdog this decade. Bradford is back under center, but is his shoulder close to 100% Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in Big 12 games so far this season.

N.C. State @ Boston College (-2½, 47) 3:30 ET

Boston College got crushed in both its road games, but is 3-0 at home vs I-A opponents, winning by 27-3-7 points. Eagles won three of four vs NC State, winning games here by 20 points each; State coach O'Brien was BC's coach for first two of those games. NC State covered 10 of last 13 as an underdog, but they allowed 110 points in their last three games.

(11) Iowa @ Wisconsin (-2½, 47) 12:00 ET

Iowa won five of last seven games vs Wisconsin, winning two of its last three visits to Madison. Hawkeyes are 6-0, with three wins by three or less points- they held Badgers to 17 or less points in four of the last five meetings. Badgers outgained Ohio State 368-184 last week, held OSU to eight first downs, but still lost 31-13. Three of last four Wisconsin games went over the total.

Wake Forest @ Clemson (-7½, 48) 12:00 ET

Wake Forest lost last four visits to Clemson by 34-7-8-48 points, but Deacons are 4-2 this year, with both losses by FG; they scored 30-42 in last two games. Deacons are 18-8-1 as road dog under Grobe. Clemson lost three of last four games, scoring total of 17 second half points in last three. Tigers are 12-15 as a home favorite since 2004. Dogs are 11-5 vs spread in ACC games this season, 6-5 on road.

Minnesota @ (14) Penn State (-17½, 46) 3:30 ET

Minnesota is 6-2 as road dog under Brewster; they won both road games this year (Syracuse/Northwestern). Penn State is 0-4 as a home favorite this year, winning home games by 24-21-25 points. Underdogs covered last three series games, with Gophers surprising 4-2 SU in last six- weird thing is Minnesota was favored in four of last five series games. Big 11 favorites are just 5-9 this season, 5-5 at home.

Alabama outscored last four opponents 81-6 in first half, covering all of them; Tide is 6-4 in last 10 games as home favorite. South Carolina won last four games; their only loss was 41-37 at Georgia. Carolina is 10-4-1 as road dog under Spurrier, 2-0 this year. Gamecocks outscored their last four opponents 73-23 in second half. SEC home favorites are 3-8 vs the spread in conference games, with four SU upsets.

(22) South Carolina @ (2) Alabama (-18, 44) 7:45 ET

USC treated Notre Dame like a pinata the last seven years, scoring 34+ points in all seven, covering six of them, with only one of the wins by less than 20 points, but feeling is Trojans are more vulnerable now, with freshman QB. Notre Dame won last four games by combined total of 13 points. Trojan defense allowed 10 ppg in last four games; they're 3-6 in last nine games as road favorite. Irish is 5-6 as home dog since 2002.

California (-3, 44) @ UCLA 3:30 ET

Home side won last nine Cal-UCLA games; Bears lost last four visits to Rose Bowl by 9-7-3-39 points. Long bye week for Cal Bears after 42-3/ 30-3 losses to Oregon/USC that ruined Cal's season. Question is how do they bounce back? UCLA lost last two games by 8-14 points; Bruins are 11-3 in last 14 games as home dog, but they gave up three TDs early in third quarter vs Oregon last week, losing 24-10 after leading 3-0 at half.

Texas Tech @ (15) Nebraska (-10½, 59½) 3:30 ET

Texas Tech won last three games vs Nebraska, 70-10/34-31/37-31; Tech is 3-5 in last eight games as road dog- they're 0-2 on road this year with a new QB, losing 34-24 at Texas, 29-28 at Houston. Big 12 home faves are 1-3 vs spread. Huskers won their three home games by combined score of 142-12; they're 6-4 as home favorite under Pelini. Average total in last four series games is 76.3.

(4) Virginia Tech (-3½, 54) @ (19) Georgia Tech 6:00 ET

Georgia Tech won three games in row since losing at Miami; they scored 91 points in last two games, running ball for 401 yards in 49-44 win last week at Florida State. Jackets ran ball for 278 yards LY vs Virginia Tech but lost 20-17 (+6.5) in Blacksburg. Hokies are 5-0 since losing opener 34-24 to Alabama on neutral field; they scored 31-34-48 points in ACC wins, and even passed ball for 217-206 yards the last two weeks.

Missouri @ (16) Oklahoma State (-6½, 54½) 9:15 ET

Missouri, Oklahoma State are both 4-1; four of their last six series games were outright upsets. Cowboys are 17-8 as home fave since '02. Mizzou blew 12-0 4th quarter lead at home in rain to Nebraska last week- they're 6-4 as road dog since 2004. OSU receiver Bryant had NCAA hearing on Tuesday- they scored 36 points at Texas A&M without him. All four of Missouri's games this year went under; last three OSU games went over.

Stanford @ Arizona (-4, 53) 7:30 ET

Stanford won five of last six meetings with Arizona, despite being dog in last four series games. Wildcats scored 37-33 points in Foles' first two college starts, both on road. Cardinal won three of last four games; they are 4-8 as road dogs under Harbaugh. Arizona is 4-2 in last six games as home favorite, after covering just three of their previous 17 in that role. Pac-10 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread this year.

Washington @ Arizona State (-6½, 48) 10:15 ET

Washington is 4-1 vs spread as underdog this year; they're 2-8 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog. Huskies lost last five games to ASU, with only one of the five losses by less than 11 points. Arizona State is 8-5 as home favorite under Erickson. U-dub's defense is getting tired; in last three games, they've allowed 34-37-33 points. If not for screwup by Arizona coaches last week, Washington would've lost last three games.

[Tommy]

College Football Trends

Saturday, October 17

12:00 PM | OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma

12:00 PM | IOWA vs. WISCONSIN
Iowa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa
Wisconsin is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Iowa

12:00 PM | BOWLING GREEN vs. BALL STATE
Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM | WAKE FOREST vs. CLEMSON
Wake Forest is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wake Forest is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
Clemson is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Wake Forest

12:00 PM | LOUISVILLE vs. CONNECTICUT
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Louisville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Connecticut is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

12:00 PM | OHIO STATE vs. PURDUE
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games at home

12:00 PM | NORTHWESTERN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northwestern's last 8 games on the road
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern

12:00 PM | DELAWARE ST vs. MICHIGAN
Delaware St is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:21 PM | GEORGIA vs. VANDERBILT
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Georgia
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia

12:30 PM | MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games at home

1:00 PM | ARMY vs. TEMPLE
Army is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Army is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

2:00 PM | MIAMI (OHIO) vs. OHIO
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
Miami (Ohio) is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Ohio
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami (Ohio)

2:00 PM | WYOMING vs. AIR FORCE
Wyoming is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wyoming
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Wyoming

3:00 PM | NEVADA vs. UTAH STATE
Nevada is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Nevada is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Utah State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Utah State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM | NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
North Carolina State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston College is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM | RICE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Rice's last 21 games on the road
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM | MINNESOTA vs. PENN STATE
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Penn State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Penn State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

3:30 PM | SOUTH CAROLINA vs. ALABAMA
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM | AKRON vs. BUFFALO
Akron is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Akron is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Akron

3:30 PM | CALIFORNIA vs. UCLA
California is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 5 games when playing UCLA
UCLA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UCLA's last 7 games at home

3:30 PM | HOUSTON vs. TULANE
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Tulane is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Tulane is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:30 PM | SOUTHERN CAL vs. NOTRE DAME
Southern Cal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

3:30 PM | TEXAS TECH vs. NEBRASKA
Texas Tech is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM | MARSHALL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Marshall is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
West Virginia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM | CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Central Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM | NEW MEXICO STATE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
New Mexico State is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:00 PM | KENT STATE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kent State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM | COLORADO STATE vs. TCU
Colorado State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado State is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
TCU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State

4:00 PM | VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
Virginia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Maryland
Maryland is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

5:00 PM | HAWAII vs. IDAHO
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Hawaii is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
Idaho is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii

6:00 PM | VIRGINIA TECH vs. GEORGIA TECH
Virginia Tech is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

6:00 PM | BYU vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
BYU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego State
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against BYU

7:00 PM | TEXAS A&M vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas A&M is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas A&M's last 13 games
Kansas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas A&M
Kansas State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:00 PM | UAB vs. MISSISSIPPI
UAB is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
UAB is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM | MEMPHIS vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Memphis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:00 PM | NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. TOLEDO
Northern Illinois is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Toledo
Northern Illinois is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toledo
Toledo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Toledo is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games

7:00 PM | BAYLOR vs. IOWA STATE
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Iowa State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baylor
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

7:00 PM | LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM | KANSAS vs. COLORADO
Kansas is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas

7:00 PM | ILLINOIS vs. INDIANA
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM | TROY vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Troy is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Florida International is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM | ARKANSAS vs. FLORIDA
Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Arkansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM | KENTUCKY vs. AUBURN
Kentucky is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Kentucky is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Auburn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM | STANFORD vs. ARIZONA
Stanford is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Stanford is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford

7:30 PM | MIAMI vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

8:00 PM | NAVY vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Navy is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Navy
Southern Methodist is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Navy

8:00 PM | FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. NORTH TEXAS
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
North Texas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

9:15 PM | MISSOURI vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State
Missouri is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM | UTAH vs. UNLV
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
UNLV is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah

10:00 PM | SAN JOSE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
San Jose State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State

10:15 PM | WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA STATE
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home