[Tommy]

Saturday, September 10th

Kansas State at Marshall, 10:30am EST ESPN2
Kansas State - 18-8 ATS in September
Marshall - 6-16 ATS off a non-conference game

Notre Dame at Michigan, 12:00 EST ABC
Notre Dame - 0-6 ATS off an underdog win by 10+ points
Michigan - 6-1 Over off an ATS loss

Clemson at Maryland, 12:00 EST ESPN
Clemson - 8-2 Under as an underdog
Maryland - 11-3 ATS off an Over

Cincinnati at Penn State, 12:00 EST
Cincinnati - 6-1 ATS off a home win by 3 points or less
Penn State - 1-11 ATS off a home game

Temple at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Temple - 12-26 ATS first month of the season
Wisconsin - 23-11 Over as a home favorite

Virginia Tech at Duke, 12:00 EST
Virginia Tech - 7-1 ATS off an Under
Duke - 6-0 Under in the first half of the season

Army at Boston College, 12:30 EST ESPNC
Army - 1-7 ATS in non-conference games
Boston College - 6-0 Under in September

Mississippi State at Auburn, 12:30 EST
Mississippi State - 1-9 ATS in road games
Auburn - 5-1 Over as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Tulsa at Oklahoma, 12:30 EST FSN
Tulsa - 14-29 ATS after allowing 37+ points
Oklahoma - 16-6 Over off a non-conference game

(TC) San Jose State at Illinois, 2:00 EST
San Jose State - 0-5 ATS first month of the season
Illinois - 4-0 Under as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Akron at Purdue, 1:00 EST
Akron - 2-5 ATS first month of the season
Purdue - 8-1 Under as a home favorite

Central Michigan at Miami OH, 2:00 EST
Central Michigan - 1-9 ATS off a home game
Miami OH - 8-0 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

(TC) Northern Illinois at Northwestern, 4:00 EST ESPNC
Northern Illinois - 6-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Northwestern - 1-6 ATs off a home win

Colorado State at Minnesota, 2:00 EST ESPN2
Colorado State - 40-23 ATS as an underdog
Minnesota - 3-12 ATS at home after scoring 37+ points

Buffalo at Syracuse, 3:30 EST
Buffalo - 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Syracuse - 7-0 ATS vs. MAC opponents

Hawaii at Michigan State, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Hawaii - 0-6 ATS in September
Michigan State - 14-5 Over off a win by 21+ points

California at Washington, 3:30 EST ABC
California - 6-1 Over off a win by 28+ points
Washington - 1-10 ATS first half of the season

Iowa at Iowa State, 3:30 EST ABC
Iowa - 11-1 ATS off an Over
Iowa State - 1-7 ATS after having 100 rushing yards or less

North Carolina at Georgia Tech, 3:30 EST ABC
North Carolina - 5-1 Over in road games
Georgia Tech - 17-6 ATS at home off a road win

South Carolina at Georgia, 5:30 EST ESPN
South Carolina - 8-0 Under away after committing 3+ turnovers
Georgia - 0-6 ATS off a win by 21+ points

Stanford at Navy, 6:00 EST
Stanford - 7-2 Under in road games
Navy - 9-2 ATS as an underdog

Louisiana Tech at Florida, 6:00 EST
Louisiana Tech - 0-5 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
Florida - 11-3 Under off a home win/ATS loss

Boise Stte at Oregon State, 6:30 EST FSN
Boise State - 7-0 Under off an ATS loss
Oregon State - 11-2 ATS at home off a home win

New Mexico at Missouri, 7:00 EST
New Mexico - 9-2 ATS in road games
Missouri - 0-6 ATS after having 475+ total yards

Wake Forest at Nebraska, 7:00 EST
Wake Forest - 7-1 Over in road games
Nebraska - 0-7 ATS after allowing 9 points or less

Vanderbilt at Arkansas, 7:00 EST
Vanderbilt - 10-3 Under first half of the season
Arkansas - 6-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points

(TC) San Diego State at Air Force, 2:00 EST
San Diego State - 14-4 ATS away off a loss by 17+ points
Air Force - 15-3 Under first month of the season

Western Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 EST
Western Michigan - 1-4 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points
Toledo - 11-2 ATS off a home win by 28+ points

(TC) Bowling Green at Ball State, 8:00 EST
Bowling Green - 10-3 ATS after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
Ball State - 1-5 ATS after allowing 50+ points

Southern Mississippi at Alabama, 7:45 EST ESPN2
Southern Mississippi - 10-2 ATS away first two weeks of the season
Alabama - 6-0 Under off a home win

Texas at Ohio State, 8:00 EST ABC
Texas - 1-6 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Ohio State - 16-6 ATS at home off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points

Utah State at Utah, 9:15 EST
Utah State - 2-9 ATS last eleven lined games
Utah - 10-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

(TC) LSU at Arizona State, 9:15 EST ESPN
LSU - 6-1 ATS in September
Arizona State - 4-12 ATS after scoring 24+ first-half points

TCU at SMU, 9:30 EST
TCU - 2-10 ATS in road games
SMU - 7-0 Under as an underdog

Rice at UCLA, 10:00 EST
Rice - 7-1 ATS as a road underdog
UCLA - 22-6 Over off a win by 17+ points

New Mexico State at Colorado, 10:00 EST FSN
New Mexico State - 12-4 ATS after allowing 24+ first-half points
Colorado - 1-6 ATS as a home favorite

Idaho at UNLV, 10:00 EST
Idaho - 8-2 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
UNLV - 2-10 ATS at home off a road conference loss

LA Monroe at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
LA Monroe - 3-11 ATS in September
Wyoming - 10-3 ATS off an ATS win

(TC) North Texas at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 EST
North Texas - 1-7 ATS as an underdog
Mid Tenn State - 9-2 ATS first two weeks of the season

LA Lafayette at Eastern Michigan, 6:00 EST
LA Lafayette - 7-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less
Eastern Michigan - 3-14 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

(TC) UAB at Troy State, 8:00 EST
UAB - 1-5 ATS as a road favorite
Troy State - 6-1 ATS in home games

Florida International at Texas Tech, 7:00 EST
Florida Int - 3-1 ATS as a road underdog
Texas Tech - 7-1 Over first half of the season

[Tommy]

-- Penn State covered three of its last nine as a home favorite; can they get some balance in their offense, because it looks like they can run it a little.
-- Duke is 17-6 vs spread after a loss; they covered nine of last 12 ACC games. - Mississippi State covered two of its last twelve road games, seven of its last 24 SEC tilts.
-- San Jose State is 7-16 as road underdog since '01. Illinois is 18-10 vs spread after a win.
-- Purdue is 28-13 as home favorite under Tiller, 11-5 vs spread in September home games.
-- Central Michigan had two players arrested this week, for manslaughter or something bad like that; stay away from the Chippewas.
-- Syracuse covered 13 of its last 15 non-league home games. Buffalo is 6-13 vs spread on turf.
-- Georgia is 8-10 as a double digit favorite with Richt. South Carolina had Dawgs 16-0 last year, fumbled game away, 20-16. Only one of last five in series was decided by more than 11 points. Spurrier was 13-8-1 vs spread, adding his first years at Duke and Florida.
-- Florida has Tennessee next week; they're 7-11 as home favorite. Louisiana Tech failed to cover last five tries as double digit dog.
-- New Mexico played Monday, travels on very short week. Missouri is 7-3 as double digit home favorite, 12-7 vs spread in last 19 home games.
-- Arkansas visits USC next week; they're 4-8 as double digit favorite. Vandy covered their SEC opener 11 of last fifteen yrs.
-- Underdog covered nine of last 12 San Diego State-Air Force games, with Aztecs winning last three years, by 37-31/24-3/38-34 scores.
-- Western Michigan is 8-19 as dog last four years. Toledo is 18-7 in last 25 as home fave, but won last two home games vs Western by 41-35/34-17 scores.
-- Bowling Green won its last four games vs Ball State by 41-15 average.
-- Utah covered 14 of last 18 games after a win. Utah State is 9-23 as road dog.
-- Rice covered six of its last eight as double digit dog. Will UCLA look ahead to Oklahoma?
-- UNLV also plays on short week; they're 2-9 in last eleven tries as home favorite.
-- UL-Monroe blew 23-0 halftime lead in losing their opener. Wyoming is 10-5 vs spread after a loss.
-- North Texas has won its last 25 Sun Belt Conference games, including four in row over Middle Tennessee; favorites covered 17 of their last 23 games.
-- Eastern Michigan is 0-2 as favorite since '02, 2-7-1 in last ten tries as home fave. UL-Lafayette is 4-1-1 vs spread after a loss.
-- UAB had ball on Tennessee 10-yard line with chance to tie in last 4:00 last week. Troy State is 16-9 vs spread as an underdog. -- Texas Tech is 10-1-1 vs spread in last dozen home openers, 21-12 in last 33 tries as favorite

[Tommy]

Saturday's Games
Televised Games
-- Kansas State is 0-6 vs spread in non-league games since 2003; they're 7-5 as road favorite since 2001. Marshall has just three starters back on each side of ball; they struggled to beat William & Mary last week. Herd is 4-2 as dog since '93, 2-0 as home dog since '00.

-- Maryland covered last five games in row vs Clemson, winning last two at this site, 37-20/21-7. Clemson beat Texas A&M at gun last week, but their offense got no TD's, kicking six FG's, and QB Whitehurst missed last quarter after blow to head. Maryland needed fourth quarter comeback to beat Navy. Terps covered 17 of last 24 home games, nine of last 13 home openers. Home side covered ten of last fifteen series games.

-- Temple lost six starters to academics, they just can't overcome that, and got blasted 63-16 by an Arizona State club that ran up score a little. Wisconsin was down 13-0 early, gave up 450+ passing yards, but survived Bowling Green, 49-35. Badgers are 5-1-1 in last seven as home favorite, but just 7-15 vs spread in last 22 non-league games. Normally-spunky Owls covered 12 of last 16 after a loss, 16 of last 24 as road dog.

-- Dog covered eight of last nine Notre Dame-Michigan games, and 15 of last 18. Irish beat Wolverines last year, 28-20, outrushing Big Blue, 135-56. Irish ran ball down Pitt's throat last week, led 35-13 at half; they have whole OL back and experienced QB. Wolverines are 7-16-1 vs spread as single digit favorite since '98.

-- Oklahoma lost to TCU last week, so they change QB's this week, for Tulsa foe that Sooners won last two meetings against by combined score of 95-0. OU covered six of last seven games that followed a loss. Tulsa is just 3-17 vs spread as road dog, 8-23 on grass. -- Boston College had good road win last week at BYU, has ACC opener next week, gets Army here; coach O'Brien is Navy man. Doubtful he would run it up on service team, but BC is 8-3 vs spread in last eleven series games and 21-11 vs spread at home. Army, now an independent, is 4-7-1 vs spread in road openers.

-- Minnesota won 34-16 at Colorado State last year, running ball for whopping 360 yards with plus-4 turnover ratio. Gophers won big at Tulsa last week, while Rams tossed four picks in final 16:00, lost at gun in Boulder, 31-28. State is 16-6-1 as dog, but just 8-13 vs spread on faster carpet. Minnesota covered seven of last nine home openers, is 28-18 as favorite under Mason.

-- Hawai'i beat Michigan State last year, 41-38, in game where Rainbows were called for five penalties, State for close to 20; the officiating was borderline corrupt. Now that Spartans have Hawai'i on mainland (1-10 vs spread in last 11 on land) and revenge is sweet. Line in this one opened at 24.5, rose as high as 34, before settling back down at 32. MSU just 5-13-1 in last 19 tries as home favorite. Hawai's failed to cover last five as road dog, and seven of last ten road openers.

-- Cal QB Longshore broke his leg last week; backup Ayoob was 0-10, so third-stringer Levy got to play, and did OK. Bears won last three games vs Washington by average score of 43-16; they had 304 rushing yards in last year's 42-12 win. Huskies 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11 Pac-10 openers while Cal is 14-6-1 on Pac-10 road and 16-7 vs spread in last 23 conference games.

-- Georgia Tech had huge win at Auburn last week; they get chance here to avenge 34-13 loss to Tar Heels, when UNC ran ball for 284 yards as 8-point dog. First game for Heels, who have new QB but nine starters back on defense; they're 12-8 vs spread as road dog. Tech is 5-9 as home favorite since 2001, but 8-3 vs spread in this series.

-- Northern Illinois hung in at Michigan last week; they're 17-8 vs spread after a loss, 15-7 in last 22 non-league games, and 14-8 vs spread on grass. Northwestern is 5-0-1 vs NIU (76 miles from Evanston) (2-0 vs spread); they routed Ohio U 38-14 last week.

-- Iowa State covered six of last seven games vs rival Hawkeyes, as visitor covered 14 of last 18 series games, and faves covered 8 of last 12. Iowa is 17-9 vs spread after win; they hammered helpless Ball State (13 suspensions) last week, 56-0. Hawkeyes just 4-5 in last nine away games, with wins by 6,2,10 and 2 points, so they're vulnerable on foreign soil. Cyclones just 3-10 as a home doh, but 21-10 vs spread after a win.

-- Stanford opens Walt Harris era at Navy, which let Maryland slip away in fourth quarter last week; Cardinal covered 16 of last 20 September games, six of last seven as favorite; they have whole OL back and junior QB with 13 starts under his belt. Navy put carpet down this year; Stanford is 5-10-1 vs spread on plastic, Navy 18-7.

-- Boise State is 13-4 vs spread after loss, but they got pounded last week by Georgia, 48-13; you have to question their mental level after that, as they go into refurbished Reser Stadium to play Oregon State squad they whacked 53-34 on blue carpet last year (total yardage was 492-469, Boise, as Broncos had 246 yards rushing, 246 passing). Beavers are 20-6 as home fave, and 26-12 vs spread after win.

-- Nebraska QB Taylor was at Wake Forest for two years, before going JC, then on to Lincoln, where he was 15-36 passing last week in 25-7 win over Maine. Huskers are 6-14 vs spread after a win; 42% passing indicates they're still struggling with pass attack. Wake Forest is 10-5-1 as road dog, with six outright wins; they get star RB Barclay back from suspension here. Deacons are 3-9 vs spread after a loss.

-- Alabama covered seven of last eight games vs Southern Miss, winning last three by combined score of 64-13. Golden Eagles were displaced by hurricane, lived in Memphis; they covered ten of last 13 road openers, but just four of last 10 non-league games. In last year's game, teams passed for a combined 95 yards.

-- Ohio State used backup QB Zwick in easy win over Miami, OH last week; now they get Smith back from suspension- how that does that transition work? Buckeyes are 8-5 vs spread in non-league games 17-10 vs spread at home under Tressel. Texas is 10-14 vs spread in non-league games under Brown. First time these powers have ever met.

-- LSU now visiting Tempe, due to hurricane-related issues; Tigers had their game postponed last week- they're 6-4-1 vs spread when facing Pac-10 foe. Sun Devils pounded on lowly Temple last week, now they get the big boys. First game at LSU for former Oklahoma State coach Miles.

-- TCU shocked Oklahoma last week, now they are favorite at SMU team they outgained 562-170 last year, outrushing them, 165-6. Mustangs are 5-13 vs spread after a loss; they loss tight home game to Baylor last week, 28-23. Road team is 16-7 vs spread in this local (Dallas-Fort Worth) rivalry. Frogs won last three visits to this site, by average score of 40-10.

-- Colorado now 9-21 vs spread in last thirty non-league games, but they're 6-1 vs spread before a bye and 8-4-1 if double digit home favorite; Buffs snuck out 31-28 win in rivalry game last week; they face pass-happy New Mexico State squad that is still adjusted to Mumme's system; they are 8-4 vs spread after loss.