[fondybadger]

Week 3 Recap: 17-4-2 +$757 (81% correct)

2005 Records
Sides..........25-19-4 -$93
1st Half........9-1 +$420
Totals..........0-0 +$0
Parlays.........1-0 +$34
TOTAL........35-20-4 +$361

2005 Records (coattails)
Sides...........6-3 +$112
1st Half….....1-0 +$75
Totals.........2-1 +$45
TOTAL.........9-4 +$232

YTD TOTAL 44-24-4 +$593 (65% correct)

POD RECORD 3-4-1 -$292 (Included above)

WEDNESDAY GAME
Bowling Green at Boise State -9
With the way Boise States been playing? I want to see a win before they get this large spread. Omar Jacobs is too good for them to have this big of a line. This is one of those games that I'd look to put even more on. Want to hear thoughts of everyone before I put more on it though.
$100 Bowling Green +9 (POD)

THURSDAY GAMES
Air Force would be something I'd look at, because Utah has let me down way too much. UL-Monroe and Florida Atlantic doesn't do anything for me.

FRIDAY GAMES
Don't really think too much of either of these games. With such big spreads I'd look at both home teams. Will look at them more during the week.

SATURDAY GAMES
Iowa at Ohio State -9
I think both teams are actually pretty evenly matched. Iowa was my favorite to win the big 10 this year, and I think they still can over come the Iowa State loss. Iowa could win this game straight up!
PLAY: $125 IOWA +9

Michigan State -10.5 at Illinois
We have a team that upset Notre Dame and an Illinois team that has gotten pretty lucky in their matchups this year. I'll take the visitors.
PLAY: $100 Michigan -10 ($120 to win $100)

OTHER EARLY PLAYS:
$75 BC +3.5
$50 Florida -24
$150 USC -17
$50 Miss -2
$100 Memphis -1
$75 Tennessee +7 ($90 to win $75)
$50 Michigan -2.5
$75 Arizona State -4.5

Okay so now Michigan is only a 1.5 favorite? My eyes do deceive me. Waiting in line for basketball tickets there was a group of us talking and we were split on what the line would open at. I thought it would open at Michigan -3.5 and some thought as many as -10... We almost universially agreed that people would be laying it heavy on Michigan. Now the line is moving towards Wisconsin? Something isn't right there.

A few reasons why this might be is Wisconsin's record of 3-0, but we still haven't played a good defense. Also Wisconsin has been AWESOME in night games, I think they may have never lost a night game at Camp Randall (someone else was saying that last night), but I know in the 5 years I've lived in Madison they haven't. Talent wise though, Michigan is vastly superior.

[fondybadger]

Alright a few more thoughts here...

I like Bowling Green as long as they're +7.5 or more...

I think I'm going to stay off Thursday and Friday nights games as I've been getting smoked on them all season. Don't know any of the teams well enough to feel confident taking them either. Unless someone has a stong lean and pushes me in the right direction I'm staying off.

I liked Iowa to win the Big 10 at the start of the season. I thought they were better than Ohio State and Michigan. Now I'm not too sure. I feel that nine points was way too many for Ohio State to give up though. I feel relatively confident with Iowa +7 or more, but would love them at +10...

GT's QB should be able to go this week, but the line looks a bit low. I kind of like Virginia Tech because of what they all bring to the table, so this is a game I'll keep an eye on the linemovement. GT can cover 10 or more I think, if it gets lower Va Tech might warrant a play.

Purdue/Minny -- Where to start in this one? Maroney is a stud, Purdue was kind of disappointing against Arizona. I like Purdue just looking at the line, but Minnesota has been winning big this year so far. I'll be doing a lot of digging on this game, as I can make an argument for both teams right now.

Northwestern you never know what you're going to get out of them... as long as Joe Pa is around Penn State with struggle... Danhoops would like your opinion on this game. Anything less than a td in big10 play seems like a good thing to fade northwestern again. LEAN: Penn State -6.5

Illinois is shit... Michigan State shouldn't have a let down...

I hope BC doesn't have a hangover against Clemson, but I'm happy to get them +3.5... Play $75 BC +3.5

We know that Louisville can run up the score. The question is will S. Florida roll over and die? I don't know enough about em, so I could use some help there. Would definately think of Louisville if I could get them at -21, but the line seems to be moving the other way. A game I"ll keep an eye on.

Timh you have any thoughts on Maryland this week and how they stack up against WF?

Need to look at things quite a bit more, but mississippi state being a 16 point dog at home really throws me looking at it. Would like some thoughts on this one...LEAN: Miss St. +16

Western Michigan can't be worse than Temple can they be? Western Michigan -3 might be something I'd really take a STRONG look at. LEAN: Western Michigan -3.5

No thoughts on East/Central Michigan

Duke/Virginia doesn't do anything for me...

Look to see what Rex/JumponBoard have for Kent st./Ohio

You'd think TCU would be closer to a pick with BYU... but they're still living off that Oklahoma victory. Might give some thoughts to TCU

E. Carolina and W. Virginia anyone want to tackle that game?

I won't touch Arkansas after that USC debalicle... Bama needs to get under 2 td's for me to go on it.

Wish I would have waited on Florida, but i'm fading the shit out of Kentucky. PLAY: $50 Florida -24(now at -23)

UNC has played well this year. There defense keeps them in the games and Baker showed a lot of heart this week. Rivalry game +10 might be a looksy on UNC. LEAN: UNC +10

Notre Dame can burn to the ground. I don't even want that school brought up in my threads. LOL - 0-3 on the fuckers this year.

Miami will be ready to beat up on a non-conference opponent. A bit gun shy after the Clemson game though. Thoughts?

Don't know about Marshall/C. Florida at all

USC has just been dominating this year... they better keep it up. PLAY: $150 USC -17 I'd take USC up to -21 and would think even up to -28 the way they've been playing.

Northern Ill/AKron - beats me...

South Miss/Houston DITTO

DeAngello baby... GO MEMPHIS PLAY: $100 Memphis -1 (damn line moved against me)

Bought some points for Tennessee to make it +7... Just don't feel they'll be flat two weeks in a row. PLAY: $75 Tenny +7

Michigan should dominate wisky I expect a 7-14 point win for them, I'll have more writups later in the week... plus i'll watch the line movement.

San Jose/SDST ????

Navy/Rice????

I'm thinking Tulane would be a play if I could get them at -3...

UNLV/Utah state eh?

New Mexico/Utep ?

Nevada/ CSU blah

I'm liking arizona state because i think they're vastly underrated and Oregon State hasn't impressed me that much when i've seen them.

What do all the Idaho backers have to say?

None of the Added games stand out to me...

Plays
$100 Bowling Green +9
$125 Iowa +9
$100 Michigan State -10 ($120 to win $100)
$75 BC +3.5
$50 Florida -24
$150 USC -17
$50 Miss -2
$100 Memphis -1
$75 Tennessee +7 ($90 to win $75)
$50 Michigan -2.5
$75 Arizona State -4.5

Leans
Penn State -6.5
Mississippi State +16
Western Michigan -3.5 (would buy to -3)
TCU +3.5
Tulane -4

Games I'm keeping an eye on
GT/VT (311/312)
Purdue/Minny (313/314)
Lou/South Flor. (321/322)
Col/Miami (347/348)

[Tommy]

Good stuff Fondy Looking forward to this week for College Foots

[JimL04]

great writeups and great record. keep it up

[QuickNick]

Fondy, Have you check to see if the starting QB is playing for Boston College? I know he left the Fla St game hurt and did not return. After his injury Fla st took o0ver the game.