[kcdutton]

Okay guys just to get straight to the point I don't have a pick as of yet. I am just keeping all my information here and will make a pick before game time.
These are the last 4 AF games with rushing attempts and yards.

52-218 4.19ypc
67-272 4.06ypc
63-286 4.54ypc
50-251 5.02ypc
Thats a YPC of over 4.2, So it's pretty given that they can run the ball.
13 Rushing TD's

These are the rush defense stats for Colorado State.
29-113 3.9ypc
59-355 6.02ypc
31-95 3.06ypc
Thats a YPC of 4.73 Allowed, So it seems to be they have trouble stopping the run. Yes 1 game was with Minnesota, but even if you knock off 2ypc because of how good Minnys running game is that still gives them an average of 4.02 YPC! (Maroney only had 133 of 355 yards) And we know AF is going to run it 50-60 times which is a minimum of 200-240 Yards just on the ground.
8 Rushing TD's Allowed

Colorado State likes to air it out.
28-43-291 3tds 4ints
21-42-362 1td 1int
15-27-223 3tds 0intsLooks like CSU qb likes to try to force the ball and makes some mistakes.
7.18 yards per attempt

Can Air Force defend the pass?
19-27-242 1td 0ints
27-44-253 1td 1int
19-29-267 1td 0ints
21-30-305 2tds 1int
Not great defense not a lot of takeaways but 5 td's in 4 games isn't too bad.

Now another couple questions, Can AF pass? Can CSU run?
CSU 411 rushing yards on 102 Carries 4.03ypc
AF 40-73 for 725 yards with 4tds and 4ints 9.93 yards per attempt
Given from this info, CSU can run a little but doesn't want to. AF doesn't pass a lot but can hit the big one from time to time.

How bout home field advantage?
AF in road games ATS is 5-6 over the last 3 years
CSU is 6-5 ATS at home over the last 3 years
Teams are split 1-1 SU and ATS over the last 2 games.

How bout betting public info?
As of this writing it is 53% on AF at one site and 51% on AF at another so this info is pretty irrelevant right now.

The Following is Just My Opinion, Don't Read Further if You Don't Want to Know My 2cents.

My summary as of this writing is as follows.

I think that CSU had a heck of a time trying to stop Minnesota from running, they couldn't do it. Result a bad loss. I think this game is going to come down to who makes the most mistakes. Do most college teams make most mistakes when they run 75% of the time, or throw 75% of the time. I think the awnser is pretty clear.

After you take away the 4 points for home field advantage the game really comes down to a PK. Basically which team you this is going to win. Forget about the points. I think it is a close game but I think that CSU QB Holland throws at least 2 more interceptions that prove to be costly.

I know I said I didn't have a pick earlier, but now I do.

I give this one to AF straight up 30-27.

To me this game isn't as clear cut as last night game was to me. I really think it comes down to 1 turnover or a missed field goal.

Good Luck All!

KCD

[kcdutton]

1 more thing I wanted to add. I wanted to see how big of a home field advantage CSU will have. CSU is 31-27 ATS at home since 1992. So not much of a Home Field Advantage here.

Air Force is 38-31 ATS in all road games since 1992. So AF can play on the road in its history.

Just some more info.

Good Luck All!

KCD

[Eaglesfan]

GOOD INFO KCD should make this war room you care

[Eaglesfan]

BUMP

[kalind]

goodpickings on your plays


just my .02

dont put too much faith into trends, they are what they are and we all know they will break from yr to yr.

kill your books bro

[DUlrich1227]

was leaning AF Going to jump on em i think

[Tommy]

Good Stuff Guys Im still stuck on this game but will look at some things and get back

[naught33]

GL on the game, very good info up above....this game doesnt interest me either way, don't think im going to bet on it....I saw AF struggle mightily against Utah last week until utah lost focus, and ive seen CSU get ran all over on..maybe the over if anything, but this one doesnt entice me.