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Old 09-30-05, 01:40 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Saturday 10/1 CFB Trends.

NCAA Football Trends

Tuesday, September 27th

Toledo at Fresno State, 9:00 EST ESPN2
Toledo - 8-0 ATS off a win by 21+ points
Fresno State - 13-4 Over in September

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Wednesday, September 28th

Cincinnati at Miami OH, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Cincinnati - 12-3 Under off an ATS win
Miami OH - 6-0 ATS at home off a conference game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Thursday, September 29th

Air Force at Colorado State, 7:30 EST ESPN
Air Force - 16-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Colorado State - 4-19 ATS off BB non-conference games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Friday, September 30th

Pittsburgh at Rutgers, 8:00 EST ESPN2
Pittsburgh - 9-2 Under off BB road games
Rutgers - 4-16 ATS off a bye week

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Saturday, October 1st

Illinois at Iowa, 12:00 EST ESPN
Illinois - 1-8 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Iowa - 12-1 ATS in home games

Indiana at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Indiana - 1-7 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Wisconsin - 8-1 ATS in home games

(TC) Syracuse at Florida State, 3:30 EST ABC
Syracuse - 8-20 ATS as a road underdog
Florida State - 9-2 Under off BB straight up wins

Michigan at Michigan State, 12:00 EST ABC
Michigan - 8-2 Under off a loss by 3 points or less
Michigan State - 18-6 ATS off a road win

(TC) Colorado at Oklahoma State, 2:00 EST
Colorado - 2-11 ATS away after forcing 0 turnovers
Oklahoma State - 5-1 ATS off BB non-conference games

Virginia at Maryland, 12:00 EST
Virginia - 16-6 Under in October
Maryland - 0-6 ATS in the first half of the season

(TC) Clemson at Wake Forest, 3:30 EST
Clemson - 6-1 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
Wake Forest - 4-12 ATS off a conference game

Virginia Tech at West Virginia, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Virginia Tech - 10-2 ATS off an ATS win
West Virginia - 5-15 ATS vs. ACC opponents

Mississippi at Tennessee, 12:30 EST
Mississippi - 12-4 ATS off BB games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Tennessee - 4-11 ATS in home games

(TC) Iowa State at Nebraska, 3:30 EST ABC
Iowa State - 13-29 ATS away on artificial turf
Nebraska - 21-8 ATS at home in October

Baylor at Texas A&M, 12:30 EST
Baylor - 5-1 Under vs. conference opponents
Texas A&M - 16-3 ATS off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers

Ball State at Boston College, 1:00 EST
Ball State - 3-10 ATS in road games
Boston College - 6-0 Over off BB conference games

Navy at Duke, 1:00 EST
Navy - 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss
Duke - 3-10 ATS in the first half of the season

Kent State at Eastern Michigan, 2:00 EST
Kent State - 7-3 ATS off a conference loss
Eastern Michigan - 8-14 ATS off a straight up win

(TC) Florida at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Florida - 13-4 Over off a road win by 10+ points
Alabama - 9-21 ATS at home off an Under

LSU at Mississippi State, 2:30 EST
LSU - 8-2 ATS in road games
Mississippi State - 4-9 ATS off a conference loss

UNLV at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
UNLV - 5-16 ATS after allowing 100 rushing yards or less
Wyoming - 6-0 ATS in home games

(TC) Connecticut at Army, 12:00 EST ESPNU
Connecticut - 15-5 ATS away off BB non-conference games
Army - 2-9 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Minnesota at Penn State, 3:30 EST ABC
Minnesota - 13-4 ATS in the first half of the season
Penn State - 2-8 ATS off a straight up win

(TC) Texas at Missouri, 12:00 EST ABC
Texas - 7-2 ATS in road games
Missouri - 2-9 ATS off a home win by 28+ points

(TC) Utah at North Carolina, 1:30 EST
Utah - 19-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
North Carolina - 5-17 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

USC at Arizona State, 3:30 EST ABC
USC - 14-2 ATS off a conference game
Arizona State - 2-8 ATS off a road game

(TC) Washington at UCLA, 10:15 EST FSN
Washington - 0-7 ATS on grass fields
UCLA - 7-0 ATS off an Over

(TC) Arizona at California, 7:00 EST TBS
Arizona - 16-31 ATS off an Over
California - 7-1 Under off BB games scoring 31+ points

Temple at Bowling Green, 4:00 EST
Temple - 2-10 ATS vs. MAC opponents
Bowling Green - 9-1 ATS at home off BB road games

Washington State at Oregon State, 4:00 EST
Washington State - 0-7 ATS in October
Oregon State - 21-9 ATS as a home favorite

SMU at Marshall, 4:30 EST
SMU - 2-11 ATS in road games
Marshall - 7-3 ATS off a conference loss

Utah State at Idaho, 5:00 EST
Utah State - 4-14 ATS away off a win
Idaho - 5-1 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points

Oregon at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Oregon - 12-4 ATS off a conference game
Stanford - 12-26 ATS after having 75 or less rushing yards

Southern Mississippi at East Carolina, 6:00 EST
Southern Miss - 9-1 ATS off a non-conference game
East Carolina - 0-8 ATS at home off an Under

Central Michiagn at Akron, 6:00 EST
Central Michigan - 4-13 ATS off a conference game
Akron - 6-1 ATS off a home win

Nevada at San Jose State, 7:00 EST ABC
Nevada - 12-3 in road games
San Jose State - 1-13 ATS off BB road losses

(TC) South Florida at Miami FL, 8:00 EST ESPNU
South Florida - 5-1 ATS off BB games scoring 20+ first-half points
Miami FL - 0-6 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points

(TC) Notre Dame at Purdue, 7:45 EST ESPN
Notre Dame - 10-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Purdue - 8-2 Under in home games

Rice at UAB, 7:00 EST
Rice - 4-15 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards
UAB - 7-1 ATS in October

Buffalo at Western Michigan, 7:00 EST
Buffalo - 3-11 ATS in road games
Western Michigan - 5-1 Under off a straight up win

Houston at Tulsa, 7:00 EST
Houston - 2-12 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Tulsa - 5-1 Under off a home game

Kansas at Texas Tech, 7:00 EST
Kansas - 5-15 ATS after having 75 or less rushing yards
Texas Tech - 7-0 ATS at home in the first half of the season

Kansas State at Oklahoma, 7:00 EST
Kansas State - 26-12 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Oklahoma - 1-10 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points

New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
New Mexico State - 7-0 ATS off BB games allowing 225+ rushing yards
Louisiana Tech - 2-12 ATS off a bye week

New Mexico at TCU, 7:00 EST
New Mexico - 16-6 ATS off an Under
TCU - 2-12 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards

(TC) South Carolina at Auburn, 7:00 EST ESPN2
South Carolina - 8-20 ATS off an Over
Auburn - 8-1 ATS in October

UTEP at Memphis, 8:00 EST
UTEP - 8-0 ATS in October
Memphis - 3-13 ATS after allowing 37+ points

BYU at San Diego State, 10:00 EST ESPNC
BYU - 15-5 Under off a conference loss
San Diego State - 4-18 ATS off BB ATS wins

Boise State at Hawaii, 11:59 EST
Boise State - 12-2 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Hawaii - 9-2 Over off BB ATS wins


Added Games

Florida Atlantic at Louisville, 12:00 EST ESPNC
Florida Atlantic - 0-6 ATS on grass fields
Louisville - 6-0 ATS in home games

Arkansas State at Louisiana Monroe, 7:00 EST
Arkansas State - 8-2 ATS after gaining 6.25+ yards per play
LA Monroe - 3-12 ATS off a straight up win

Middle Tennessee State at Vanderbilt, 7:00 EST
Mid Tenn State - 1-5 ATS off a bye week
Vanderbilt - 7-0 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Central Florida at Louisiana Lafayette, 8:00 EST
Central Florida - 8-2 Under first half of the season
LA Lafayette - 1-6 ATS off a bye week

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additional Trends:
College Football

TCU: Patterson is 0-6 ATS after scoring 14 or less points.

Virginia: Groh is 8-1 ATS away after a non-conference game

West Virginia: Rodriguez is 0-8 ATS versus non-conference opponents

Maryland: 10-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

SMU: Bennett is 3-13 ATS as a road underdog

Toledo: Amstutz is 8-0 ATS after a home win by 28 or more points.

Temple: Wallace is 1-9 ATS vs. MAC teams

Wake Forest: Grobe is 3-13 ATS as a favorite

Boston College: O'Brien is 10-2 ATS at home after allowing 14 or less points

Michigan State: Smith 2-9 ATS in non-conference games.

Alabama: Shula is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 or -3.

Virginia Tech: Beamer is 14-5 ATS after BB games with one or less turnovers

California: Tedford is 13-5 ATS off a road game.

South Florida: Leavitt is 0-6 ATS at home after forcing 1 or less turnovers

Connecticut: Edsall is 14-0 ATS after forcing 3 or more turnovers.

Rice: Hatfield is 13-5 ATS after a road game with a turnover ratio of -2 or more.

Fresno State: Hill is 9-2 ATS vs. Pac 10 teams

LA Tech: Bicknell 6-16 ATS away in the first half of the year.

Wyoming: Glenn is 11-3 ATS off an ATS win.

Miami (FL): Coker is 0-8 ATS after allowing 75 or less passing yards.

Florida: Meyer is 13-2 ATS in September

New Mexico State: Mumme is 2-11 ATS after going under the total in their previous game.

Purdue: Tiller is 3-12 ATS away after scoring 24 points in the first half of their previous game.

Arizona State: Kotter is 9-1 ATS after scoring 31 or more points in BB games

Northwestern: Walker is 5-14 ATS off a SU home win

USC: Carroll is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points.
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Old 09-30-05, 01:42 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Old 10-01-05, 04:10 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Old 10-01-05, 04:17 PM   #4 (permalink)
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-- Iowa is 15-2 vs spread as double digit home favorite. Illinois is 6-14 vs spread in last 20 Big 11 road games.
-- Florida State won 17-13 at Carrier Dome last year, as 19-point favorites; they're 7-10 in last 17 tries as road favorite.
-- Colorado is 6-3 in last nine games as road favorite, 9-3 vs spread in last dozen games on carpet.
-- Home team covered eight of last 11 Virginia-Maryland games. Terps already have two home losses this season, vs Clemson, West Virginia.
-- Short week for Tennessee, which had miracle comeback vs LSU Monday night; Clausen gets nod at QB for Vols. Dogs covered seven of last nine Ole Miss-Tennessee tilts.
-- Ball State lost its three games by combined score of 159-34. Boston College in Clemson-Virginia sandwich; they beat Cardinals by just 19-11 at Muncie last year. Cardinals 3-10 in last 13 tries as road dog.
-- Duke is 8-12 in last 20 tries as home dog, 1-8 vs spread in non-ACC home games.
-- Road team covered six of last nine Kent State-E. Michigan games.
-- Also short week for LSU after blowing 21-point lead at home for first time in 112 year history of program; they're 12-5-1 vs spread in last 18 SEC road games, and 6-1 in last seven tries as road favorite.
-- Underdog covered seven of last nine Wyoming-UNLV games, with Cowboys covering their last four visits to the Strip.
-- Utah hammered North Carolina last year, 46-16, outgaining Heels 669-221; Utes covered 22 of their last 29 non-league road games.
-- UCLA won seven of its last eight vs Washington (7-0-1 vs spread); will they look ahead to Cal game next week? Huskies lost last two visits to Rose Bowl, 35-13/46-16.
-- Bowling Green went to Philly and waxed Temple last year, 70-16, their fourth cover in five tries vs Owls.
-- Favorite is 10-3 vs spread in last 13 Washington St-Oregon St games; Coogs lost last two trips to Corvallis, 38-9/38-19.
-- In its two games vs D-I teams this year, Marshall (11.5-point favorite in this game) has been outscored 38-3 in first half, outrushed 284-85 and converted just 9 of 36 third down plays.
-- Home side won last three Utah St-Idaho games, with Vandals winning last meeting here, 20-13. Problem is, Idaho been outscored 58-6 last two games- they were shut out at home by Hawai'i last week.
-- Oregon had its Super bowl last week, leading USC for half, before being outscored 35-0 in second half; they won last three games vs Stanford by 41-14/35-0 and 16-13 scores. Cardinal lost to I-AA Cal-Davis, so they're suspect.
-- Southern Mississippi is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games vs East Carolina, but Pirates covered last five tries as a home dog.
-- Dogs are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 Central Michigan-Akron games. Zips are 3-7 in last ten tries as home favorite.
-- UAB is 8-11 as home favorite since 1998.
-- Buffalo has been outscored 86-3 so far this season, with all three games staying under total. Western Michigan won 31-17 at Buffalo in their last meeting, as 11-point road favorite.
-- Houston is 3-6 as road dog under Briles. Tulsa allowed 335 rushing yards last week, still beat Memphis in OT.
-- Underdog covered four of the last five Kansas-Texas Tech games; Tech won 31-30 at Lawrence last year. Last three series games decided by total of 10 points.
-- Louisiana Tech is double digit favorite, despite losing its two games by combined score of 75-17. New Mexico State covered two of last 11 conference road games.
-- New Mexico covered ten of last twelve Mountain West road games.
-- BYU covered six of its last seven games vs San Diego State, but just three of its last 12 as a road favorite. - Boise State pounded Hawai'i last year 69-3; they won last two trips to this site by 28-21/45-28 scores. Warriors are 13-7 in last 20 games as home dog.
-- Florida Atlantic coach Schnellenberger coached Louisville to bowl win over Alabama; his Florida Atlantic team is 0-4, losing by average score of 32-12. Cardinals lost last week, but covered last six tries as home favorite.
-- Underdog covered last five Arkansas State-UL-Monroe games.
-- Middle Tennessee won last two games vs Vanderbilt, 37-28/ 21-20, as 7 and 6-point dog, but Commodores off to best start in 20 years; one of their WR's was shot in arm at party last week.
-- - O'Leary won his first game in 14 tries at Central Florida last week, now he's road favorite to win #2. UL-Lafayette is 0-5 vs spread after bye, 6-13 vs spread after a win, 4-2 as home dog.
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Old 10-01-05, 07:26 PM   #5 (permalink)
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damn good stuff fellas, keep it coming, love this shit!
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