[Tommy]

College Football Saturday - Week 3

September 18, 2010

(12) Arkansas @ Georgia 12:00 ET

Odds: Georgia -2 | Total 53½

LY, Georgia (+2) won 52-41 at Arkansas, as suspect QB Cox averaged over 20 yards a completion; Murray is upgrade at QB for Dawgs in '10, but star WR Green is still suspended. Georgia is 12-20-1 as home fave since '04; they were outgained by 101 yards last week in Columbia, with Dawgs getting outrushed 189-61. Arkansas has Alabama coming to town next week; they're 4-4 as road dog under Petrino, 1-8 SU on foreign soil.

Connecticut @ Temple 12:00 ET

Odds: Connecticut -6 | Total 49

Temple was booted out of Big East to make room for UConn; Owls lost in OT in last series meeting (12-9, +6 in '08). UConn is 9-3 as road fave since '02, 17-10 vs spread in non-league games. Temple is 7-2-1 as home dog under Golden; they won first two games in dramatic fashion, and do not think they'll look past team that pushed them out of a BCS league. Big East teams are now 1-8-1 vs spread in non-conference games.

San Diego State @ Missouri 7:00 ET

Odds: Missouri -16 | Total 57½

San Diego State is 2-0 for first time since '94; they're 9-13-1 as road dog since '06, 3-8-1 vs spread in last 12 non-league games. Mountain West underdogs are 1-4 vs spread in non-league games; Big 12 home favorites are 7-5. Missouri is just 2-6 vs spread as home favorite since '08, but is 14-7 vs spread in last 21 non-league games. Aztecs ran for 244 yards in 41-21 win last week, passed for 319 more, offsetting 106 penalty yards.

BYU @ Florida State 3:30 ET

Odds: Florida St. -10 | Total 60

Florida State (+8) crushed BYU 54-28 LY, running ball for 313 yards in game where FSU was +5 in turnovers; Seminoles are just 7-18 as home favorite since '05, but are 12-8 vs spread in game following last 20 losses. BYU is 0-3 as road dog since '07, losing by 10-25-24 points; they lost at Air Force last week, giving up 409 rushing yards- this is third tough foe in row for Cougar squad that can't decide which quarterback to play.

(8) Nebraska @ Washington 3:30 ET

Odds: Nebraska -3 | Total 52

Washington is 4-1 as home underdog under Sarkisian; Huskies were up only 13-10 at half vs Syracuse last week before pulling away late- they have big edge in experience at QB, as this is first road start for Martinez, a very mobile QB. Cornhuskers are 4-2 in last six games as road favorite, are 8-2 in non-league games under Pelini. Favorites are 8-3 vs spread in Pac-10's non-league games so far (Pac-10 clubs 1-3 as the dog).

Clemson @ (16) Auburn 7:00 ET

Odds: Auburn -7½ | Total 54½

Clemson coach Swinney went to Alabama, so ending Clemson's 13-game skid vs Auburn would be doubly sweet; Clemson is 7-2 as road underdog since '05, but just 4-8 vs spread in last 12 non-league games. Auburn is in SEC sandwich (South Carolina next week); they start four OL seniors, are 8-15 as home favorite since '06. Teams last met in '07, when Auburn (+2) beat Clemson 23-20 in OT in Chick-fil-A Bowl.

(6) Texas @ Texas Tech 8:00 ET

Odds: Texas -3½ | Total 51

Average total in last five Texas-Texas Tech games is 73.4, but with both sides leaning more to run, score will be lower here, on 56th birthday for new Tech coach Tuberville. Senior QB for Tech, while soph Gilbert is making first start in hostile territory. Longhorns are 6-4 in last 10 games as road favorite, Tech is 5-1 as recent home dog. Texas starts 4 seniors on offensive line, Red Raiders start three sophomores.

Mississippi State @ (15) LSU 7:00 ET

Odds: LSU -7½ | Total 44½

LSU is 17-1 last 18 games vs Mississippi State, winning last 10 games, but Bulldogs were stopped on 1-yard line with 1:08 left in LY's 30-26 home loss to Tigers, as Mullen has MSU on right track. Bulldogs are 2-2 as road dog under Mullen (12-19-1 in last 32 games before him). LSU is 11-19-1 as home favorite under Miles; they outgained Vandy 392-135 in methodical 27-10 road win in conference opener last week.

Fresno State @ Utah State 8:00 ET

Odds: Fresno St. -3½ | Total 58½

Home side won seven of last eight Fresno-Utah State games; Bulldogs won last visit here 30-28 (-15.5- long FG on last play), won last three series games by 11-2-4 points (underdog covered last five series games). Utah State went to Norman, outgained Sooners 442-441, so they've got talent, and QB with 23 career starts. Aggies are 15-5 vs spread in last 20 games as a dog. Could Fresno be looking ahead to Ole Miss next week?

Notre Dame @ Michigan State 8:00 ET

Odds: Michigan St. -3½ | Total 53½

Visitor is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine Notre Dame-Michigan State games; with average total in last five, 60.0. Three of last five series games were decided by exactly 3 points. Spartans are just 16-27-1 as home favorite since '01; they've run ball for 297-225 yards in winning first two games this year. Irish were 9-6 as road dog under Weis; Kelly's Cincinnati and Central Michigan clubs were 10-5-1 as a road underdog.


(9) Iowa @ (24) Arizona 10:30 ET

Odds: Arizona -1 | Total 46

Iowa (-3) held Arizona to 8 first downs in 27-17 home win LY, but that was just before Foles became Wildcats' starting QB; Arizona is 9-1-1 as home underdog since '05, 20-10-1 vs spread in last 31 games as the dog. Iowa is 8-1 vs spread last nine road games, but hasn't won game west of Rockies since '87 (first trip west in six years). 12,000 Iowa fans going to this game. Big 11 teams are 5-3-1 as non-conference fave, 0-1-1 on road.

(23) Houston @ UCLA 10:30 ET

Odds: Houston -4 | Total 64½

UCLA gave up 66 points in losing its first two games and was booed at home in last game (35-0 loss to Stanford); now Bruins are home dog to a team from Conference USA. Bruins were 0-3 as home dog LY, after 11-2 run as home dog from '02-'08. UCLA is 14-6 vs spread in last 20 games out of Pac-10. Houston is 1-8 as road favorite under Sumlin (home team is 16-2 vs spread in Cougar games since he became Houston's coach).

Wake Forest @ (19) Stanford 11:15 ET

Odds: Stanford -17½ | Total 59

Stanford plays Notre Dame next week, better not look past Wake Forest squad that was down 17-3 at half LY, rallied to beat Cardinal 24-17 in game where Wake outrushed Stanford 251-115. Deacons are 2-5 as road underdog since '07, after being 17-7 in previous 24 tries. Stanford is 13-5 as home favorite since '02, 7-3 under Harbaugh- they crushed UCLA in Rose Bowl last week 35-0. If not for revenge, this would be trap game.

[Tommy]

-- West Virginia is 6-13 vs spread in last 19 games as favorite, 3-8 as HF under Stewart; they won last three games vs Maryland by average score of 36-19. Maryland is 11-21 vs spread in game after its last 32 wins.

-- Underdog covered last three Iowa St-Kansas St games; Snyder is 32-18 vs spread in his last 50 Big 12 games. Cyclones are 6-1 vs spread in last seven games as a road dog. KState blocked PAT to win 24-23 LY.

-- Purdue is 7-13 as home favorite since '05; they won last seven games vs Ball State by average score of 38-15. Cardinals are 13-3 as a road dog the last four years, 6-0 the last two seasons.

-- Illinois is 4-9 as home favorite since '06, 3-11 in non-league contests. Northern Illinois coach Kill has been in hospital; the coordinators have been running practice this week. NIU is 5-2 as road dog under Kill.

-- Ohio U (+33) led 14-12 after three quarters in Columbus two years ago, lost 26-14. Bobcats are 10-5-1 as road dog since '06. Buckeyes are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as a home favorite.

-- Penn State was 1-6 as home favorite LY, after being 14-7 from '05-'08; they're 3-4 vs spread in game after last seven losses. Kent State is 11-8 as road underdog since '06- they were down 6-3 at half at BC last week.

-- Georgia Tech is 10-2 in last 12 games vs North Carolina; home side is 4-1 in last five series games. UNC is 10-19 as home favorite since '06-- not sure what players are suspended. Tech is 9-3 vs spread on road.

-- Vanderbilt is 20-5-1 vs spread as road dog since '04; they won 23-17 in last visit to Oxford (+7). Ole Miss is 7-3 as home favorite with Nutt as coach. Vandy was 10-27/69 passing in LY's 23-7 loss to Rebels.

-- Virginia Tech is smarting after loss to I-AA JMU; they're 5-11-2 in its non-ACC games, 9-12-1 as home favorite since '06. Last three games vs East Carolina had average total-- 31.3. ECU is 14-5 as road dog since '05.

-- Oklahoma State is 12-6 as home favorite since '06; they struggled with Troy last week, winning 41-38 (-13) despite five turnovers, 139 penalty yards. Tulsa is 6-13-1 vs spread in last 20 road games.

-- Alabama is 6-1 as road favorite since '06; they're at Arkansas, very big SEC game. Duke is 5-17 as home dog since '05; coach Cutcliffe is Bama grad. Duke (+5) scored 48 points last week and still didn't cover.

-- Hawai'i has been on mainland all week after winning at Army; they are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games as road dog. Underdog is 8-3 vs spread in Colorado's last 11 home games. Big 12 home favorites are 7-5.

-- Colorado State is 1-7 as road dog under Fairchild, losing 51-6 last week in Reno. Miami OH is 1-7-1 as home favorite since '06, but they hung in at Florida in opener. MWC underdogs are 1-4 in non-league games.

-- Florida is 8-3 as road favorite since '07 (16-10 overall in SEC); they've won last five games vs Tennessee, winning 21-20/30-6 in last two visits here. Vols gave up 45 consecutive points in loss to Oregon last week.

-- Washington State beat SMU in OT LY after being down 24-7, running two INTs back for TDs. Coogs are 10-18 vs spread after win since '03. Mustangs outgained Wazzu 504-276; they're 1-7 as home fave since '07.

-- Arizona State is 8-21-1 vs spread in last 30 games as road dog, 2-6-1 in Erickson era. Wisconsin is 15-8 in non-league games since '05, 4-6 last 10 games as home favorite. Big 11 home favorites are 5-2 vs spread.

-- Oregon State is 10-6 as home favorite since '06; they lost 63-27 in last game vs Louisville (+13, '05). Cardinals are 2-5-1 as road dog since '08. Big East teams are 1-8-1 vs spread in non-conference games.

-- Oklahoma is 17-7-1 as home favorite since '06; tough to prepare for Air Force's option attack in one week. Falcons ran ball for 409 yards in MWC win over BYU last week; they're 11-9-1 as road dog since '04.

-- Central Michigan is 11-8-1 as road favorite since '01; they won 56-8 in this game LY, after dog covered three of previous four in series. Average total in last three series games is 88.3. EMU is 5-9 as a home underdog.

-- Baylor is 7-3 as road dog under Briles; they lost 17-7/27-0 in last two games vs TCU, a former SWC rival. Frogs are 18-6 as home faves since '05- they have TV game vs local rival on deck next Friday.

-- Underdogs are 8-3 vs spread in C-USA games, with C-USA clubs 0-3 as non-league favorite. Marshall (+3) outrushed Bowling Green 246-10 in LY's 17-10 win. Falcons allowed 416 rush yards in losing first couple games, but they did cover both.

-- Navy is 1-5 as road favorite since '07; they ran ball for 290 yards LY in 32-14 win (-7.5) over Louisiana Tech, which is 6-0 as home underdog since '07. WAC teams are 8-3 vs spread, 5-3 as an underdog.

-- Central Florida was energized last week by freshman QB Godfrey, an electric runner; Knights were 2-0 as road fave LY, after being 1-9 from '03-'08. Buffalo is 10-8 as a home underdog since 2004.

-- Kentucky is 5-7 as home favorite since '07; they have SEC opener at Florida next week, figure to hold back some vs Akron club that lost 29-3 at home to Syracuse, and is 6-9-1 as road underdog since 2007.

-- Western Michigan won last four games vs Toledo, with road team 3-0 vs spread in last three; Broncos are 7-10 as home fave since '05. Toledo is 6-14 in last 20 games as road dog, even after last week's win at Ohio.

-- Rice pulled out wild 32-31 win at North Texas last week; they're 1-4-1 in last six games as road dog, after being 16-5 from '00-'08. Northwestern is 6-13 in last 19 non-league tilts; they're 0-4 as road fave since '07.

-- Utah's last two visits to New Mexico were both decided by 3 points, but '10 Lobos are awful, giving up 124 points in first two games, losing 72-0/52-17. New Mexico had 16 penalties/145 yards last week.

-- Boise State won 17-10/24-14 in last two games vs Wyoming club that figures to be emotional in first home game after death of teammate in car crash. Cowboys are 3-6 as a home underdog since 2007.

-- Road team covered last five New Mexico State-UTEP games. Miners are just 5-12 in last 17 games as home favorite- they gave up 656 yards last week, 300+ both running/passing. Aggies are 7-4-1 as a road dog.

-- UNLV is 8-20-1 as road dog since '04. Idaho is 2-7 as home favorite since '01; they threw five INTs, gave up 360 rushing yards in last week's loss at Nebraska. MWC underdogs are 1-4 vs spread this year.

-- Indiana is 1-9 SU on road last two years; they're 0-3-1 as a road fave since '00- they beat Western Kentucky 31-13 in '08, gaining 450 yards. WKU was down 42-14 at half of 63-28 loss at Kentucky last week.

-- North Texas is 2-6 as home dog since '08; they lost 32-31 to Rice here last week. Army is 0-4 as road favorite since '00; they lost to Hawai'i at home last week- they won here 17-13 (+2) late last season.

-- Home team won last five ULMonroe-Arkansas State games, as ULM lost last two visits here, 10-6/37-29. Monroe is 19-11 vs spread in last 20 games as road dog. ASU is 8-11 as home favorite since '05.

-- Florida Int'l is 7-11 vs spread as road dog under Cristobal; they lost a tough 19-14 game to Rutgers last week, but outgained Knights 371-172. Texas A&M covered six of last seven tries as a home favorite.

-- Memphis allowed 49 points in losing each of its first two games, but they're playing wrong QB; this is big game for them, with MTSU QB Dasher out for this game again (suspended). Tigers are 6-8 as home dog.

-- Troy lost 41-38 at Oklahoma State last week; they outgained UAB by 266 yards in LY's 31-14 win. Trojans are 8-5 in last 13 games as fave on road. Blazers are 11-5-2 vs spread as home underdog since '00.

[Tommy]

12:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. ARMY
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games on the road
Army is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Army is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

12:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. GEORGIA
Arkansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arkansas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia
Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Georgia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. PURDUE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ball State's last 11 games on the road
Ball State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Purdue is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Maryland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against West Virginia
Maryland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Maryland

12:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Georgia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
Georgia Tech is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
North Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. KANSAS STATE
Iowa State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas State
Iowa State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Iowa State
Kansas State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

12:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. MICHIGAN
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. PENN STATE
Kent State is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Penn State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

12:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. ILLINOIS
Northern Illinois is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
OHIO vs. OHIO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. TEMPLE
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games at home
Temple is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

12:20 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MISSISSIPPI
Vanderbilt is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Mississippi
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Mississippi is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Vanderbilt

1:30 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 7 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing East Carolina

3:30 PM
NEBRASKA vs. WASHINGTON
Nebraska is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home

3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. OKLAHOMA
Air Force is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Air Force is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington State's last 9 games on the road
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

3:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. TENNESSEE
Florida is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Florida is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Florida
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. DUKE
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Duke is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home

3:30 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Miami (Ohio) is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games
Miami (Ohio) is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

3:30 PM
BYU vs. FLORIDA STATE
BYU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Florida State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Florida State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Wisconsin is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

3:30 PM
HAWAII vs. COLORADO
Hawaii is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Hawaii is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. MINNESOTA
Southern Cal is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Southern Cal is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

4:00 PM
TROY vs. UAB
Troy is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Troy is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
UAB is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games at home

4:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Eastern Michigan is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:30 PM
BAYLOR vs. TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games on the road
Baylor is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
TCU is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
TCU is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home

5:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

5:30 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. OREGON STATE
Louisville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
Oregon State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games

6:15 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. OREGON
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games at home
Oregon is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Toledo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Toledo is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing Toledo
Western Michigan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. TEXAS A&M
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida International's last 11 games on the road
Florida International is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TULSA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Tulsa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulsa is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NAVY vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Navy is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. LSU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
Mississippi State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State

7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. RICE
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Rice is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Rice is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. BUFFALO
Central Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
AKRON vs. KENTUCKY
Akron is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 7 games on the road
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. BOWLING GREEN
Marshall is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Marshall is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Marshall
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall

7:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. AUBURN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Auburn is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. MISSOURI
San Diego State is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
San Diego State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Missouri is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Missouri is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
FURMAN vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Furman is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Furman is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
South Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:15 PM
MAINE vs. SYRACUSE
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home
Syracuse is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe

8:00 PM
S. UTAH vs. SAN JOSE STATE
S. Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
S. Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Jose State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. UTAH STATE
Fresno State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Fresno State
Utah State is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. NEW MEXICO
Utah is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
New Mexico is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
New Mexico is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games

8:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Notre Dame is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Notre Dame is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Michigan State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Notre Dame

8:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. WYOMING
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games
Wyoming is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS vs. TEXAS TECH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 9 games at home
Texas Tech is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas

9:05 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
New Mexico State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas El Paso
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas El Paso is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas El Paso is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico State

10:30 PM
UNLV vs. IDAHO
UNLV is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
UNLV is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Idaho is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Idaho is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
IOWA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games on the road
Iowa is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. UCLA
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
UCLA is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

11:15 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. STANFORD
Wake Forest is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 9 games on the road
Stanford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Stanford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

[Tommy]

POD

Clemson at Auburn

The Tigers look to take advantage of an Auburn team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games. Clemson is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Auburn favored by only 1 1/2.

Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+7 1/2).

[Tommy]

Saturday, Sept 18: College Football Week 3 Picks and Analysis

[Tommy]

Lenn Robbins, NY Post

GEORGIA (-2½) over Arkansas: Mark Richt (5-0) has owned Arkansas. The Hogs led 21-10 last year at home and couldn't get it done. Georgia covers on a late field goal.

TEMPLE (+6½) over UConn: The Owls have been tested twice this season and proven they can win. This is the program's best chance to build some buzz -- its first win over a BCS school in the Al Golden era.

NORTH CAROLINA (-1½) over Georgia Tech: What we've learned after two weeks: Tech QB Josh Nesbitt can't keep defenses honest, and there's no Jonathan Dwyer to bail him out. We like the Tar Heels buoyed by a home crowd that believes the NCAA is on a witch hunt.

VIRGINIA TECH (-19½) over East Carolina: The Pirates shocked the Hokies in the past, but Tech got shocked into reality after losing to James Madison last week. The Pirates are 1-7 in last eight road openers.

Alabama (-24) over DUKE: I don't care how early Nick Saban pulls his starters, Duke just gave up 54 to Wake Forest! Mark Ingram returns to the Tide backfield.

FLORIDA STATE (-10) over Brigham Young: The 'Noles are 3-0 vs. BYU, and each win has been by at least 16 points. Too much FSU speed.

TENNESSEE (+14) over Florida: According to the Vols, this is a rivalry. What rivalry? The Gators have won five straight in this matchup. Tennessee looked awful in a home loss last week to Oregon, but John Brantley isn't making any Florida fans forget Tim Tebow. The Gators are 104th in passing. Tennessee will force him to win the day.

MINNESOTA (+12½) over Southern Cal: The Golden Gophers are coming off a hor rific home loss to South Da kota State, but the Tro jans have looked disin terested in fail ing to cover the first two weeks. Welcome to Lane's World.

Air Force (+17) over OKLAHOMA: Wow, did the Sooners look great in that showdown against FSU last week. Now who comes to town? A service academy. Oklahoma wakes up later and wins but not before the third best team in the Mountain West does some damage on the ground.

WISCONSIN (-14) over Arizona State: The Badgers have won eight straight at home vs. non-conference BCS teams. The average margin of victory has been 14. This is a sleeper national championship team playing in the Big Ten's best home environment.

TEXAS TECH (+3) over Texas: The Longhorns haven't played a road game. The Longhorns haven't been tested. The Longhorns are changing personality to a power ground game. The Red Raiders have outplayed the Longhorns in each of the last two years and lost. That's not barbeque cookin' in Lubbock. That's an upset.

MICHIGAN STATE (-3½) over Notre Dame: More than the spread option, Michigan State is the kind of brute physical team Irish coach Brian Kelly fears. He switched to the 3-4 because he doesn't have enough defensive linemen. The Spartans, whipped into an emotional frenzy by having the Irish for a prime-time telecast, run the ball until it hurts.

ARIZONA (+1½) over Iowa: Kirk Ferentz is 23-32 in away games and this is away! And at night. And don't discount the emotion that went into the Hawkeyes' win over Iowa State last week for the CyHawk Trophy. Oh yes, Iowa is 4-8 in last 12 road openers.

LAST WEEK: 10-5 overall; 3-0 best bets.