[Wigington]

Before I started the write up I thought this would be a tough pick, but the data shows otherwise.

Virginia Tech is scoring: 39.3ppg
Opponent Defense Average (Everyone they have played): 25.45pa

Virginia Tech is allowing: 9ppg
Opponent Offense Ave: 20.6 Average

Virginia Tech on offense is Outperforming their competitors: 13.85ppg
Virginia Tech Defense Out perform their competitors: -11.57ppg

There composites out performance which is (13.85)-(-11.57ppg)=25.4ppg

Maryland Offense is scoring: 28.5 ppg
Opponent Defense Average: 28.9

Maryland Defense is allowing: 21.8ppg
Opponent Offense is Avg: 23.98ppg

Maryland Offensive outperforms their competitors. -.4ppg
Maryland Defensive out perform: -2.183
Composite out performance: (-.04)-(-2.183)=1.783

Now if you do it just from that the Virginia Tech have a 23.63 edge but my system puts into play home field advantage etc.

I go back four years and look at a teams record at home all through that stretch

In 2002 the Maryland won 6/7 home games
In 2003 the Maryland won 5/6 home games
in 2004 the Maryland won 4/6 home games
In 2005 the Maryland won 1/3 home games

So the Maryland have won 72.7% of their home games over the last four years, its impressive.

Here is my factor on how much extra point I give a home team for its home record over that stretch.

W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points
70-90%: 4 points
55-70%: 3 points
40-55%: 2 point
25-40%: 1 point
0-25%: 0 points

The Maryland get four point Droppings Virginia Tech’s edge from 23.63 to 19.63

Take Virginia Tech big to cover the 10 point spread.

[Tommy]

Thanks for the Info Bro

[naught33]

GL tonight bro, on paper this looks like a total mismatch, MD hung in for a quarter lets see what happens now with VT up 7-0

[Tommy]

Nice CALL

[naught33]

you should post more often, you were dead on here bro! nice job