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Old 10-22-05, 09:41 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default ***Wigington's NCAA System 10/21***

Ok guys I hit it big Thursday on VT and the system was dead on, so lets see how we can do this Saturday!

Michigan vs Iowa

Michigan off avg = 28.4ppg
Opposing def avg = 24.5
Michigan outperforms 3.9ppg

Michigan def avg = 19.4
Opposing off avg = 33.9
Michigan outperforms -14.5ppg

Their composites outperformance (3.9)-(-14.5) = 18.4ppg

Iowa off avg = 31.0ppg
Opposing def avg = 29.85ppg
Iowa outperforms 1.15

Iowa def avg = 17.1ppg
Opposing off avg = 24.92
Iowa outperforms -7.82

Their composites outperformance (1.15)-(-7.82) = 8.97

Now I look at home field advantage for Iowa:

2002 6/7
2003 7/7
2004 6/6
2005 4/4

So Iowa has won 95.8% of thier home games in the past 4 years.

W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points
70-90%: 4 points
55-70%: 3 points
40-55%: 2 point
25-40%: 1 point
0-25%: 0 points

Iowa gets 5 points dropping Michigan's edge from 9.43 to 4.43.

Michigan+3


Ohio St. vs Indiana

Ohio St off avg = 26.5
Opposing def avg = 19.7
Ohio St outperforms 6.8ppg

Ohio St def avg = 15.3ppg
Opposing off avg = 35.18
Ohio St outperforms -19.88

Their composites outperformance (6.8)-(-19.88)= 26.68

Indiana off avg = 29.0ppg
Opposing def avg = 27.76ppg
Indiana outperforms = 1.24ppg

Indiana def avg = 25.0ppg
Opposing off avg = 27.96
Indiana outperforms -2.96

Their composites outperformance (1.24)-(-2.96)= 4.2

Home field advantage for Indiana

2002 3/6
2003 2/6
2004 2/5
2005 3/3

So Indiana has won 50% of thier home games

W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points
70-90%: 4 points
55-70%: 3 points
40-55%: 2 point
25-40%: 1 point
0-25%: 0 points

Indiana gets 2 points dropping Ohio St.'s edge from 26.68 to 20.48

Ohio St -15.5

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Old 10-22-05, 09:52 AM   #2 (permalink)
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BOL Today Wigington. I like how you break it down. Cash tickets all day long, might join you here.
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Old 10-22-05, 01:52 PM   #3 (permalink)
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yeah i def like how you approach games and this system looks solid...i might tail you on these 2 games even though my inital thoughts were on the other side of both...BOL
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Old 10-22-05, 04:10 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Well nothing is guaranteed, but I feel comfortable about these plays. We will see shortly how we do.

BOL!
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Old 10-22-05, 08:47 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Wow, I'm impressed. And I'm not one to just give it up. To call V tech by 19 and they win by 20 I thought that was lucky. But to say Ohio st by 21 and they win by 31 and call Michigan by 4 and they win by 3 is very impressive. Congrats to you. Will look forward to your insights on other games!!!

KILO
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Old 10-22-05, 08:59 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Thanks guys, I appreciate the responses. I will definately post more here and I will post my NFL plays as well. I typically post at covers.com but there a lot of people who like to stir up trouble. I myself take capping very serious. I like the attitude of this place much better. Will have NFL pix later tonight...BOL!
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Old 10-22-05, 09:03 PM   #7 (permalink)
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we are definately glad to have you here bro...solid job, looking fwd to your picks to come...anymore games today you like?
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Old 10-22-05, 10:00 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wigington
Thanks guys, I appreciate the responses. I will definately post more here and I will post my NFL plays as well. I typically post at covers.com but there a lot of people who like to stir up trouble. I myself take capping very serious. I like the attitude of this place much better. Will have NFL pix later tonight...BOL!
Wig, welcome to SCI, and congrats on your picks!!! We always can use another Great capper!!!
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Old 10-23-05, 09:37 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Thanks for all of the positive feedback! I am glad I could help out, hopefully everyone was able to cash in today. I just put up my NFL pix for Sunday. This is my first week for NCAA & NFL with this new System I out together. If I win you win right? Let do it!
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Old 10-23-05, 10:41 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Glad to have you here Wig Like Nick said always great to have another solid capper. Congrats on the great day!!
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