Wigington's NCAA System 10/21

Wigington · 10-22-05, 04:41 AM

Ok guys I hit it big Thursday on VT and the system was dead on, so lets see how we can do this Saturday!

Michigan vs Iowa

Michigan off avg = 28.4ppg
Opposing def avg = 24.5
Michigan outperforms 3.9ppg

Michigan def avg = 19.4
Opposing off avg = 33.9
Michigan outperforms -14.5ppg

Their composites outperformance (3.9)-(-14.5) = 18.4ppg

Iowa off avg = 31.0ppg
Opposing def avg = 29.85ppg
Iowa outperforms 1.15

Iowa def avg = 17.1ppg
Opposing off avg = 24.92
Iowa outperforms -7.82

Their composites outperformance (1.15)-(-7.82) = 8.97

Now I look at home field advantage for Iowa:

2002 6/7
2003 7/7
2004 6/6
2005 4/4

So Iowa has won 95.8% of thier home games in the past 4 years.

W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points
70-90%: 4 points
55-70%: 3 points
40-55%: 2 point
25-40%: 1 point
0-25%: 0 points

Iowa gets 5 points dropping Michigan's edge from 9.43 to 4.43.

Michigan+3

Ohio St. vs Indiana

Ohio St off avg = 26.5
Opposing def avg = 19.7
Ohio St outperforms 6.8ppg

Ohio St def avg = 15.3ppg
Opposing off avg = 35.18
Ohio St outperforms -19.88

Their composites outperformance (6.8)-(-19.88)= 26.68

Indiana off avg = 29.0ppg
Opposing def avg = 27.76ppg
Indiana outperforms = 1.24ppg

Indiana def avg = 25.0ppg
Opposing off avg = 27.96
Indiana outperforms -2.96

Their composites outperformance (1.24)-(-2.96)= 4.2

Home field advantage for Indiana

2002 3/6
2003 2/6
2004 2/5
2005 3/3

So Indiana has won 50% of thier home games

W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points
70-90%: 4 points
55-70%: 3 points
40-55%: 2 point
25-40%: 1 point
0-25%: 0 points

Indiana gets 2 points dropping Ohio St.'s edge from 26.68 to 20.48

Ohio St -15.5

Tommy · 10-22-05, 04:52 AM

BOL Today Wigington. I like how you break it down. Cash tickets all day long, might join you here.

naught33 · 10-22-05, 08:52 AM

yeah i def like how you approach games and this system looks solid...i might tail you on these 2 games even though my inital thoughts were on the other side of both...BOL

Wigington · 10-22-05, 11:10 AM

Well nothing is guaranteed, but I feel comfortable about these plays. We will see shortly how we do.

BOL!

kilohana · 10-22-05, 03:47 PM

Wow, I'm impressed. And I'm not one to just give it up. To call V tech by 19 and they win by 20 I thought that was lucky. But to say Ohio st by 21 and they win by 31 and call Michigan by 4 and they win by 3 is very impressive. Congrats to you. Will look forward to your insights on other games!!!

KILO

Wigington · 10-22-05, 03:59 PM

Thanks guys, I appreciate the responses. I will definately post more here and I will post my NFL plays as well. I typically post at covers.com but there a lot of people who like to stir up trouble. I myself take capping very serious. I like the attitude of this place much better. Will have NFL pix later tonight...BOL!

naught33 · 10-22-05, 04:03 PM

we are definately glad to have you here bro...solid job, looking fwd to your picks to come...anymore games today you like?

QuickNick · 10-22-05, 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wigington

Thanks guys, I appreciate the responses. I will definately post more here and I will post my NFL plays as well. I typically post at covers.com but there a lot of people who like to stir up trouble. I myself take capping very serious. I like the attitude of this place much better. Will have NFL pix later tonight...BOL!

Wig, welcome to SCI, and congrats on your picks!!! We always can use another Great capper!!!

Wigington · 10-23-05, 04:37 AM

Thanks for all of the positive feedback! I am glad I could help out, hopefully everyone was able to cash in today. I just put up my NFL pix for Sunday. This is my first week for NCAA & NFL with this new System I out together. If I win you win right? Let do it!

Tommy · 10-23-05, 05:41 AM

Glad to have you here Wig

Like Nick said always great to have another solid capper. Congrats on the great day!!

10-22-05, 04:41 AM	#1 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	*Wigington's NCAA System 10/21* Ok guys I hit it big Thursday on VT and the system was dead on, so lets see how we can do this Saturday! Michigan vs Iowa Michigan off avg = 28.4ppg Opposing def avg = 24.5 Michigan outperforms 3.9ppg Michigan def avg = 19.4 Opposing off avg = 33.9 Michigan outperforms -14.5ppg Their composites outperformance (3.9)-(-14.5) = 18.4ppg Iowa off avg = 31.0ppg Opposing def avg = 29.85ppg Iowa outperforms 1.15 Iowa def avg = 17.1ppg Opposing off avg = 24.92 Iowa outperforms -7.82 Their composites outperformance (1.15)-(-7.82) = 8.97 Now I look at home field advantage for Iowa: 2002 6/7 2003 7/7 2004 6/6 2005 4/4 So Iowa has won 95.8% of thier home games in the past 4 years. W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points 70-90%: 4 points 55-70%: 3 points 40-55%: 2 point 25-40%: 1 point 0-25%: 0 points Iowa gets 5 points dropping Michigan's edge from 9.43 to 4.43. Michigan+3 Ohio St. vs Indiana Ohio St off avg = 26.5 Opposing def avg = 19.7 Ohio St outperforms 6.8ppg Ohio St def avg = 15.3ppg Opposing off avg = 35.18 Ohio St outperforms -19.88 Their composites outperformance (6.8)-(-19.88)= 26.68 Indiana off avg = 29.0ppg Opposing def avg = 27.76ppg Indiana outperforms = 1.24ppg Indiana def avg = 25.0ppg Opposing off avg = 27.96 Indiana outperforms -2.96 Their composites outperformance (1.24)-(-2.96)= 4.2 Home field advantage for Indiana 2002 3/6 2003 2/6 2004 2/5 2005 3/3 So Indiana has won 50% of thier home games W-L % at home L4 years >90%: 5 points 70-90%: 4 points 55-70%: 3 points 40-55%: 2 point 25-40%: 1 point 0-25%: 0 points Indiana gets 2 points dropping Ohio St.'s edge from 26.68 to 20.48 Ohio St -15.5
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 04:52 AM	#2 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	BOL Today Wigington. I like how you break it down. Cash tickets all day long, might join you here.
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 08:52 AM	#3 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	yeah i def like how you approach games and this system looks solid...i might tail you on these 2 games even though my inital thoughts were on the other side of both...BOL __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 11:10 AM	#4 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Well nothing is guaranteed, but I feel comfortable about these plays. We will see shortly how we do. BOL!
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 03:47 PM	#5 (permalink)
kilohana SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 61	Wow, I'm impressed. And I'm not one to just give it up. To call V tech by 19 and they win by 20 I thought that was lucky. But to say Ohio st by 21 and they win by 31 and call Michigan by 4 and they win by 3 is very impressive. Congrats to you. Will look forward to your insights on other games!!! KILO
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 03:59 PM	#6 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Thanks guys, I appreciate the responses. I will definately post more here and I will post my NFL plays as well. I typically post at covers.com but there a lot of people who like to stir up trouble. I myself take capping very serious. I like the attitude of this place much better. Will have NFL pix later tonight...BOL!
Status: Offline

10-22-05, 04:03 PM	#7 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	we are definately glad to have you here bro...solid job, looking fwd to your picks to come...anymore games today you like? __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

10-23-05, 04:37 AM	#9 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Thanks for all of the positive feedback! I am glad I could help out, hopefully everyone was able to cash in today. I just put up my NFL pix for Sunday. This is my first week for NCAA & NFL with this new System I out together. If I win you win right? Let do it!
Status: Offline

10-23-05, 05:41 AM	#10 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	Glad to have you here Wig Like Nick said always great to have another solid capper. Congrats on the great day!!
Status: Offline

***Wigington's NCAA System 10/21***

Wigington's NCAA System 10/21