$$$ Wigington's Early Saturday NCAA Pix $$$

Wigington · 10-27-05, 06:22 AM

I know it sonly Thursday, but I have some early plays already that I like.

Ohio State vs Minnesota

Ohio St Off Avg = 28.6ppg
Opp Def Avg = 22.61ppg
Ohio St Outperforms = 5.99ppg

Ohio St Def Avg = 14.6ppg
Opp Off Avg = 33.35ppg
Ohio St Outperforms = -18.75ppg

Ohio St's Composite Performance = 24.74ppg

Minnesota Off Avg = 36.6ppg
Opp Def Avg = 22.67ppg
Minnesota Outperforms = 13.93ppg

Minnesota Def Avg = 25.4ppg
Opp Off Avg = 29.71ppg
Minnesota Outperforms = -4.31ppg

Minnesota's Composite Performance = 18.24ppg

Last 4 years at home:

2005 3/4
2004 5/6
2003 5/7
2002 5/7

Minnesota has won 18/24 home games in the past 4 years, which equates to a 75% winning percentage.

>90% = 5 pts
70-90% = 4 pts
55-69% = 3 pts
40-54% = 2 pts
25-39% = 1 pt
0-24% = 0 pts

Minnesota gets 4 points dropping Ohio St's Edge from 6.5ppg to 2.5ppg.

Minnesota +4

Purdue vs Penn St.

Purdue Off Avg = 29.9ppg
Opp Def Avg = 26.02ppg
Purdue Outperforms = 3.88ppg

Purdue Def Avg = 34.0ppg
Opp Off Avg = 31.51ppg
Purdue is Outperformed = 2.49ppg

Purdue's Composite Performance = 1.39ppg

Penn St Off Avg = 36.0ppg
Opp Def Avg = 25.5ppg
Penn St Outperforms = 10.5ppg

Penn St Def Avg = 16.3ppg
Opp Off Avg = 27.21ppg
Penn St Outperforms = -10.91ppg

Penn St's Composite Performance = 21.41ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 5/5
2004 3/6
2003 3/7
2002 7/8

Penn State has won 18/26(69%) home games in the past 4 years, giving them 3 points home field advantage. Thus, raising Penn St's Edge from 21.41ppg to 24.41ppg.

Penn State - 14

Wisconsin vs Illinois

Wisconsin Off Avg = 39.5ppg
Opp Def Avg = 30.06ppg
Wisconsin Outperforms = 9.44ppg

Wisconsin Def Avg = 24.5ppg
Opp Off Avg = 27.61ppg
Wisconsin Outperforms = -3.11ppg

Wisconsin Composite Performance = 12.55ppg

Ill Off Avg = 19.6ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.5
Ill is outperformed = -3.9ppg

Ill Def Avg = 39.9ppg
Opp Off Avg = 27.7ppg
Ill Outperformed = 12.2ppg

Illinois Composite Performance = -16.1ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 2/4
2004 3/7
2003 1/6
2002 3/6

Illinois has won 9/23(39%) home games in the last 4 years giving them 1 point of home field advantage. Lowering Wisconsin's Edge form 28.65ppg to 27.65ppg.

Wisconsin -20

Oklahoma vs Nebraska

OK Off Avg = 25.1ppg
Opp Def Avg = 21.78ppg
OK Outperforms = 3.32ppg

OK Def Avg = 24.6ppg
Opp Off Avg = 32.1ppg
OK Outperforms = -7.5ppg

Oklahoma Composite Performance = 10.82ppg

Neb Off Avg = 24.0ppg
Opp Def Avg = 23.15ppg
Neb outperforms = .85ppg

Neb Def Avg = 17.9ppg
Opp Off Avg = 30.9ppg
Neb Outperforms = -13ppg

Nebraska Composite Performance = 13.85ppg

Last 4 years at home

2005 4/5
2004 4/6
2003 6/7
2002 6/8

Nebraska has won 76% of their home games in the last 4 years. Raising Nebraska's Edge from 3.03ppg to 7.03ppg.

Nebraska -1.5

Now I plugged the Texas vs OSU game and Texa Edge was 36.5ppg. This is EXACTLY what the line is. So my system is dead on with the Vegas linesmakers. I do believe
Texas will cover and I especially like the Over 31 1st Half/Over 57.5 for the game. Texas quite possibly could take care of the Over by themselves. There were about 10 other games for NCAA that I plugged in to this system, but they were so close to the line that it was more of a coin toss so I decided not to go with those. I believe Texas and Penn State to be my strongest plays. I really believe that Minnesota comes through at home against a good Ohio State team who actually struggled moving the ball offensively first half againt Indiana. Well these are my strongest plays so far for NCAA. Hope they hit! Hope we all WIN!

naught33 · 10-27-05, 12:32 PM

GL on sat wiggy...i havent looked at these yet but im sure they are solid, i will check them out later tonight or tomorrow and let you know what i think bro, thanks!

mauikid · 10-28-05, 07:46 AM

Hey bro nice hit on VT just curious as to how you pick what games to cap......im with you on Penn big

kilohana · 10-29-05, 12:45 AM

Penn St gets it done as I will be on this one.
My system also calculates Whisky & Nebraska should cover.
But my system also says that Ohio St gets the cover in this one.
Regardless of the outcome good luck and keep up the superb capping!!!

KILO

Tommy · 10-29-05, 07:27 AM

BOL Today Wig!!

I changed your avatar, it is better now, the other one was a bit off centered for some reason. Hope its ok

naught33 · 10-29-05, 11:42 AM

BOL today wiggy, lets keep this system rollin rollin rollin along

Wigington · 10-29-05, 11:47 AM

Thanks BIG! BOL!

QuickNick · 10-29-05, 02:53 PM

Wig, I overslept and missed my game I loved today Wake Forest and starting the 4th qtr they are killin Duke 37-6. Anyway I am gonna get on your Purdue selection.

Wigington · 10-29-05, 04:00 PM

I am glad I did not play nebraksa, but I am sorry guys for all who took wisconsin and minnesota. My bad!

Wigington · 10-29-05, 04:40 PM

OK, not feeling good with that sloppy wisconsin defense who cost me my parlay, because I am sure penn st comes through. I have one rebound play tonight.

TCU -6.5

naught33 · 10-29-05, 05:07 PM

GL tonight bro, hammer this one and get some $$ back, i like the play

Wigington · 10-30-05, 01:01 AM

Well I didn't do too well today. My TCU pick was a bust and I am hating myself right now. My system very clearly shows that SD ST +6 was the play, but I took a friends adice cause he swore he knew that TCU would cover. Lesson learned for me. I will stick to my system. I am very anxious for NFL! Bouncing back!

10-27-05, 06:22 AM	#1 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	$$$ Wigington's Early Saturday NCAA Pix $$$ I know it sonly Thursday, but I have some early plays already that I like. Ohio State vs Minnesota Ohio St Off Avg = 28.6ppg Opp Def Avg = 22.61ppg Ohio St Outperforms = 5.99ppg Ohio St Def Avg = 14.6ppg Opp Off Avg = 33.35ppg Ohio St Outperforms = -18.75ppg Ohio St's Composite Performance = 24.74ppg Minnesota Off Avg = 36.6ppg Opp Def Avg = 22.67ppg Minnesota Outperforms = 13.93ppg Minnesota Def Avg = 25.4ppg Opp Off Avg = 29.71ppg Minnesota Outperforms = -4.31ppg Minnesota's Composite Performance = 18.24ppg Last 4 years at home: 2005 3/4 2004 5/6 2003 5/7 2002 5/7 Minnesota has won 18/24 home games in the past 4 years, which equates to a 75% winning percentage. >90% = 5 pts 70-90% = 4 pts 55-69% = 3 pts 40-54% = 2 pts 25-39% = 1 pt 0-24% = 0 pts Minnesota gets 4 points dropping Ohio St's Edge from 6.5ppg to 2.5ppg. Minnesota +4 Purdue vs Penn St. Purdue Off Avg = 29.9ppg Opp Def Avg = 26.02ppg Purdue Outperforms = 3.88ppg Purdue Def Avg = 34.0ppg Opp Off Avg = 31.51ppg Purdue is Outperformed = 2.49ppg Purdue's Composite Performance = 1.39ppg Penn St Off Avg = 36.0ppg Opp Def Avg = 25.5ppg Penn St Outperforms = 10.5ppg Penn St Def Avg = 16.3ppg Opp Off Avg = 27.21ppg Penn St Outperforms = -10.91ppg Penn St's Composite Performance = 21.41ppg Last 4 years at home 2005 5/5 2004 3/6 2003 3/7 2002 7/8 Penn State has won 18/26(69%) home games in the past 4 years, giving them 3 points home field advantage. Thus, raising Penn St's Edge from 21.41ppg to 24.41ppg. Penn State - 14 Wisconsin vs Illinois Wisconsin Off Avg = 39.5ppg Opp Def Avg = 30.06ppg Wisconsin Outperforms = 9.44ppg Wisconsin Def Avg = 24.5ppg Opp Off Avg = 27.61ppg Wisconsin Outperforms = -3.11ppg Wisconsin Composite Performance = 12.55ppg Ill Off Avg = 19.6ppg Opp Def Avg = 23.5 Ill is outperformed = -3.9ppg Ill Def Avg = 39.9ppg Opp Off Avg = 27.7ppg Ill Outperformed = 12.2ppg Illinois Composite Performance = -16.1ppg Last 4 years at home 2005 2/4 2004 3/7 2003 1/6 2002 3/6 Illinois has won 9/23(39%) home games in the last 4 years giving them 1 point of home field advantage. Lowering Wisconsin's Edge form 28.65ppg to 27.65ppg. Wisconsin -20 Oklahoma vs Nebraska OK Off Avg = 25.1ppg Opp Def Avg = 21.78ppg OK Outperforms = 3.32ppg OK Def Avg = 24.6ppg Opp Off Avg = 32.1ppg OK Outperforms = -7.5ppg Oklahoma Composite Performance = 10.82ppg Neb Off Avg = 24.0ppg Opp Def Avg = 23.15ppg Neb outperforms = .85ppg Neb Def Avg = 17.9ppg Opp Off Avg = 30.9ppg Neb Outperforms = -13ppg Nebraska Composite Performance = 13.85ppg Last 4 years at home 2005 4/5 2004 4/6 2003 6/7 2002 6/8 Nebraska has won 76% of their home games in the last 4 years. Raising Nebraska's Edge from 3.03ppg to 7.03ppg. Nebraska -1.5 Now I plugged the Texas vs OSU game and Texa Edge was 36.5ppg. This is EXACTLY what the line is. So my system is dead on with the Vegas linesmakers. I do believe Texas will cover and I especially like the Over 31 1st Half/Over 57.5 for the game. Texas quite possibly could take care of the Over by themselves. There were about 10 other games for NCAA that I plugged in to this system, but they were so close to the line that it was more of a coin toss so I decided not to go with those. I believe Texas and Penn State to be my strongest plays. I really believe that Minnesota comes through at home against a good Ohio State team who actually struggled moving the ball offensively first half againt Indiana. Well these are my strongest plays so far for NCAA. Hope they hit! Hope we all WIN!
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10-27-05, 12:32 PM	#2 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	GL on sat wiggy...i havent looked at these yet but im sure they are solid, i will check them out later tonight or tomorrow and let you know what i think bro, thanks! __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
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10-28-05, 07:46 AM	#3 (permalink)
mauikid SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1	Hey bro nice hit on VT just curious as to how you pick what games to cap......im with you on Penn big
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10-29-05, 12:45 AM	#4 (permalink)
kilohana SCI Member Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 61	Penn St gets it done as I will be on this one. My system also calculates Whisky & Nebraska should cover. But my system also says that Ohio St gets the cover in this one. Regardless of the outcome good luck and keep up the superb capping!!! KILO Last edited by kilohana : 10-29-05 at 12:47 AM.
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10-29-05, 07:27 AM	#5 (permalink)
Tommy Now go get your shinebox Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Sportscapper Island Posts: 15,068	BOL Today Wig!! I changed your avatar, it is better now, the other one was a bit off centered for some reason. Hope its ok
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10-29-05, 11:42 AM	#6 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	BOL today wiggy, lets keep this system rollin rollin rollin along __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

10-29-05, 11:47 AM	#7 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Thanks BIG! BOL!
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10-29-05, 02:53 PM	#8 (permalink)
QuickNick SCI Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: New Orleans Posts: 9,637	Wig, I overslept and missed my game I loved today Wake Forest and starting the 4th qtr they are killin Duke 37-6. Anyway I am gonna get on your Purdue selection. __________________ Nick
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10-29-05, 04:00 PM	#9 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	I am glad I did not play nebraksa, but I am sorry guys for all who took wisconsin and minnesota. My bad!
Status: Offline

10-29-05, 04:40 PM	#10 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	OK, not feeling good with that sloppy wisconsin defense who cost me my parlay, because I am sure penn st comes through. I have one rebound play tonight. TCU -6.5
Status: Offline

10-29-05, 05:07 PM	#11 (permalink)
naught33 SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY Posts: 13,666	GL tonight bro, hammer this one and get some $$ back, i like the play __________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy
Status: Offline

10-30-05, 01:01 AM	#12 (permalink)
Wigington SCI Veteran Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,227	Well I didn't do too well today. My TCU pick was a bust and I am hating myself right now. My system very clearly shows that SD ST +6 was the play, but I took a friends adice cause he swore he knew that TCU would cover. Lesson learned for me. I will stick to my system. I am very anxious for NFL! Bouncing back!
Status: Offline