[Tommy]

Purdue had shot at beating Wisconsin last week, but threw pair of picks for TD's, so Boilers now lost five in row in disasterous season; only two of five losses were by more than 11 points; they're minus-6 in turnovers last two weeks. Penn State covered last four games; they're 4-1 in Big 11, winning by 5,30, 7,53 pts. Boilers covered two of last 15 games; they're 2-8 as road dog.

Wisconsin covered nine of its last 13 games vs Illinois, but the Badgers have been sneaking by with defense, special teams the last two games; they had two defensive TD's last week. Illinois has been awful of late, getting outscored 195-44 in their last four games (129-20 in first half of those games). Wisconsin has game with Penn State next week, so lookahead could be a problem. Illini covered just four of last 11 as a home underdog.

Underdog is 15-1 vs spread in the last 16 Clemson-Georgia Tech tilts, with Tigers 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to this site, with wins in last two, 47-44, 39-3. Tech covered just one of last nine at home; they've been outscored 44-7 in first half of their last 3 games. Jackets are 5-11-1 in last 17 tries as home fave. Clemson has senior QB, momentum with two wins in row, and they had a breather last week, so they should be fairly healthy here.

Maryland beat Florida State 20-17 last year, so payback time for Seminole squad that is 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games, and beat Terps in last two games at this site, 52-31,35-10. FSU's last three wins are all by 17+ points, but they've allowed 24+ points in each of last three games. Maryland is 13-9 in last 22 tries as road dog; they're 2-0 on road this year, 3-1 in last four overall.

Oklahoma lost its last six visits to Lincoln; they're 3-1 in last four games, but had draining OT game vs Baylor last week. Huskers lost two of last three games, as Mizzou QB Smith ran amuck vs Nebraska last week. Huskers are 4-1 in last five tries as favorite at home. Teams are 36-58 vs spread, since '01, if they won their previous game in OT. Sooners have seven giveaways in last two games, so they've won, despite being sloppy.

NC State is struggling, 1-4 vs I-A teams; they're 2-15 vs spread in their last 17 games as favorite, and lost three of their last four games overall, with only win FG. Southern Miss won four of its last five games, but they've allowed 28+ points in each of last three games. Eagles are 2-1 on road (3-0 vs spread). C-USA road dogs are 9-1 vs spread in non-league games. ACC home faves are 5-5-1 vs spread out of conference.

Auburn covered seven of last 10 games vs Ole Miss, but Rebels hung in last two visits to this site (21-27/24-20). No love lost in this rivalry, as Tuberville once coached Rebels, then bolted for SEC rival with more cash. Tigers covered six of last nine after loss; they're 3-1 as home favorite this year. Ole Miss is 3-4, with only one loss by more than 10 points, none by more than 17 pts. Rebels are 6-3 in last nine tries as road underdog.

Texas A&M won last two games vs Iowa State, 24-21/34-3; they scored 92 points in winning last two weeks, but have given up 30.7 ppg in last three games. At 5-2, A&M has Tech, Sooners and Texas after this, so they'd better clinch bowl bid here. Iowa State is 1-3 in Big 12, with all three losses by 10 or less points; two of them were in OT. Cyclones covered seven of last 10 tries as underdog. Big 12 home favorites are 9-3 vs spread.

Minnesota has had two weeks to get over losing to Wisconsin, when punter fumbled long snap in last 0:40, costing Gophers a win and first place in Big 11. Minnesota covered just four of last 15 in this series, and one of last five after a bye. Buckeyes won four of last five games; all five of their wins are by 11+ pts- they need to contain Gopher ground game that gained 264+ yards in six of their seven games this season.

Senior QB Shockley is out for Georgia, so Tereshinski takes the reins, very difficult spot, at World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Georgia won last year's game, 31-24, their first win in last six series games, and second in last 15. While Dawgs were life-and-death to beat Arkansas last week, Gators had week off, but they've lost two of last three games, as Leak struggles with the spread option. Georgia 1-3 in last four games as underdog.

Washington State lost its last four games, allowing average of 38.5 ppg; they had game won at Cal last week, but faked a punt with 6:00 left and 38-28 lead; bad idea. Teams actually split last four series meetings, but Trojans won last two, 43-16.42-12; they allowed 21+ points in each of last four games, but are playing at home for just third time this season (70-17/42-21). Trojans 15-5 in last twenty tries as a home favorite.

Miami not only won its last four games, they outscored last four foes 94-3 in first half; they lost 31-28 at Chapel Hill last season, giving up 545 total yards, 279 on ground. Heels are 3-3; they're 14-9 vs spread in last 23 tries as road dog- their defense got a lot better last week, as they beat Virginia 7-5, after losing by 69-14 at Louisville, in previous game. Hurricanes' next game is at rival Virginia Tech, which prevents them from being a play here.

Stanford won its last three games, as dogs of 13-4-9 points- they get another shot here, vs unbeaten UCLA squad that lost last two visits to this site, 38-28,21-14. Home side won the last five in this series. Bruins scored 41+ points in six of last seven games; in their last three, they scored 46.3 ppg. UCLA is +10 in TO ratio the games they've struggled in, they've been even in turnovers. Pac-10 home dogs were 3-0 last week; they're 4-4 for season.

Fresno State humiliated Hawai'i last year, 70-14, running ball for an incredible 503 yards. Home side covered 10 of last 13 series games, with host winning four of last five, as Fresno lost last two visits to Paradise, 38-34/55-28. Warriors won last two in row but allowed 37.3 ppg in last three games. Fresno has outscored last three opponents 71-14 in second half; they're 0-2 as favorite on road this season. WAC home dogs just 2-4 this season.

Last five Michigan games were all decided by three or less pts; Wolverines are 1-5 as a favorite this season, but they have won last two games. Northwestern gained 416+ total yards in all its games this season; they won last three games, scoring 44.7 ppg and are +8 in turnovers the last four. Wildcats are 19-12 in last 31 tries as underdog, 4-1 this season. Wolverine defense gave up 20+ pts in last five games, 400+ total yards in last four.

Baylor is 1-3 in Big 12, but two losses were in OT, the fourth by 23-14 on this field. Texas Tech got smoked in Austin last week; they're 2-6 in last ten tries as road favorite. Favorite covered 8 of last 10 series games, with Tech winning last two visits to Waco, 63-19,62-14. Hard to buck Morriss' Bears as dog this season, but can they trade points vs this explosive foe, especially after their second heartbreaking OT loss this season?

Tennessee won last dozen games in this series, but road team covered last eight South Carolina-Tennessee games, with Cocks losing last two visits to Knoxville, 17-10,23-20. Vols are 3-3, very poor for them; they haven't scored point in first half of last two games. Spurrier's Carolina club is 4-3, with losses by 2,23,41 pts; favorite covered four of their last five games. Tennessee has QB controversy, as neither guy has played consistently well.

Tulane's road show (11 games in 11 stadiums this year) goes to Mobile, AL. Green Wave has to be tired, living on air mattresses at Louisiana Tech, and losing last three games, allowing average of 34.7 ppg, thanks to minus-9 turnovcer ratio. Marshall is 0-3 on road, losing by 10-27-28 points; they covered just six of last 15 tries as road dog. In the last three games, Marshall has been outscored 57-21 in second half.

[Tommy]

-- Michigan State allowed 39.3 ppg in losing last three games; they're 6-16 in last 22 tries as home favorite. .
-- Syracuse gave up 31.2 ppg, lost last five games. Cincinnati is 0-3 on road this season.
-- Duke is 0-7 vs spread this year, 0-4 at home; they lost last five games vs Wake Forest by average score of 34-21.
-- Alabama is 4-11-1 in last 16 tries as favorite of 20+ points; in last two games, they scored total of 19 points.
-- Colorado is 7-3 in last ten tries as road favorite; their last four wins are all by 21+ points.
-- Temple is non-competitive, losing all eight games, seven by 25+ points. Miami is 9-7 in last 16 tries as road favorite.
-- Toledo won its last ten games vs Central Michigan (7-3 vs the spread). Central Michiogan won its last three games; they have just one loss this year by more than seven points.
-- Buffalo is 4-0-1 vs spread in last five games; they beat Ohio in Bobcats' last two visits to this site. Ohio U is 0-4 on road in '05.
-- Kent State lost 11 in row vs Western Michigan; they're 0-4 on road this year, but last three losses were by 3-7-3 points.
-- Central Florida won four of last five games, but they're 9-17 vs spread in game after their last 26 wins. East Carolina is 4-7 in last 11 games as a home favorite.
-- Air Force lost five of last six games, and had distractions with Coach Deberry's comments this week. BYU is 6-14 vs spread in its last 20 games as a favorite.
-- Home side on last five UTEP-Rice games, with Miners losing last two at Rice, 27-17/45-14, but Coach Price has Miners 5-1 this season, scoring 76 points in their last two games.
-- Rutgers won five of last six games, can qualify for bowl with a win here, vs Navy club whose only two '05 losses are both by a FG, to Stanford and Maryland. Middies 9-3 last 12 as road dog.
-- Texas won easily in last two visits to Stillwater, 45-17, 55-16. Oklahoma State is 0-6 vs spread in '05, 0-4 as an underdog.
-- Ball State covered four of last 16 games as road dog. Northern Illinois won its last three games by average score of 32-13.
-- Home side covered seven of last nine Akron-Bowling Green games. Falcons 5-2 in last seven tries as home favorite.
-- TCU won its last six games, covering five; they're already 4-1 on road this year, and scored 86 points in last two games.
-- Arizona State lost its last three games and is 1-3 at Tempe this year; they're 3-9 vs spread after their last dozen losses.
-- Missouri won last three games, scoring 35.3 ppg. Dogs are 7-3 vs spread in this rivalry season, vs Kansas.
-- Kentucky and Mississippi St. both lost their last four games. UK been outscored 86-17 in first half of last four games.
-- Louisiana Tech is 3-0 at home, winning all three by 20+ points. San Jose lost its last six games, the last four by 17 or less points.
-- New Mexico State is 0-7, with 17 points the closest loss, and they're favored?!?! Idaho is 1-6, with last four losses by 24+ pts.
-- Arizona lost its last three visits to Corvallis 38-3/38-3/52-23; favorites covered eight of last nine series games.
-- Nevada won its last three games, scoring 43 ppg, but they are 0-6 vs spread in last six tries as a road underdog.
-- North Texas lost four of last five games, with three losses by 26 or more points. LSU beat Florida, Auburn in last two games.
-- UL-Lafayette is 0-5-1 as home favorite since 2000; they're 1-3 in last four games and are 0-2 at home vs I-A teams this year.


Totals Report
-- Over is 6-1-1 in New Mexico games, 5-2 in last seven Colorado State games.
-- Four of last five Penn State games went over total.
-- Over is 4-2 in last six Illinois games.
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Clemson games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Florida State games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Oklahoma games, 3-1 with Nebraska.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five North Carolina State games.
-- Last four Ole Miss games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Texas A&M games.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Minnesota games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Florida games this season.
-- Five of six Washington State games went over this season.
-- All three North Carolina road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1 in UCLA games this season.
-- Last four Hawai'i games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Northwestern games this season.
-- Under is 4-2 in last six Baylor games.
-- Last five South Carolina games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Marshall games.

-- Over is 4-1 in last five Michigsn State games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Cincinnati games.
-- Three of last four Duke games went over the total.
-- Last four Alabama games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Temple games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Toledo games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Buffalo's last seven games.
-- Last three Western Michigan games went over the total.
-- Last three Central Florida games all went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Air Force games.
-- Five of last six Rice games went over the total.
-- 75 points were scored in each of last two Navy-Rutgers games
-- Last three Oklahoma State games all went over.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Ball State games.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four Akron games.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five TCU games.
-- Over is 4-2 in last six Arizona State games.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Missouri games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Mississippi State games this season.
-- Last three Louisiana Tech games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in New Mexico State games, 4-1 in last five Idaho contests.
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Oregon State games.
-- Under is 4-2 in last six Boise State games.
-- Last three LSU games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five UL-Lafayette games.