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11-09-05, 01:34 AM
| #1 (permalink) |
| SCI Veteran Member  Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,227
|  $$$ Wigington's NCAA Pick #1 $$$ Auburn vs Georgia Aub Off Avg = 35.2 ppg Opp Def Avg = 24.4 ppg Aub = 10.8 ppg Aub Def Avg = 12.7 ppg Opp Off Avg = 22.4 ppg Aub = 9.7ppg Auburn Composite Performance = 20.5 ppg Geo Off Avg = 28.3 ppg Opp Def Avg = 23.9 ppg Geo = 4.4 ppg Geo Def Avg = 13.8 ppg Opp Off Avg = 23.5 ppg Geo = 9.7 ppg Georgia Composite Performance = 14.1 ppg Last 4 years at home 2005 4/4 2004 5/6 2003 6/6 2002 7/7 Georgia has won 95% of their home games in th past 4 years lowering Auburn's Edge from 6.4 ppg to 1.4 ppg. Auburn +4  I really do like this play because at first glance I thought they were favoring the wrong team. My System shows that as well, which makes me more confident. Sportsbook.com shows 57% of the public is on Georgia and at Caribsports.com 62.5% is on Georgia as well. Fading the public statistically has a winning percentage of 60-65%. I do not always go by this, as noted this past Sunday in the NFL a lot of favs won big. DJ Shockley is expected to play Saturday which could make this game closer. Hoping the public pounds Georgia so I can get Auburn +4.5. Look for Auburn to win SU. No System play here needed. Texas -33.5 Texas at home is very dominate. I say this not only cause I am a Longhorn fan, but it is fact. Texas is 8-1 ATS and until they show weakness I feel no need to fade them. |
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11-09-05, 08:41 AM
| #2 (permalink) |
| SCI Forum Moderator  Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY
Posts: 13,666
| GL on the plays man....texas will win by 40, uga/aub should be interesting, not sure uga has enough offense without shockley against a good defense...although he might try to play this one im hearing
__________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy |
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11-09-05, 07:32 PM
| #3 (permalink) | |
| SCI Senior Member  Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: New Orleans
Posts: 9,637
| Quote:
__________________ Nick | |
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