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Old 09-30-06, 04:35 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Sep 2006
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Default Alabama at Florida Preview

Florida hasn’t beaten Alabama in eight years. That may sound like a lot, but truthfully, it’s only a span of three games. However, payback will still be on the minds of the Gators when the two teams go at it on Saturday, as ‘Bama whipped up on Urban Meyer’s boys last season, 31-3.

Undoubtedly, Florida has been playing better football so far in 2006, and the advantage of playing in “The Swamp” has certainly been built into this week’s spread, which, at latest check, had the Gators favored by nearly two TD’s. The hosts are 4-0, the guests come off their first loss. What does Saturday’s game hold in store? From a system standpoint, first glance of the StatFox Fox Sheets reveals that the UNDER could be the prime play for Saturday’s total of 38.5. One StatFox Super Situation reads as follows…Play Under - All teams where the total is 42 or less (ALABAMA) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=280 YPG), in conference games. (48-16 since 1992.)

There’s also a solid trend leaning the same way…
* ALABAMA is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ALABAMA 15.1, OPPONENT 16.8. If the UNDER is the way you’re leaning, get in on it right now by visiting the Sportsbook.com College Football Live Odds page.
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