[Tommy]

NFL WEEK 13 REVIEW.

14/1 BEARS UP TO EIGHT IN A ROW.
Last week, I highlighted Chicago’s chances of winning the NFC, and they did
nothing to dispel my confidence with a 19-7 win over Green Bay on Sunday,
their eighth straight success. The Bears had not beaten the Packers since
1993, but once again their defence came up with the key plays, and they’re
9/2 to win the NFC Outright (from 11/2). Their awesome defence could take
them a long way towards the Super Bowl (for which they are now 14/1), and
should at least be able to secure them home field advantage in the
divisional playoffs, before a trip to Seattle for the NFC Championship.

They’ll certainly provide the Seahawks with a much sterner test than
Philadelphia, who were trashed 42-0 by Seattle (now 8/1 for the Super Bowl)
in a snowstorm on Monday night. Other market movers were Carolina (8/1 from 12/1), who secured a vital victory over NFC South rivals Atlanta, and
Pittsburgh (40/1 from 14/1), who are going in the other direction after a
costly defeat to Cincinnati.

bet365 latest Super Bowl prices … Indianapolis 4/5, Seattle, Carolina 8/1,
Denver 11/1, Cincinnati, Chicago 14/1, others on bet365 website.


WEEK 14 PICKS

CHICAGO BEARS (+5.5) @ 10/11
The Bears can be our friends again this week against an overvalued
Pittsburgh side, who are on the verge of falling out of contention at 7-5.
The simple reason being that the Bears defence is just too good and, in a
game that’s likely to be decided by a field goal, the 5.5 points are hard
to resist.

Pick 1: Chicago (+5.5) @ 10/11


BUFFALO BILLS (+3.5) @ 10/11
The Bills are not obvious betting material only a week after collapsing
against the Dolphins, and now taking on the Pats, who looked good when
beating the Jets last week. However, the Bills are 26-9 at home ATS since
1980 coming off a loss, which makes them of interest this week getting 3.5
points.

Pick 2: Buffalo (+3.5) @ 10/11


HOME IN ON THE FAVOURITES
The feature of Week 13 was again the number of winning favourites (12 out
of 15, 60% this season) and, in particular, the continuing trend for teams
favoured by ten points or more to reward their supporters. Last week, it
was the turn of Indy, San Diego and New England to cover double-figure
handicaps, and we should see even more wide-margin lines in the coming
weeks, as genuine playoff contenders match up with teams who’ve been
eliminated from playoff contention. Perhaps it’s easier for the favourites
to take these teams apart once they’ve given up for the season.

This week’s highest double-figure handicap favourites are Seattle (-16.0),
San Diego (-13.5) and Denver (-14.0), and they all make some appeal against
the likes of San Francisco, Miami and Baltimore respectively, as their
opponents are out of the race and playing for pride. The next highest
number is Cincinnati, who are currently 11.5-point favourites at home to
the Browns. However, the Steelers could be on a mental letdown after their
38-31 win over Pittsburgh plus, it’s also an inter-state rivalry, so the
Browns might be able to keep this one close.

Pick 3: Cleveland (+11.5) @ 10/11


GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
We’ll be backing all our picks in singles (as serious bettors should), but
it’s hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as
you’re assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay
Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF
parlays on the following 6 markets:-

Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point
Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.

This weekend’s suggested parlay is on the following teams:

Chicago (+5.5); Buffalo (+3.5); Cleveland (+11.5); San Diego (-13.5) and
Denver (-14.0) - all teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay
pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 15%


BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our
In-Play service kicks-in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the
odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top
left-hand side of the home page).

This weekend’s live games are:

IND Colts @ JAX Jaguars
Su Dec 11 - 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT

NY Giants @ PHL Eagles
Su Dec 11 - 4:05 pm EST/21:05 GMT

KC Chiefs @ DAL Cowboys
Su Dec 11 - 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT

DET Lions @ GB Packers
Su Dec 11 - 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Monday)

NO Saints @ ATL Falcons
Su Dec 12 - 9:00 pm EST/02:00 GMT (Tuesday)

Good luck in Week 14

Get in the game and be lucky!

Nigel.


Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject
to change. Check local listings.

NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com