[Beginner's Luck]

I'm thinking of betting on Arizona Dbacks vs LA Dodgers. I think Arizona has a very good chance tomorrow. Here are my reasons.

* Dbacks just swept the A's.
* Juan Cruz has not given up a run in last two outings. And he pitches better in away games. 2.33 ERA
* Lowe's career against Dbacks: 0-3, 6.38 ERA 1.75 WHIP .347 BAA and he pitched horribly against Minny (although they are hotter than the fire right now)
* Dodgers lost last 5 out of 6, in those losses they scored less than 3 runs every game
* Career Against Lowe:
Eric Byrnes 4 for 6 .667
Craig Counsell 6 for 13 6 .462
Luis González 6 for 14 .429
Shawn Green 7 for 21 .333 2 HR
Orlando Hudson 4 for 14 .286

Things that go against my pick.
* Cruz 0-2 4.19 ERA 1.6 WHIP .286 BAA
* Cesar Izturis 4 for 10 .400 AVG
* Kenny Lofton 4 for 7 .571 AVG
* J.D. Drew 4 for 8 .500 AVG 1 HR

It seems the Dbacks are slowly getting on the track. But looking at the things that go against my pick, maybe I should go for over (total 8.5). I wanna know what you guys think about this game. I am pretty new to betting (even tho i been watching baseball since i was young) So give your opinions

[Tommy]

It's always best to ride a hot team than to bet on a slumping team trying to get out of it.

I like your reasoning to play on AZ. BOL

[naught33]

my guess is cruz wont pitch that deep into the game, lowe will get lad thru 6..so itll become a game of the pens....lad has the advantage there and are at home...id prob go w the dodgers if the line was a decent price but i havent seen it yet...check lowes numbers at home, i believe he usually pitches well at lad, but cruz has been solid this yr and i could def see why ud play him esp the way az seems to be playing now