[Tommy]

National League

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 2:05 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Harang: 0-6 TSR off BB Reds losses
Bush: 3-13 TSR in day games

Florida at Washington, 7:05 EST
Ricky Nolasco (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)
Nolasco: Florida 40-56 when the money line is +125 to -125
Astacio: Washington 20-4 Under in July L2 seasons

St. Louis at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Anthony Reyes (R) vs. John Smoltz (R)
Reyes: St. Louis 41-22 when the total is 8 to 8.5
Smoltz: Atlanta 14-27 when the money line is -100 to -150

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 EST
Carlos Marmol (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)
Marmol: Cubs 1-10 after scoring 8+ runs
Clemens: Houston 5-1 vs. Chi Cubs this season

San Francisco at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
Lowry: 15-6 TSR off a SF win
Cook: Col. 3-12 at home off a one-run win

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Juan Cruz (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
Cruz: Arizona 7-0 Under with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less BB games
Lowe: 1-4 TSR, 6.38 ERA vs. Arizona

American League:

NY Yankees at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. Jeremy Sowers (L)
Wang: 15-4 Under as a favorite of -125 to -175
Sowers: Cleveland 1-11 off 6+ road games

Baltimore at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)
Bedard: 0-10 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Garcia: 3-0 TSR, 2.86 ERA L3 starts

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)
Beckett: Boston 12-1 off 3+ interleague games
Kazmir: TB 25-13 Over vs. div opponents

Toronto at Texas, 8:05 EST
Ted Lilly (L) vs. John Rheinecker (L)
Lilly: 1-10 TSR on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Rheinecker: Texas 7-0 Under after allowing 9 runs or more

Minnesota at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Johan Santana (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)
Santana: 20-2 TSR off BB Minnesota wins
Elarton: 2-12 TSR at home off a KC loss

Detroit at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Joe Blanton (R)
Robertson: 8-0 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Blanton: Oakland 16-6 Under off 3+ home games

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Weaver: Angels 0-8 revenging BB home losses
Hernandez: Seattle 7-2 vs. Angels

[Tommy]

Hot Pitchers
-- Cincinnati is 6-2 in Harang's road starts. Bush has 2.08 RA in his last three starts.
-- Nolasco has 3.00 RA in his last three road starts.
-- Reyes has 2.16 RA in four starts, but St Louis lost last three, scoring total of four runs for him in the three losses.
-- Cook has 2.45 RA in his last three starts, but Rockies are 2-6 in his home starts.
-- Cruz had 0.95 RA in last three starts, before going on DL back on June 2.
-- Wang has 2.39 RA in his last five starts.
-- Bedard has 1.29 RA in last three starts, and hasn't allowed run in his last 16 innings pitched. Garcia is 3-0, 2.86 in his last three starts; Sox are 6-1 in his last seven home starts.
-- Beckett is 3-0, 2.49 in his last three starts. Devil Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir's home starts.
-- Santana is 5-0, 1.26 in his last six starts.
-- Lilly is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Robertson is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four starts. Blanton is 3-0, 0.80 in his last three home starts.
-- Jered Weaver was 4-0, 1.37 before going back to minors, but he was brought back and his brother sent down. Seattle scored 27 runs in winning last four Hernandez home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Smoltz is 0-3, 4.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Mets haven't announced starter for Monday; Oliver warmed up in bullpen Sunday night. Pelfrey could get call from AA, as Mets also have twinbill on Saturday. Pelfrey is 4-2, 2.71 in his 12 starts at AA Binghamton. Maholm is 0-4, 5.72 in last 8 starts.
-- Astacio makes first '06 start for Nationals; he's made 326 big league starts in 14 years; he was 4-2, 3.17 in 10 NL starts last yr for San Diego, and is 124-119 in his career.
-- Marmol is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts. Clemens is 0-2, 3.18 in two starts; Astros gave him 2,0 runs in his starts.
-- Lowry is 0-3, 6.00 in three road starts this season.
-- Lowe has 5.86 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sowers allowed four runs in five IP in his debut, a 4-2 loss to Reds, with Griffey, Dunn taking him deep.
-- Elarton is 2-4, 6.68 in his last six starts.
-- Rheinecker is 1-2, 7.11 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 13-5-1 in Cincinnati's last nineteen road games.
-- Six of last nine Florida road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Smoltz starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Pirate road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Under is 19-5-1 in last 25 games at Coors Field.
-- Four of last five Arizona road games stayed under the total, as did six of seven Cruz starts. .
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox home games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Lilly starts.
-- Five of last six Elarton starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Angels' last nine games.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won eleven of their last fourteen road games.
-- Astros scored 16 runs in winning last two games, ending skid that had reached
-- Colorado won six of their last eight games. Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona just swept three in Oakland, ending 3-20 skid.
-- Bronx won ten of its last fifteen road games.
-- White Sox are 19-6 in their last twenty-five games.
-- Kansas City won five of their last six home games. Twins won 10 in row and are 6-1 in last seven road games.
-- Tigers won eighteen of their last twenty-one games.
-- Mariners won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games. Nationals are 3-9 in their last dozen games.
-- Atlanta is 4-15 in its last nineteen home games. Cardinals lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Pirates lost six in row on road, are 8-31 this season on foreign soil.
-- Cubs are 11-21 in their last thirty-two road games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
-- Indians lost their last five home series openers.
-- Orioles lost 23 of their last thirty-three road games.
-- Red Sox are 3-9 on artificial turf this season. Devil Rays lost six of their last nine games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- A's lost five of their last six games.
-- Angels are 7-10 in their last seventeen home games, but 6-2 in last eight home series openers.

[fondybadger]

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