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Old 07-08-06, 10:13 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Saturday 7.08 - Fondybadger's Plays - MLB

Overall MLB Record 441-418-22 -$78
April 139-135-7 +$1435
May 163-146-10 +$886
June 91-92-4 -$2490
7.01 6-5 -$133
7.02 3-1 +$425
7.03 3-8-1 -$709
7.04 14-12 +$194
7.05 12-10 -$51
7.06 6-3 +$490
7.07 4-6 -$125

Money Line Plays
221-225 -$3294
134-124 -$3815 (favorites)
87-101 +$521 (dogs)


Run Line Plays
73-86 +$1418
95-64 +$1660 (Hypothetical if I would have taken the ML instead of RL)

Totals
147-107-22 +$1798
101-62-15 +$3280 (Over)
46-45-7 -$1482 (Under)

SATURDAY PLAYS
$100 Chicago White Sox -110
$125 Bost/CWS over 9.5
-
Situational play for me on the White Sox. I think they'll bounce back with a win, especially with Beckett's 6.21 ERA in 10 starts on the road. As for the over, CWS rock Beckett in this game, and you know Boston will put a few runs on the board.

$200 Milwaukee -160
-
Dave Bush has been almost unbeatable at home this season with the team going 7-2. He's sporting a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 0.984. Carlos Marmol has 3 road starts for the Cubs. He's had a 6.75 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in 16 innings, while walking 14 batters. Almost one an inning? Yah, we'll fade him, especially with that Cubs lineup backing him up.

$150 St. Louis/Houston under 8
-
I figure this will be another one of those games where Clemens pitches his heart out and they can't get any run support for him. Anthony Reyes has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts (18 IP) and Stl. has gone 0-3. Talk about run support. Clemens has a 2.76 ERA and a 1.225 WHIP.

$225 Cleveland +100
-
Fading Bedard and his 0.39 ERA and 0.522 WHIP (23IP) while going 3-0 in his most recent starts? Sure will when I'm getting a Cleveland team that is 7-0 against Baltimore the last 3 years and they're putting out there young lefty. Baltimore is still struggling with lefties, going 8-21 against them. Getting this at + money, I had to take it.

I'll have a few more games tomorrow, just wanted to get these in tonight. I'm thinking I'll play Tampa Bay, Toronto, Minnesota, and atl/cincy under with more plays being further examined.
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Old 07-08-06, 12:54 PM   #2 (permalink)
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like the sox play.....be careful w the stl/hou under..i can see houston finally giving clemens some run support like 5-6 runs and figure STL is good for 2-3, id just play houston and take the $$ that way....dont know much aobut the cubs pitcher going today but looks like good fade material and the ex jay bush has been pitchign well..
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Old 07-08-06, 03:51 PM   #3 (permalink)
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gl fondy.
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Old 07-08-06, 04:44 PM   #4 (permalink)
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ADDING:
$175 Florida +105 (G1)
-
This looks like a game too good to be true. Josh Johnson has put up awesome numbers on the season, with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.264 WHIP (80.7 IP). John Maine has been nothing special, bouncing back and forth between AAA and the majors. In his two previos starts he's gone 5 1/3 and 4 2/3, giving up a total of 6 ER's. Go fish!
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Old 07-08-06, 04:59 PM   #5 (permalink)
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eh cant go w u on the fish here, think the mets get this game...maine was very good last outing until 2 outs into the 5th inning and he tired out....i think he can go 5 good innings and i like the mets pen/offense better than fla...think mets win this one late, BOL
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Old 07-08-06, 07:44 PM   #6 (permalink)
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ADDING:
$100 SF/LAD OVER 9
- I can't figure out what side I want to take in this one, but the offense that the LAD is producing makes any over awfully tempting. In their last 7, the over has gone 5-1-1 for the Dodgers. Both pitchers have good home/road splits, but I just feel comfortable with this play. I'm thinking it will go a lot like the Sox game this afternoon, with teams trading the lead.

$100 Houston -130
-
Another one of those gut feelings in this game today. Just think the Rocket will be in CY Young form, and the Astro's will get a home run or two and win this game small. Already have a play on the under in this one.
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Old 07-08-06, 08:42 PM   #7 (permalink)
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ADDING:

$125 Marlins +130
$100 Marlins/Mets OVER 9
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Old 07-08-06, 10:16 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Recap of games I've already played...

$200 Milwaukee -160
-
Dave Bush has been almost unbeatable at home this season with the team going 7-2. He's sporting a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 0.984. Carlos Marmol has 3 road starts for the Cubs. He's had a 6.75 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in 16 innings, while walking 14 batters. Almost one an inning? Yah, we'll fade him, especially with that Cubs lineup backing him up.

$225 Cleveland +100
-
Fading Bedard and his 0.39 ERA and 0.522 WHIP (23IP) while going 3-0 in his most recent starts? Sure will when I'm getting a Cleveland team that is 7-0 against Baltimore the last 3 years and they're putting out there young lefty. Baltimore is still struggling with lefties, going 8-21 against them. Getting this at + money, I had to take it.

adding...

$100 Cubs/Brewers OVER 9
-
I really feel like the Brewers are going to tee off today on Marmol. The more I've been sitting here today, the more I'm liking the over.

$100 San Diego -130
-
I really think Chris Young will keep up his domination. I'm getting a bit worried that I'm hitting the favorites too much today.

$150 Philly RL +135 (-160)
-
Maholm has a 2.016 WHIP on the road. So Philly can't hit lefties? They've been struggling themselves... etc...

$100 Cincy/Atlanta under 9 (-130)
$150 Atlanta -130
- Smoltz has never lost to Cincy in his career. He's 8-0 with a 1.75 ERA and a 0.779 WHIP. Look for a 3-2 Atlanta win.

$100 Toronto -150
-
Favorite, favorite, favorite... Where's Ragone when I need him to keep me inline.

$100 Tampa Bay -110
$50 NYY/TB under 9
-
Putting my faith in Kazmir...
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Old 07-08-06, 11:14 PM   #9 (permalink)
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BOL Nick, I like Milwaukee and I looked at Tampa bay Also!!! Especially after they got beat 1-0 last night!!!
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Old 07-08-06, 11:47 PM   #10 (permalink)
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ADDING:

$100 Zona/Col under 9 (-130)
$75 Arizona even
-
I can't believe I'm taking this under at Coor's, but what can one do... Jennings putting up solid numbers, but I'm expecting Webb to just be a bit better...

$75 Minny -170
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I can't bet against Liriano... Just can't...
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Old 07-09-06, 12:49 AM   #11 (permalink)
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$125 Oakland +115
$50 Oak/LAA over 8
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Old 07-09-06, 01:53 AM   #12 (permalink)
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$200 Detroit -115
$75 Det/Seat OVER 8.5
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