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| | #1 (permalink) |
| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Madison Wisconsin
Posts: 445
| Overall MLB Record 441-418-22 -$78 April 139-135-7 +$1435 May 163-146-10 +$886 June 91-92-4 -$2490 7.01 6-5 -$133 7.02 3-1 +$425 7.03 3-8-1 -$709 7.04 14-12 +$194 7.05 12-10 -$51 7.06 6-3 +$490 7.07 4-6 -$125 Money Line Plays 221-225 -$3294 134-124 -$3815 (favorites) 87-101 +$521 (dogs) Run Line Plays 73-86 +$1418 95-64 +$1660 (Hypothetical if I would have taken the ML instead of RL) Totals 147-107-22 +$1798 101-62-15 +$3280 (Over) 46-45-7 -$1482 (Under) SATURDAY PLAYS $100 Chicago White Sox -110 $125 Bost/CWS over 9.5 - Situational play for me on the White Sox. I think they'll bounce back with a win, especially with Beckett's 6.21 ERA in 10 starts on the road. As for the over, CWS rock Beckett in this game, and you know Boston will put a few runs on the board. $200 Milwaukee -160 - Dave Bush has been almost unbeatable at home this season with the team going 7-2. He's sporting a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 0.984. Carlos Marmol has 3 road starts for the Cubs. He's had a 6.75 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in 16 innings, while walking 14 batters. Almost one an inning? Yah, we'll fade him, especially with that Cubs lineup backing him up. $150 St. Louis/Houston under 8 - I figure this will be another one of those games where Clemens pitches his heart out and they can't get any run support for him. Anthony Reyes has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts (18 IP) and Stl. has gone 0-3. Talk about run support. Clemens has a 2.76 ERA and a 1.225 WHIP. $225 Cleveland +100 - Fading Bedard and his 0.39 ERA and 0.522 WHIP (23IP) while going 3-0 in his most recent starts? Sure will when I'm getting a Cleveland team that is 7-0 against Baltimore the last 3 years and they're putting out there young lefty. Baltimore is still struggling with lefties, going 8-21 against them. Getting this at + money, I had to take it. I'll have a few more games tomorrow, just wanted to get these in tonight. I'm thinking I'll play Tampa Bay, Toronto, Minnesota, and atl/cincy under with more plays being further examined. |
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| | #2 (permalink) |
| SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY
Posts: 13,666
| like the sox play.....be careful w the stl/hou under..i can see houston finally giving clemens some run support like 5-6 runs and figure STL is good for 2-3, id just play houston and take the $$ that way....dont know much aobut the cubs pitcher going today but looks like good fade material and the ex jay bush has been pitchign well..
__________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy |
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| | #4 (permalink) |
| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Madison Wisconsin
Posts: 445
| ADDING: $175 Florida +105 (G1) - This looks like a game too good to be true. Josh Johnson has put up awesome numbers on the season, with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.264 WHIP (80.7 IP). John Maine has been nothing special, bouncing back and forth between AAA and the majors. In his two previos starts he's gone 5 1/3 and 4 2/3, giving up a total of 6 ER's. Go fish! |
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| | #5 (permalink) |
| SCI Forum Moderator Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Scarsdale, NY
Posts: 13,666
| eh cant go w u on the fish here, think the mets get this game...maine was very good last outing until 2 outs into the 5th inning and he tired out....i think he can go 5 good innings and i like the mets pen/offense better than fla...think mets win this one late, BOL
__________________ -naught33 "You miss 100% of all the shots you don't take"-Wayne Gretzky "No one, and I mean no one, comes into our house and pushes us around"-coach from the movie Rudy |
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| | #6 (permalink) |
| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Madison Wisconsin
Posts: 445
| ADDING: $100 SF/LAD OVER 9 - I can't figure out what side I want to take in this one, but the offense that the LAD is producing makes any over awfully tempting. In their last 7, the over has gone 5-1-1 for the Dodgers. Both pitchers have good home/road splits, but I just feel comfortable with this play. I'm thinking it will go a lot like the Sox game this afternoon, with teams trading the lead. $100 Houston -130 - Another one of those gut feelings in this game today. Just think the Rocket will be in CY Young form, and the Astro's will get a home run or two and win this game small. Already have a play on the under in this one. |
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| | #8 (permalink) |
| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Madison Wisconsin
Posts: 445
| Recap of games I've already played... $200 Milwaukee -160 - Dave Bush has been almost unbeatable at home this season with the team going 7-2. He's sporting a 3.29 ERA and a WHIP of 0.984. Carlos Marmol has 3 road starts for the Cubs. He's had a 6.75 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in 16 innings, while walking 14 batters. Almost one an inning? Yah, we'll fade him, especially with that Cubs lineup backing him up. $225 Cleveland +100 - Fading Bedard and his 0.39 ERA and 0.522 WHIP (23IP) while going 3-0 in his most recent starts? Sure will when I'm getting a Cleveland team that is 7-0 against Baltimore the last 3 years and they're putting out there young lefty. Baltimore is still struggling with lefties, going 8-21 against them. Getting this at + money, I had to take it. adding... $100 Cubs/Brewers OVER 9 - I really feel like the Brewers are going to tee off today on Marmol. The more I've been sitting here today, the more I'm liking the over. $100 San Diego -130 - I really think Chris Young will keep up his domination. I'm getting a bit worried that I'm hitting the favorites too much today. $150 Philly RL +135 (-160) - Maholm has a 2.016 WHIP on the road. So Philly can't hit lefties? They've been struggling themselves... etc... $100 Cincy/Atlanta under 9 (-130) $150 Atlanta -130 - Smoltz has never lost to Cincy in his career. He's 8-0 with a 1.75 ERA and a 0.779 WHIP. Look for a 3-2 Atlanta win. $100 Toronto -150 - Favorite, favorite, favorite... Where's Ragone when I need him to keep me inline. $100 Tampa Bay -110 $50 NYY/TB under 9 - Putting my faith in Kazmir... |
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| | #9 (permalink) |
| SCI Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: New Orleans
Posts: 9,637
| BOL Nick, I like Milwaukee and I looked at Tampa bay Also!!! Especially after they got beat 1-0 last night!!!
__________________ Nick |
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| | #10 (permalink) |
| SCI Member Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Madison Wisconsin
Posts: 445
| ADDING: $100 Zona/Col under 9 (-130) $75 Arizona even - I can't believe I'm taking this under at Coor's, but what can one do... Jennings putting up solid numbers, but I'm expecting Webb to just be a bit better... $75 Minny -170 - I can't bet against Liriano... Just can't... |
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