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Old 07-08-06, 08:34 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Arrow Saturday 7/8 Baseball Notes

July 8th 2006

National League:

Florida at NY Mets, 1:20 EST GAME 1
Josh Johnson (R) vs. John Maine (R)
Johnson: Florida 20-8 Over vs. division opponents
Maine: Mets 21-10 SU with a line of +125 to -125

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 4:05 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
Lowry: SF 15-8 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Lowe: Dodgers 18-8 Over in day games

St. Louis at Houston, 4:05 EST
Anthony Reyes (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)
Reyes: StL 1-10 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Clemens: Hou 13-2 at home after scoring 2 runs or less

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Carlos Marmol (R) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Marmol: Cubs 14-2 Over Away after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games
Bush: Milwaukee 22-9 Over when the total is 9 to 9.5

San Diego at Washington, 7:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)
Young: San Diego 6-1 at Washington L3 seasons
Astacio: 3-11 TSR at home on Saturdays

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Cory Lidle (R)
Maholm: Pit 5-17 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Lidle: 5-1 TSR vs. Pittsburgh

Cincinnati at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. John Smoltz (R)
Harang: Cin 0-8 vs. Smoltz since 1997
Smoltz: Atlanta 7-0 Over in July

Arizona at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
Webb: Ari 12-3 Under on the road with a money line of -100 to -125
Jennings: 10-2 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

American League:

Boston at Chicago White Sox, 1:20 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)
Beckett: 7-0 Over on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5
Garcia: White Sox 25-3 after BB games without a stolen base

Baltimore at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Jeremy Sowers (L)
Bedard: 3-0 TSR, 0.39 ERA L3 starts
Sowers: Cle 7-0 at home vs. Baltimore

Toronto at Kansas City, 7:10 EST
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)
Lilly: 0-7 TSR as a road favorite of -110 or higher
Elarton: 4-20 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)
Wang: Yankees 11-1 Over off 5+ road games
Kazmir: TB 0-3 at home vs. Yankees

Minnesota at Texas, 8:05 EST
Francisco Liriano (L) vs. John Rheinecker (L)
Liriano: Min 18-2 as a favorite of -150 or more
Rheinecker: Tex 1-10 as a home underdog

LA Angels at Oakland, 9:05 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Joe Blanton (R)
Weaver: 5-0 TSR, 1.35 ERA this season
Blanton: 13-3 Under vs. div opponents

Detroit at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Zach Miner (R) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)
Miner: Detroit 21-4 as a road favorite of -110 or higher
Washburn: Seattle 0-9 off BB losses by 4+ runs
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Old 07-08-06, 08:36 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot Pitchers
-- Josh Johnson is 3-0, 2.88 in his last four starts.
-- Dodgers won seven of Lowe's last nine starts. Lowry has 2.45 RA in his last two starts, but has 5.40 RA in four road starts.
-- Clemens has 3.31 RA in three starts this season.
-- Bush is 1-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Astacio won his first '06 start, allowing one run in five IP in a 9-1 home win vs Florida. San Diego is 6-1 in Young's road starts this season.
-- Smoltz is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts. Reds are 6-3 on road with Harang; he is 2-0, 2.57 in last three starts overall.
-- Jennings has 1.55 RA in his last four starts. Arizona is 10-4 in Webb starts if they score 3+ runs.
-- Bedard is 4-0, 1.16 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 3-1, 2.83 in his last four starts.
-- Lilly is 3-1, 1.88 in his last four starts.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-1 in Kazmir's home starts.
-- Liriano is 5-0, 1.46 in his last five starts. Rangers are 4-1 when Rheinecker starts at home.
-- Blanton is 4-0, 1.41 in his last four home starts. Jered Weaver is 5-0, 1.62 in five starts this season.
-- Miner is 5-0, 2.73 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 7.94 in his last three road starts. Maine is 0-2, 6.52 in two starts this season. Highly-touted rookie Pelfrey was 4-2, 2.71 in 12 AA starts this season- he skipped over AAA.
-- Reyes is 0-4, 4.07 in his last four starts.
-- Marmol is 1-2, 7.04 in three starts this season.
-- Lidle is 0-3, 4.88 in his last eight starts; Phils lost his last four home starts (5.70). Pirates are 2-5 on road with Maholm.
-- Garcia has 6.41 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Sowers is 1-1, 4.50 in first two major league starts.
-- Bronx lost Wang's last three road starts (0-2, 6.62).
-- Royals lost seven of Elarton's nine home starts this season.
-- Washburn is 0-1, 6.38 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Florida games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Marmol's starts this season.
-- Over is 8-5 in San Diego's last thirteen games.
-- Nine of last twelve Pirate road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Atlanta home games, 17-6-1 in last 24 Cincinnati road games.
-- Seven of last eight Webb starts stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last twelve White Sox home games went over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Bedard's last six starts.
-- Under is 7-4 in Toronto's last eleven games.
-- Five of last seven Bronx games went over the total.
-- Under is 18-7 in Minnesota's last 25 road games.
-- Over is 8-4-2 in Angels' last fourteen games.
-- Miner's last three starts all went over total, as Detroit gave him 10-10-9 runs.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won five of last seven games. Padres won six of their last eight road games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Milwaukee is 12-6 in its last eighteen home games.
-- Astros won five of their last seven games.
-- Rockies won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Devil Rays won seven of their last eleven home games.
-- Kansas City won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- White Sox are 22-8 in their last thirty games.Red Sox scored 19 runs in winning last two games.
-- Angels won six of their last seven games. A's are 13-6 in their last nineteen home games.
-- Detroit is 11-4 in their last fifteen road games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost twelve of last fifteen games. Pirates lost nine of last eleven on road, are 10-34 this season on foreign soil.
-- Reds lost six of last seven games, allowing 50 runs. Atlanta is 7-17 in last twenty-four home games.
-- Marlins lost six of their last nine games, but did score 32 runs in last three games.
-- Cardinals lost thirteen of their last seventeen games, nine of last eleven on foreign soil.
-- Cubs are 13-24 in their last thirty-seven road games.
-- Arizona is 7-23 in its last 30 games.
-- Orioles are 11-27 in their last thirty-eight road games. Indians are 4-7 in second game of series, if they won the opener.
-- Rangers lost eight of their last twelve games. Minnesota lost last three games in a row.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost last five games, outscored 35-11.

Umpires
-- (Fla-NY) Five of last six Nauert games went over. Favorite won four of Gibson's last five games.
-- (SF-LA) Over is 9-4 in Crawford's last thirteen games.
-- (StL-Hst) Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kulpa games; favorites are 5-1 in his last six games.
-- (Chi-Mil) Underdog is 13-5 in Marquez games, winning seven of his last eight games behind the plate.
-- (SD-Wsh) Over is 10-4 in last 14 Hernandez games with dogs 6-2 in his last eight behind the plate.
-- (Pitt-Phil) Under is 10-5 in Hirschbeck games; dogs are 8-5 in his last thirteen games calling balls and strikes.
-- (Cin-Atl) Favorite is 6-1, under 5-2 in Layne's last 7 games.
-- (Az-Col) Favorite is 13-2 in Dreckman's last fifteen games; six of his last behind dish went over the tota
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