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Old 07-29-06, 07:32 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Sportscapper Island
Posts: 15,103
Default Saturday 7/29 Baseball Betting Notes

National League:

NY Mets at Atlanta, 1:20 EST
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Tim Hudson (R)
Hernandez: 14-5 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Hudson: Atl 18-4 Over in July

Washington at LA Dodgers, 4:05 EST
Michael O'Connor (L) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
O'Connor: Wash 0-9 Away after allowing 9+ runs
Lowe: LAD 12-3 Over at home off 5+ home games

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 4:05 EST
Anthony Reyes (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Reyes: StL 40-17 off a loss by 2 runs or less
Maddux: 0-7 TSR at home off BB Cubs wins

Florida at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
Willis: 8-1 Under as a road underdog
Hamels: Phil 3-11 at home after winning 2 of last 3 games

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
Justin Germano (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Germano: Cin 16-9 Away when the total is 10 to 10.5
Davis: Mil 17-4 Over after a loss by 2 runs or less

Arizona at Houston, 7:05 EST
Juan Cruz (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Cruz: Ari 18-5 Over after a win by 2 runs or less
Oswalt: 4-0 TSR, 0.90 ERA vs. Arizona

San Francisco at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Jamey Wright (R) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Wright: 7-31 TSR Away off BB SF Losses
Gorzelanny: Pit 22-12 at home in night games

San Diego at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)
Young: 8-1 TSR in road games
Francis: Col 2-11 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

American League:

LA Angels at Boston, 1:20 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
Weaver: LAA 12-3 off 6+ road games
Beckett: 7-0 Over when the money line is +125 to -125

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 4:05 EST
Jae Seo (R) vs. Randy Johnson (L)
Seo: 0-3 TSR, 8.1 ERA L3 starts
Johnson: NYY 14-3 Under off a divsion win by 6+ runs

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 4:35 EST
Jon Garland (R) vs. James Johnson (R)
Garland: NL
Johnson: NL

Seattle at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)
Washburn: 24-10 TSR Away vs. AL Central
Westbrook: 0-3 TSR, 6.89 ERA L3 starts

Detroit at Minnesota, 7:10 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Brad Radke (R)
Robertson: 9-21 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
Radke: 8-0 TSR at home in night games

Kansas City at Texas, 8:05 EST
Jorge De La Rosa (L) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)
De La Rosa: 8-0 Over as an underdog
Millwood: Tex 9-0 Over as a home favorite of -175 to -250
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Old 07-29-06, 07:34 PM   #2 (permalink)
Now go get your shinebox
 
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Default

Hot Pitchers
-- Mets won last three Hernandez starts, scoring 22 runs.
-- Florida won four of last five Willis road starts.
-- Brewers are 11-3 with Davis if they give him four or more runs.
-- Francis is 3-1, 2.14 in his last five starts. Padres are 8-1 on the road when Young is starting pitcher.
-- Rookie Weaver is 7-0, 1.34 so far this season.
-- Bronx is 11-3 with RJohnson if they score four or more runs.
-- Robertson is 2-0, 2.25 vs Minnesota this season. Twins won eight of Radke's last nine starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Hudson has 7.83 RA in his last eight starts, but Braves won his last four, scoring 43 runs.
-- Phillies lost six of Hamels' last eight starts.
-- Lowe is 0-3, 8.72 in his last four starts. O'Connor is 0-2, 11.91 in his last three starts.
-- Cubs are 3-13 in last sixteen Maddux starts. Reyes is 1-5, 5.18 in his last seven starts.
-- First start this season for Grenaro, who was in AAA.
-- Astros are 3-11 with Oswalt if they score six or less runs.
-- Cruz is 0-2, 7.41 in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-2, 9.95 in his last three starts. Giants are 0-4 in Wright's last four road outings.
-- Toronto is 1-7 in Janssen's last eight starts.
-- Seo is 0-5, 6.51 in five starts for Devil Rays.
-- Indians lost four of last five Westbrook home starts.
-- De la Rosa makes first start of season for lowly Royals vs a tough Texas lineup. Rangers lost Millwood's last three starts at home (0-2, 6.75).

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Atlanta home games went over the total, as did last five Hudson starts.
-- Last three O'Connor starts all went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Maddux starts stayed under the total.
-- Last five Hamels starts went over the total.
-- Over is 13-5 in Cincinnati's last eighteen road games.
-- Four of last five Oswalt starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0 in Gorzelanny starts this season.
-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Francis starts.
-- Over is 13-5 in last eighteen Beckett starts.
-- Five of last seven Zito starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Seo's starts for Tampa Bay.
-- Eight of last nine Garland starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Washburn starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Robertson starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Millwood starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs are 8-3 vs St Louis this season.
-- Marlins won six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates won last three games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Braves won ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Padres won four of their last six games.
-- Nationals won six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx won five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox won five of their last seven home games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games.
-- Tigers are 33-11 in their last forty-four games. Twins are 35-9 in their last forty-four games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost 16 of their last 23 home games.
-- Giants lost last five games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Reds lost seven of their last eleven road games
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Colorado lost thirteen of their last eighteen games, but won last two (9-8/3-1).
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays are 12-23 in their last 35 games.
-- Royals are 6-11 in their last seventeen games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- A's lost seven of their last ten home games. Toronto is 5-7 in its last twelve road games.

Umpires
-- (NY-Atl) Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Gibson games.
-- (Wsh-LA) Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Cuzzi games.
-- (StL-Chi) Nine of last eleven Wegner games went over total.
-- (Fla-Phil) Underdog was three of last four Darling games.
-- (Cin-Mil) Eight of last ten Froemming games went over total, with underdog 14-7 in his games this season.
-- (Az-Hst) Visitor is 10-2 in last dozen Miller games.
-- (SF-Pitt) Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Bell games.
-- (SD-Col) Favorite won last six Reed games.
-- (LA-Bos) Last five Reynolds games all went over the total.
-- (Tor-A's) Underdog is 8-4 in last twelve Timmons games; five of his last seven games went over the total.
-- (TB-NY) Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Everitt games.
-- (Chi-Blt) Dogs are 12-8 in last twenty Joyce games; his last five games stayed under the total.
-- (Sea-Cle) Favorite won last five Hernandez games.
-- (Det-Min) Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Foster games.
-- (KC-Tex) Six of last nine Reilly games stayed under the total.
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