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Old 08-01-06, 08:45 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Tuesday 8/1 Baseball Notes

National League:

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Ian Snell (R)
Smoltz: 13-1 TSR Away off BB losses
Snell: Pitt 11-1 at home off BB one run wins

NY Mets at Florida, 7:05 EST
Michael Pelfrey (R) vs. Scott Olsen (L)
Pelfrey: NYM 17-5 Over vs. lefties
Olsen: 3-0 TSR, 1.50 ERA L3 starts

LA Dodgers at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Aaron Sele (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Sele: LAD 0-7 Away off BB wins
Arroyo: 8-2 TSR, 2.23 ERA at home

Arizona at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Rich Hill (L)
Vargas: Ari 6-2 at CHC L3 seasons
Hill: 0-2 TSR, 6.30 ERA vs. Arizona

Philadelphia at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Scott Mathieson (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)
Mathieson: Phil 20-5 Under after a loss by 6+ runs
Suppan: 3-0 TSR, 0.90 ERA L3 starts

Milwaukee at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Dave Bush (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)
Bush: Mil 1-11 after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games
Fogg: Col 7-0 Under at home off BB wins

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Jake Peavy (R)
Pettitte: Hou 23-7 Under as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Peavy: 2-9 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5

Washington at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Hernandez: Wash 8-24 Away off an Over
Cain: 13-5 Over this season

American League:

Seattle at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Rodrigo Lopez (R)
Moyer: 35-18 Under with a money line of -100 to -150
Lopez: 11-1 TSR vs. AL West

Cleveland at Boston, 7:05 EST
C.C. Sabathia (L) vs. Jason Johnson (R)
Sabathia: Cle 8-20 Away when the money line is +125 to -125
Snyder: Bos 18-2 at home off 4+ home games

Toronto at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
A.J. Burnett (R) vs. Jaret Wright (R)
Burnett: 1-10 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Wright: 80-40 TSR in night games

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Justin Verlander (R) vs. James Howell (L)
Verlander: Det 18-3 as a road favorite of -125 or more
Howell: TB 20-11 after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Texas at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Adam Eaton (R) vs. Scott Baker (R)
Eaton: Tex 10-0 Under after allowing 9+ runs
Baker: Min 29-6 as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Buehrle: 0-3 TSR, 11.15 ERA L3 starts
Perez: 0-3 TSR, 14.60 ERA L3 starts

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Joe Saunders (L)
Blanton: 9-2 TSR Away 2nd half of the season
Saunders: LAA 0-7 at home after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
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Old 08-01-06, 08:46 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot Pitchers
-- Smoltz is 3-0, 2.51 in his last six starts. Pirates are 9-4 in last 13 starts by Snell.
-- Olsen is 3-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Reds are 7-2 in Arroyo's home starts this season.
-- Cardinals won last three Suppan starts (2-0, 0.90).
-- Colorado won Fogg's last four home starts.
-- Nationals won last six Hernandez starts, scoring 42 runs.
-- Lopez has 2.21 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Bronx is 11-4 in Wright's last fifteen starts.
-- Verlander is 6-0, 1.55 in his last seven starts.
-- Saunders beat Indians in first start, allowing two runs in seven IP in 5-2 Angel win. A's won Blanton's last three starts, scoring total of 22 runs in the three games- they're 7-2 in his last nine.

Cold Pitchers
-- Pelfrey has 5.87 RA in his first three starts, but Mets scored 29 runs in the three games.
-- Sele is 0-3, 10.38 in his last three road starts.
-- Vargas is 1-3, 7.78 in his last four starts. Hill is 0-4, 9.67 in five starts this year; Cubs were outscored 32-6 in those games.
-- Mathieson is 0-2, 6.48 in three starts this season.
-- Brewers are 3-8 in Bush's road starts.
-- Houston is 3-7 in Pettitte's road starts this season. San Diego is 4-8 in Peavy's last dozen starts.
-- Cain is 1-2, 5.05 in his last six starts.
-- Moyer is 1-3, 6.82 in his last five starts.
-- Sabathia is 0-3, 8.68 in last three starts. Johnson is 0-2, 11.25 in two starts for the Red Sox in '06.
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.53 in his last five starts.
-- Howell was 3-2, 2.11 as starter in AAA at Durham; he made 15 starts for Royals last year, allowing a hit per inning.
-- Baker has 8.44 RA in his last three starts. Eaton lasted 3.2 IP in his first Texas start, throwing 78 pitches, allowing three runs.
-- Buehrle is 0-5, 12.15 in his last five starts. Odalis Perez makes his first start with Royals; in his last four starts with Dodgers, he allowed 27 runs in 16.2 IP

Totals
-- Four of last five Smoltz starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Olsen home starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Arroyo starts.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Vargas starts.
-- Suppan's last three starts all stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Fogg's last fifteen starts.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in Pettitte's last thirteen starts.
-- Over is 11-4 in Cain's last fifteen starts, 7-1 in Hernandez' last eight outings. .
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Lopez starts.
-- Under is 9-6-1 in last sixteen Sabathia starts.
-- Four of last five Verlander starts went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Baker starts went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Buehrle starts went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in Blanton's last thirteen starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Cubs won six of their last eight games.
-- Rockies won four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tigers are 34-13 in their last forty-seven games.
-- Twins are 37-10 in their last forty-seven games.
-- A's won five of their last six games. Angels won six of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Giants lost last eight games, allowing 43 runs. Nationals lost three of last four games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- Orioles are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
-- Devil Rays are 14-24 in their last 38 games, 5-6 in last eleven.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last twelve games.
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