[Tommy]

August 15 2006

National League

Atlanta at Washington, 7:05 EST
Lance Cormier (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)
Cormier: Atl 8-0 Over after scoring 7+ runs BB games
Astacio: Wash 4-12 at home off BB losses

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Randy Wolf (L)
Hernandez: NYM 8-0 revenging a loss as a road favorite
Wolf: Phi 13-4 Over at home after scoring 9+ runs

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Davis: 11-4 TSR vs. division opponents
Gorzelanny: Pit 7-0 Under off 3+ wins

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 EST
Juan Mateo (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)
Mateo: CHC 14-4 Under Away on Tuesdays
Clemens: 9-0 Under as a home favorite of -250 to -330

Cincinnati at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)
Harang: 7-1 TSR off a CIN win
Carpenter: 25-4 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest

Arizona at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Miguel Batista (R) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
Batista: 12-3 TSR as an underdog
Jennings: 18-3 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Matt Morris (R) vs. Chris Young (R)
Morris: SF 0-6 off a one run division win
Young: SD 10-1 Under in August

Florida at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Anibal Sanchez (R) vs. Chad Billingsley (R)
Sanchez: Fla 24-7 Over after scoring 2 runs or less
Billingsley: 3-0 TSR, 1.59 ERA L3 starts

American League:

Detroit at Boston, 7:05 EST
Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)
Bonderman: 7-0 TSR Away on Tuesday
Schilling: 36-15 Over when the total is 8.5 to 10

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Bedard: Bal 8-25 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Mussina: NYY 18-3 Under as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Jae Seo (R)
Halladay: 22-3 TSR in night games
Seo: TB 18-5 Over off 6+ losses

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)
Hernandez: KC 7-0 Over after a loss by 10+ runs
Vazquez: CHW 35-8 as a home favorite of -175 to -250

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Santana: 8-1 Over Away in night games
Padilla: Tex 15-3 Over at home after a day off

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Westbrook: Cle 8-0 Over after a win by 8+ runs
Santana: 12-0 TSR at home this season

Seattle at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Kirk Saarloos (R)
Pineiro: 3-17 TSR Away off a loss
Saarloos: Oak 13-1 vs. Seattle this season

[Tommy]

Hot Pitchers
-- Mets won five of last six Hernandez starts, scoring 43 runs.
-- Mateo won first start, allowing three runs in five IP vs DBacks
-- Reds won five of Harang's last six starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 2-1, 2.00 in last four starts. Brewers won last four Davis starts, scoring 30 runs.
-- Clemens is 3-1, 1.91 in his last five starts.
-- Arizona won eight of last nine Batista starts. Jennings has a 1.50 RA in his last four starts..
-- Billingsley is 3-1, 1.59 in his last six starts.
-- Tigers are 7-3 in Bonderman's last ten starts.
-- Orioles won four of Bedard's last five road starts.
-- Toronto is 18-4 in Halladay's last 22 starts, but he has a 4.65 RA in his last six starts. Seo has 1.32 RA in his last two starts, but only twice in eight starts has Tampa given him more than a couple of runs to work with.
-- Padilla is 6-2, 3.54 in his last eight starts.
-- Vazquez is 2-0, 2.07 in his last two starts, and 2-0, 1.15 against the Royals this season.
-- Westbrook is 2-0, 3.18 in his last two starts. Twins are 19-2 in JSantana's last twenty-one starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Astacio has 6.47 RA in his last seven starts. Cormier is 0-2, 6.52 in two starts this year, last one was June 24
-- Wolf has 5.93 RA in three starts, but Phillies won all three, as they scored 25 runs.
-- Carpenter is 0-2, 7.94 in his last three starts.
-- Young is 1-2, 7.13 in his last fiuve starts. Morris is 0-3, 7.18 in his last four starts.
-- Sanchez is 0-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Mussina is 0-2, 6.55 in his last two starts.
-- Schilling has 5.85 RA in his last five starts.
-- ESantana is 1-4, 5.67 in his last five starts.
-- RHernandez is 1-4, 10.73 in his last six starts.
-- Pineiro is 0-2, 7.31 in his last three starts. Saarloos is 1-4, 5.79 in his last seven starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Met games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last eleven road games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in Cubs' last fourteen road games.
-- Eight of last nine Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Arizona's last twelve road games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven games at Petco Park.
-- Over is 7-4 in Florida's last eleven road games.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Under is 12-2 in last fourteen Bronx home games.
-- Last seven Toronto road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten RHernandez starts.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Angel games.
-- Five of last six Metrodome games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Oakland's last nine home games.

Hot Teams
-- Mets are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Braves are 14-8 in their last 22 road games.
-- Pirates won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Astros are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Reds are 11-7 in road series openers.
-- Colorado is 8-3 in their last eleven home games.
-- Dodgers are 16-1 in their last seventeen games.
-- Toronto won six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox won ten of their last fifteen home games.
-- White Sox won their last five games, allowing twelve runs.
-- Indians won their last six games, scoring 46 runs.
-- Angels are 19-10 in their last 29 road games. Rangers won last five games, scoring 51 runs.
-- A's won fifteen of their last eighteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies are 12-19 in their last thirty-one home games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Milwaukee is 6-16 in its last twenty-two road games.
-- Cubs lost four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
-- Giants lost five of six and sixteen of last twenty games.
-- Bronx is 4-5 in their last nine games. Orioles lost last four in a row, allowing 32 runs.
-- Detroit lost five of their last six games.
-- Devil Rays scored 11 runs on recent 0-6 road trip, but they're 15-11 in last 26 home games.
-- Royals are 3-13 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Twins lost three of last four games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Seattle lost last eight games that weren't vs Tampa Bay; they lost their last twelve games against the A's. .

Umpires
-- (Atl-Wsh) Four of last five Wolf games went over the total.
-- (NY-Phil) Underdog is 17-5 in last 22 Cooper games.
-- (Mil-Pitt) Favorite won last seven Reed games.
-- (Chi-Hst) Six of last nine Kellogg games went over the total.
-- Don't know who umps are in Red-Cardinal game.
-- (Az-Col) Favorite won Nauert's last four games behind plate.
-- (SF-SD) Under is 7-3-1 in Eddings' last eleven games.
-- (Fla-LA) Under is 7-3-1 in Hallion's last eleven games.
-- (Det-Bos) Home team won last six Emmel games.
-- Don't know who umps are in Orioles-Bronx game.
-- Don't know who umps are in Toronto-Tampa game.
-- (KC-Chi) Underdog is 13-9 in last 22 Meriwether games.
-- Don't know who umps are in Angel-Ranger game.
-- Don't know who umps are in Indian-Twin game.
-- (Sea-A's) Favorite is 6-1 in BWelke's last seven games.