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Old 05-12-05, 09:19 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default MLB Trends for Thursday 5/12

MLB Baseball Trends

Thursday, May 12th

National League:

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals, 1:10 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Lowe - 11-2 Over in May games over the last 3 seasons
Carpenter - 1-10 TSR in home games in May games since 1997

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. Jon Lieber (R)

Ortiz - Cincinnati 8-3 Over in last 11 games
Lieber - 14-1 TSR in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997

San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Brad Hennessey (R) vs. Andy Pettite (L)

Hennessey - n/a
Pettite - 0-1 TSR vs. San Fransisco with a 10.13 ERA and a 2.439 WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, 8:35 EST
Russ Ortiz (R) vs. Shawn Chacon (R)

Ortiz - 13-4 TSR vs. Colorado with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.322 WHIP
Chacon - 2-5 TSR vs. Arizona with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.296 WHIP

American League:

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Bruce Chen (L) vs. Jon Garland (R)

Chen - Baltimore 6-0 this season as an underdog of $1.50 or less this
Garland - Chicago 28-39 in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Kansas City Royals, 8:05 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Jose Lima (R)

Kazmir - Tampa Bay 6-23 batting .290 or better over a 20 game span since 1997
Lima - 13-5 TSR as an underdog of $1.50 or less over the last 3 seasons
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Old 05-12-05, 09:20 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot pitchers
-- Lieber is 3-0, 2.91 in three home starts.
-- Hennessey won his first '05 start, going seven in 8-3 win at Pittsburgh on May 1. Home side is 7-0 in starts by Pettitte (2-0, 3.05 in three home starts).
-- Chacon has 3.18 RA in five starts, so former closer has pitched well, even if Colorado is 1-4 in those tilts.
-- Chen is 3-0, 3.79 in his last three starts. Garland is
6-0, 2.42 so far this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Lowe is 0-2, 3.96 in four road starts. Carpenter has a 5.66 RA in his last three starts.
-- Ramon Ortiz is 0-2, 7.30 in his three '05 starts.
-- Russ Ortiz is 1-2, 6.00 in his last five starts.
-- Lima is 0-3, 7.58 in seven starts. Kazmir is 0-4, 4.61 in his seven starts this season.


Totals
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Dodger road games, but the under is 6-1 in Lowe's starts this season.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Cincinnati road games, but 0-5 in Lieber's last five starts.
-- Over is 5-0 in last five Houston home contests.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Russ Ortiz starts, 8-2 in the last ten Arizona road games, 4-1 in Chacon starts.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Chicago home games.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Kansas City home games.

Hot teams
-- Dodgers are 8-4 in game following a loss. Cardinals scored 35 runs in winning three of last four games.
-- Colorado won three of last four games and is 5-3 in their last eight contests at Coors Field.
-- Orioles won eight of last nine road games, and 13 of their last 17 games overall. White Sox are 11-3 at home winning last five home games in row.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost eleven of their last thirteen games. Phillies are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost eight of last nine games, but are 10-5 in their last fifteen games at Juice Box. Giants lost six of their last eight games.
-- Arizona scored 13 runs in last five games (2.6 rpg).
-- Royals lost last six home games, are 2-12 at home. Tampa Bay is 1-10 on road, losing last six away tilts.
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