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Old 05-13-05, 07:36 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default MLB Trends Friday 3/15

Friday, May 13th

National League:

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Glendon Rusch (L) vs. Esteban Loaiza (R)

Rusch - 8-2 TSR vs. Washington with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.235 WHIP
Loaiza - Washington 2-19 after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Eric Milton (L) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Milton - 66-42 TSR in the first half of the season since 1997
Myers - 10-1 Over when pitching on Friday since 1997

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Kip Wells (R)

Capuano - Milwaukee 19-5 Under when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons
Wells - 1-9 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)

Marquis - 29-34 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997
Glavine - 10-4 TSR vs. St. Louis with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.290 WHIP

San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Kirk Rueter (L) vs. Ezequiel Astacio (R)

Rueter - 53-23 TSR against NL Central opponents since 1997
Astacio - Houston 21-27 against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, 8:35 EST
Brad Halsey (L) vs. Jeff Francis (L)

Halsey - 1-0 TSR vs. Colorado with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.00 WHIP
Francis - 2-2 TSR vs. Arizona with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.394 WHIP

Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. Adam Eaton (R)

Beckett - 3-0 TSR vs. San Diego with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.150 WHIP
Eaton - 1-3 TSR vs. Florida with a 6.63 ERA and a 2.053 WHIP

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Horacio Ramirez (L) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)

Ramirez - Atlanta 15-4 Under with a bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game over the last 3 seasons
Weaver - 3-0 TSR vs. Atlanta with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP

American League:

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)

Lilly - Toronto 9-2 on the road in night games this season
Westbrook - Cleveland 24-41 against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Anaheim Angels at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Bartolo Colon (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)

Colon - 11-2 Over when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
Bonderman - Detroit 3-17 in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)

Lopez - Baltimore 4-19 when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons
Buehrle - 18-6 TSR in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Kansas City Royals, 8:05 EST
Doug Waechter (R) vs. Mike Wood (R)

Waechter - n/a
Wood - 2-12 at home this season

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Ryan Drese (R) vs. Joe Mays (R)

Drese - 18-8 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Mays - 21-5 Under in home games after a loss since 1997

New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Rich Harden (R)

Mussina - 9-1 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 since 1997
Harden - Oakland 30-58 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Jeremi Gonzalez (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)

Gonzalez - Boston 9-0 Under after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base this season
Pineiro - 2-13 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons
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Old 05-13-05, 07:38 PM   #2 (permalink)
Now go get your shinebox
 
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Default

Hot pitchers
-- Loaiza has 2.49 RA in his last three starts.
-- Myers is 2-2, 1.86 in seven starts this season.
-- Capuano is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts. Wells is 3-0, 2.88 in his last four starts, but is 0-2, 8.76 against the Brewers so far this season.
-- Marquis is 2-0, 1.64 in his three road starts.
-- Rueter is 1-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 5-2, 3.00 in seven starts this season, but has an 8.31 road RA, a 0.62 home RA. Fish are away. Padres are 3-1 in Eaton's last four starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 2.84 in his last two starts.

-- Bonderman is 3-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. Colon has 1.13 RA in his last two starts; he just lost 2-1 to the Tigers and Bonderman Saturday night.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 1.80 in three home starts.
-- Mussina is 2-0, 1.13 in his last two starts. Harden is 2-2, 2.59 in his six starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Rusch threw 81 pitches in 4.2 IP, allowing two runs in a 2-1 home loss to Phillies in his first '05 start.
-- Milton is 0-2, 7.23 in his last four starts.
-- Glavine is 0-2, 12.21 in his last three starts.
-- Astacio is 0-1, 9.82 in pair of 2005 starts.
-- Halsey is 0-1, 4.34 in his last three starts. Francis is 1-2, 5.82 in his last four starts.
-- Ramirez is 1-2, 5.09 in three road starts.

-- Westbrook is 1-6, 7.41 in seven starts this season. Lilly has 10.67 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lopez is 0-0, 11.57 in his last three starts.
-- Carrasco was 3-2, 2.28 at AAA Omaha; he made only three starts in 11 appearances there. Waechter is 1-2, 7.54 in four starts this season.
-- Mays has a 6.75 RA in his last three starts. Drese has an 8.31 RA in his three road outings.
-- Gonzalez is 1-1, 5.06 in pair of 2005 starts. Pineiro is 2-3, 5.66 in five starts this season.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Cub contests, 5-0-1 in last six Washington home games, 6-1 in Loaiza starts.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Brewer road games, 3-1 in last four Capuano starts.
-- Under is 5-2 in Marquis starts this season.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Houston home games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last 11 Arizona road contests.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Florida road games.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Atlanta road games, but 0-5 in last five Los Angeles home contests.

-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Detroit home games, 7-1 in last eight Angel road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Toronto road games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Baltimore games, 6-1 in last seven White Sox home games.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Tampa Bay home games.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Boston road games, 6-1 in last seven Seattle home games.
-- Mussina's last four starts stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Brewers won ten of their last thirteen games. Pirates are home after a terrific
-- Mets are 5-0 in home series openers. Cardinals are 5-0 in road series openers, 10-3 overall on road.
-- Arizona allowed a total of seven runs in winning last three in a row.
-- Marlins won seven of their last nine road games. San Diego won eight of its last ten home games.

-- Toronto is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
-- Orioles are 9-3 on road, 8-3 after a loss. White Sox won their last six home games.
-- Twins won five of their last seven games. Rangers are 5-1 in their last six road games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last nine games.
-- Bronx scored 34 runs in winning last five games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost their last five games on foreign soil. Nats lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds lost the game that followed each of their last six wins. Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Met home games.
-- Astros lost last three road games and nine of last 10 games overall. Giants lost six of their last eight games.
-- Colorado lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Braves are 5-7 in last 12 road games, and lost last three road series openers. Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine home games.

-- Indians lost eight of their eleven home games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their 15 home games, and are 1-8 in game following a win this season. Tampa Bay is 1-11 on the road. losing last seven away contests.
-- Seattle lost ten of its last eleven games.
-- A's lost eight of their last nine games.
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