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Old 05-20-05, 09:24 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default MLB Trends Friday 5/20

Friday, May 20th

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Jamey Wright (R) vs. Mark Redman (L)

Wright - 4-11 TSR vs. Pittsburgh with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.617 WHIP
Redman - Pittsburgh 61-35 Over as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997

Interleague Play:

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)

Garcia - White Sox 22-7 after a win this season
Maddux - Cubs 27-54 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1997

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Wade Miller (R)

Hudson - 58-21 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last outing since 1997
Miller - 1-5 TSR vs. Atlanta with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.883

Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Mike Maroth (L)

Webb - Arizona 81-58 Under against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons
Maroth - Detroit 4-17 in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)

Vargas - Washington 12-3 when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Lilly - 0-7 TSR against NL East opponents since 1997

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Millwood - 36-13 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997
Harang - Cincinnati 0-8 after 5 or more consecutive road games this season

New York Yankees at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Kevin Brown (R) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Brown - 13-3 Over in road games when pitching on Friday since 1997
Zambrano - 14-5 TSR as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles, 7:35 EST
Randy Wolf (L) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)

Wolf - 22-7 Over in road games over the last 3 seasons
Cabrera - 22-12 TSR in all games over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
Hideo Nomo (R) vs. Al Leiter (L)

Nomo - Tampa Bay 15-3 in interleague play over the last 2 seasons
Leiter - 62-33 Under as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)

Backe - Houston 2-16 in road games this season
Rogers - 18-4 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals, 8:05 EST
Mark Mulder (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

Mulder - 8-2 TSR vs. Kansas City with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.987
Greinke - 13-1 Under in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Gary Glover (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)

Glover - Milwaukee 58-39 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Silva - Minnesota 81-56 in night games over the last 2 seasons

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Ryan Franklin (R)

Peavy - 22-3 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Franklin - 14-3 Under after a win over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Kirk Rueter (L)

Blanton - Oakland 23-49 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons
Rueter - 20-5 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Anaheim Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Scott Erickson (R)

Washburn - 14-1 Over against NL West opponents since 1997
Erickson - 32-54 TSR after a loss since 1997
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Old 05-20-05, 09:26 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default

Hot pitchers
-- Redman is 2-3, 2.75 in eight starts this season.
-- Maddux is 2-0, 3.80 in his last seven starts.
-- Webb is 2-0, 4.05 in three road starts, but two of those three were at Coors Field. Bonderman is 3-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 2.74 in his last three starts. Millwood is 1-0, 3.38 in last three starts, all Cleveland wins.
-- Cabrera is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Rogers is 4-0, 0.57 in his last four starts, and hasn't allowed a run in his last 24 innings on the mound.
-- St Louis won last six Mulder starts (5-0, 3.44). In his last three starts, Greinke has 2.42 RA, but KC scored 13 runs in his eight starts this season (1-7).
-- San Diego is 7-1 in Peavy starts (3-0, 2.75). In his last two starts, Franklin has 2.31 RA, but Seattle is 0-3 in his home starts.
-- Rueter is 2-0, 2.36 in his last four starts.
-- Washburn is 2-1, 1.19 in his last four road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wright is 1-2, 7.88 in his last four starts, but in three road starts, he is 1-0, 1.31.
-- Garcia is 0-2, 8.03 in his last two starts.
-- Hudson is 2-2, 6.56 in his last four starts. Miller has a 4.22 RA in his first two AL starts.
-- Nationals are 0-2 in Vargas starts (0-1, 8.59). Lillyis 1-3, 14.26 in his last five starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-2, 7.29 in his last four starts. Brown is 2-4, 6.57 in six starts, winning last two, both vs A's.
-- Wolf is 1-3, 5.23 in his last five starts.
-- Florida is 0-4 in Leiter home starts (0-3, 10.19). Nomo is 0-2, 6.11 in his last five starts.
-- Home side is 8-0 in Backe starts (0-2, 7.54 in four starts on road).
-- Glover is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts. Twins lost last three Silva starts (0-2, 4.50).
-- Blanton is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts.
-- Erickson is 0-2, 6.41 in his last five starts. Dodgers are 0-4 if they give him less than eight runs.

Totals
-- Under is 9-1 in last ten Pirate home games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six games at Wrigley Field, 6-2 in last eight White Sox games.
-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Atlanta road games, 6-1-1 in last eight Boston games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Diamondback games, 6-3 in last nine Detroit home games. .
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Washington road games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Bronx games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 Philadelphia road games.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Marlins' home contests.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Houston road games, 8-2 in last ten Texas games. .
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight St Louis road games.
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Milwaukee road tilts, 7-3 in last ten Minnesota home games. .
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine San Diego road games; over is 5-2-1 in last eight Mariner games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Giant home games, 7-2 in last nine Oakland road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dodger home games,
4-1 in last five Erickson starts, 11-3 in last 14 Angel road contests.

Hot teams
-- Cubs are 5-2 in their last seven games.
-- Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Indians are 6-1 in last seven road series openers.
-- Mets are 15-7 at home, 7-0 in series openers. Team from Bronx won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Boston won five of last six home games.
-- Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight road games.
-- Phillies won three of their last four games. Orioles are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Florida is 9-4 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Cardinals won 13 of their 19 road games this season.
-- Milwaukee is 5-12 in last seventeen road games. Twins won three of their last four games.
-- Padres won seven in row and 14 of last 16 games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten road games.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-6 last nine games, 2-15 on the road. Pirates are 2-6 in its last eight home games.
-- Braves lost their last five road series openers, and are 7-11 in their last 18 road games.
-- Detroit lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Toronto is 9-10 at home, but won three in row there
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten home games.
-- Devil Rays are 3-15 in games on foreign soil.
-- Houston is 2-16 in games on foreign soil. Rangers are 1-6 in first game of a home series.
-- Royals are 6-15 at home, but 4-3 in their last seven.
-- Seattle is 4-9 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Giants lost four of their last five games. A's are 1-7 in their last eight road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games
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