[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends

Saturday, May 21st

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Oliver Perez (L)

Jennings - Colorado 9-26 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Perez - Pittsburgh 61-35 Over as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997

Interleague Play:

**Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Kyle Davies (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)

Davies - Atlanta 9-3 as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons
Wakefield - 5-14 TSR in interleague play since 1997

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 1:15 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Contreras - White Sox 16-5 when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Zambrano - Zambrano 2-2 TSR with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.557 WHIP

New York Yankees at New York Mets, 1:15 EST
Randy Johnson (L) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Johnson - 9-12 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Benson - n/a

Anaheim Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:05 EST
John Lackey (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)

Lackey - 15-3 Over in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons
Penny - Dodgers 84-65 against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants, 8:05 EST
Danny Haren (R) vs. Jeff Fassero (L)

Haren - 3-12 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons
Fassero - San Fransisco 94-56 with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays, 4:05 EST
Tony Armas (R) vs. Roy Halladay (R)

Armas - 16-2 Under in May since 1997
Halladay - 8-1 Under this season

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Florida Marlins, 6:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. AJ Burnett (R)

Hendrickson - Tampa Bay 3-26 as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons
Burnett - Florida 61-35 against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Vicente Padilla (R) vs. Erik Bedard (L)

Padilla - 6-0 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Bedard - Baltimore 10-26 in interleague play since 1997

Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Shawn Estes (L) vs. Nate Robertson (L)

Estes - 16-42 TSR on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997
Robertson - Detroit 13-4 Under in May this season

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals, 7:05 EST
Matt Morris (R) vs. Jose Lima (R)

Morris - 1-9 TSR in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons
Lima - 16-3 TSR in home games over the last 2 seasons

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins, 7:10 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Brad Radke (R)

Davis - 2-0 TSR vs. Minnesota with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.865 WHIP
Radke - 1-10 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
C.C. Sabathia (L) vs. Elizardo Ramirez (R)

Sabathia - Cleveland 13-3 Over as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons
Ramirez - Cincinnati 51-24 Over after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons

**Houston Astros at Texas Rangers, 4:05 EST
Ezequiel Astacio (R) vs. Chris Young (R)

Astacio - Houston 9-0 Over as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons
Young - Texas 24-9 on Saturday over the last 2 seasons

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)

Lawrence - 23-10 Over on the road on grass over the last 3 seasons
Meche - 1-9 TSR in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Zambrano is 2-0, 3.75 in three Wrigley starts.
-- Wakefield is 3-0, 2.37 in three home starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Armas is 1-1, 3.55 in two starts this season. In last four starts, Halladay is 3-1, 1.85.
-- Estes is 2-0, 3.75 in his last couple of starts.
-- Padilla is 1-0, 3.27 in his last two starts. Bedard is
4-0, 1.46 in his last five outings.
-- Morris is 2-0, 1.83 in his three road starts.
-- Twins won last four Radke starts (3-0, 2.45)
-- Ramirez allowed two runs in six IP in first '05 start, losing 3-2 at Philly.
-- Young is 2-1, 1.39 in his last five starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Jennings is 0-3, 8.34 in his last four starts. Perez is
1-4, 8.37 in seven starts this season.
-- Davies makes major league debut here for Atlanta; he was 2-1, 4.78 in eight starts at AAA Richmond.
-- Contreras is 1-1, 7.15 his last two starts; he is 0-0, 5.40 in his three road outings.
-- Home side is 3-0 in Benson starts (1-1, 4.91), In a pair of road starts, Randy Johnson has a 6.23 RA.
-- Penny is 0-2, 8.44 in his last two starts.
-- Giants scored total of two runs in losing both Fassero starts this season (0-1, 5.63). A's lost Haren's last five starts in a row (0-4, 10.08).
-- Burnett is 0-3, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- Hendrickson is 1-2, 4.89 in six starts this season.
-- Detroit is 0-3 at home with Robertson (0-1, 5.94)
-- Lima is 0-1, 11.21 in his last four starts.
-- Davis is 2-5, 6.33 in his last seven starts.
-- Sabathia is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Houston is 0-3 in Astacio starts (0-2, 7.31)
-- Lawrence is 0-3, 9.68 in four road starts. Meche has a 5.70 RA in eight starts this season.

Totals
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Pirate home games.
-- Over is 8-5 in last 13 Atlanta road games, 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven games at Wrigley, 7-2 in last nine White Sox games.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Dodger home games,
12-3 in last fifteen Angel road contests.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Giant home games, 8-2 in last ten Oakland road games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Washington road games, 7-0 in last seven Halladay starts.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Marlins' home contests.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last 14 Philadelphia road games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last 11 Diamondback games, 7-3 in last ten Detroit home games. .
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine St Louis road games.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Cincinnati games.
-- Under is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Milwaukee road tilts, 8-3 in last eleven Minnesota home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Texas games.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten San Diego road games.


Hot teams
-- Boston won six of last seven home games.
-- Bronx won eleven of their last twelve games. Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels won nine of their last eleven road games.
-- A's won three of their last four games.
-- Nationals won five of their last seven games. Jays are 4-0 in their last four home games.
-- Florida is 10-4 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Arizona is 7-2 in its last nine road games.
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won 14 of their 20 road games this season.
-- Twins won four of their last five games.
-- Padres won eight in row and 15 of last 17 games.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-7 last ten games, 2-16 on the road. Pirates are 3-6 in its last nine home games.
-- Braves are 7-12 in their last 19 road games, but they are 7-1 in second game of series if they lose opener.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games. A's are 2-7 in their last eight road games.
-- Devil Rays are 3-16 in games on foreign soil.
-- Phillies are 1-6 in 2nd game of series if they won 1st.
-- Detroit lost seven of their last ten home games.
-- Royals are 6-16 at home this season.
-- Milwaukee is 5-13 in last eighteen road games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Houston is 2-17 in games on foreign soil.
-- Seattle is 4-10 in its last fourteen home games.


Umpires
-- Dog is 3-2 in last five Dimuro games, with five of his last seven going over the total. (Col-Pitt)
-- Fletcher's last five games stayed under total, with the favorite winning five of his last six. (Atl-Bos)
-- Over is 6-2 in Hudson games, with dogs winning 3 of his last four games behind plate. (Chi-Chi)
-- Underdog won last four Meriwether games, with last three staying under the total. (NY-NY)
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Randazzo games, with the favorite winning five of his last six. (LA-LA)
-- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Vanover games; this is 5:00 local start in Bay Area. (A's-SF)
-- Favorite is 7-1 in Darling games. (Wsh-Tor)
-- Underdog won last four Hirschbeck games. (TB-Fla)
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Winters games; dogs of less than +$200 are 3-2 in his games this season. (Phil-Balt)
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Cuzzi games, with favorites 7-1 in his games this season. (Ariz-Det)
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Eddings games. (StL-KC)
-- Home side is 6-1 in Iassogna games, with last three staying under the total. (Mil-Min)
-- Dogs are 3-1 in TWelke's last three games(Clev-Cin)
-- Underdog is 6-3 in Reliford games, with last three all going over the total. (Hst-Tex)
-- Favorite won last four Joyce games. (SD-Sea)