[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends

Sunday, May 22st

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates, 1:35 EST
Joe Kennedy (L) vs. Josh Fogg (R)

Kennedy - 11-2 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Fogg - 11-2 TSR after walking less than 1 hitter in each of his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons

Interleague Play:

Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers, 1:05 EST
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Jason Johnson (R)

Vazquez - 3-12 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons
Johnson - 17-5 Under at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Florida Marlins, 1:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Brian Moehler (R)

Fossum - Tampa Bay 3-27 as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons
Moehler - Florida 87-63 in interleague play since 1997

Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays, 1:05 EST
Tomo Ohka (R) vs. Josh Towers (R)

Ohka - Washington 47-100 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997
Towers - 2-0 TSR vs. Washington with a 0.56 ERA and a 0.813 WHIP

New York Yankees at New York Mets, 1:10 EST
Carl Pavano (R) vs. Pedro Martinez (R)

Pavano - 16-4 TSR in road games over the last 2 seasons
Martinez - 13-20 TSR vs. Yankees with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.107 ERA

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds, 1:15 EST
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Ramon Ortiz (R)

Lee - 11-5 TSR as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons
Ortiz - 3-12 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles, 1:35 EST
Cory Lidle (R) vs. Sidney Ponson (R)

Lidle - Philadelphia 18-23 when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Ponson - 24-11 TSR in May games since 1997

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox, 2:05 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Matt Clement (R)

Smoltz - Atlanta 15-4 Under after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons
Clement - 8-14 TSR in day games over the last 2 seasons

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers, 2:05 EST
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Chan Ho Park (R)

Oswalt - 1-9 TSR in road games in May since 1997
Park - 46-24 TSR in day games since 1997

St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals, 2:05 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Ryan Jensen (R)

Suppan - 40-13 Under on the road when the total is 10 or higher since 1997
Jensen - Kansas City 52-113 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins, 2:10 EST
Wes Obermueller (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)

Obermueller - n/a
Santana - n/a

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Brandon McCarthy (R) vs. Mark Prior (R)

McCarthy - n/a
Prior - n/a

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners, 4:05 EST
Tim Stauffer (R) vs. Aaron Sele (R)

Stauffer - n/a
Sele - n/a

Anaheim Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:10 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Byrd - n/a
Lowe - n/a

Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants, 8:05 EST
Barry Zito (L) vs. Noah Lowry (L)

Zito - n/a
Lowry - n/a

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Fogg is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Vazquez is 4-1, 1.80 in his last six starts. Johnson is 1-0, 2.25 in four starts at Comerica.
-- Moehler is 2-1, 2.19 in his last four starts. Fossum allowed two runs in five IP his first 2005 start.
-- Towers is 4-0, 1.95 in his last four starts.
-- Phillies are 4-1 in Lidle's last five starts (3-1, 5.01)
-- Pavano is 2-0, 1.06 in his last two road starts.
-- Indians are 5-0 in Lee road starts (4-0, 3.58).
-- Smoltz is 3-2, 2.11 in his last eight starts. Red Sox scored 26 runs in winning last four Clement starts.
-- Oswalt has 1.15 RA in his last two starts. Texas won Park's last five starts, scoring 45 runs (2-0, 5.28).
-- Obermueller is 1-0. 3.60 in three 2005 starts.
-- Prior is 0-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Stauffer is 1-0, 3.46 in his two starts this season; Padres won both games.


Cold pitchers
-- Home side is 7-0 in Kennedy starts, with Colorado 0-4 in his road starts (9.14).
-- Ohka is 2-3, 5.10 in six starts this season.
-- Martinez has 6.92 RA in his last two starts; this is his second start in last 15 days; is he ok physically?
-- Ortiz is 1-2, 5.12 in his last four starts.
-- Ponson allowed eight runs in 1.1 IP in last start, but Orioles scored 44 runs in winning his last six starts.
-- Jensen makes first start for Royals; he was 1-2, 4.30 in eight starts in AAA; he is 6-0, 240 pounds.
-- Suppan is 1-2, 5.96 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 0-1, 8.74 in his last two starts.
-- McCarthy makes first big league start; he was 3-4 in eight starts at AAA, with 4.72 ERA in small home park.
-- Sele is 1-4, 6.67 in his last six starts.
-- Lowe is 1-2, 7.79 in his last three starts.
-- Lowry is 0-5, 6.08 in his last six starts. Zito is 0-2, 8.16 in his five road starts this season.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Fogg's starts this season.
-- Under is 9-3 in last 12 Diamondback games, 8-3 in last eleven Detroit home games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Marlins' home contests.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Washington road games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Met games.
-- Three of last four Ortiz starts went over total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last 15 Philadelphia road games.
-- Over is 9-5 in last 14 Atlanta road games, 7-2-1 in last ten Boston games.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Texas games.
-- Over is 8-2 in last ten St Louis road games.
-- Under is 12-1-1 in last fouirteen Milwaukee road games, 9-3 in last twelve Minnesota home games.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight games at Wrigley, 8-2 in last ten White Sox games.
-- Under is 9-5-2 in last 16 Mariner games.
-- Under is 0-3-1 in last thirteen Dodger home games,
13-3 in last sixteen Angel road contests.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Giant home games, 9-2 in last eleven Oakland road games.


Hot teams
-- Arizona is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
-- Florida is 11-4 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Toronto won its last five home games.
-- Bronx won eleven of their last thirteen games. Mets won six of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won four of their last six games.
-- Boston won six of last eight home games.
-- Cardinals won 15 of their 21 road games this season
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won last four games, allowing six runs.
-- Padres won eight of nine and 15 of last 18 games.
-- Angels won ten of their last twelve road games.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-9 last eleven games, 2-17 on the road
-- Detroit lost seven of their last eleven home games.
-- Devil Rays are 3-17 in games on foreign soil.
-- Reds lost nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Braves are 8-12 in their last 20 road games.
-- Houston is 2-18 in games on foreign soil.
-- Royals are 6-17 at home this season.
-- Milwaukee is 6-13 in last nineteen road games.
-- Cubs lost first two games vs White Sox, but are 5-0 in final game of a Wrigley series.
-- Seattle is 5-10 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last ten games; they scored total of four runs in their last three games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games. A's are 2-8 in their last ten road games.


Umpires
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Carlson games. (Col-Pitt)
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Rapuano games. (Ariz-Det)
-- Favorites won last four Danley games, with all four staying under the total. (TB-Fla)
-- Favorite is 5-1 in last six Poncino games. (Wsh-Tor)
-- Under is 7-2 in Everitt games, with underdog taking four of his last five behind the plate. (NY-NY)
-- Favorite won last six Onora games. (Clev-Cin)
-- Favorite is 6-2 in Hallion games, with last three going over the total. (Phil-Balt)
-- Underdog won last five Davidson games. (Atl-Bos)
-- Favorite won last three Barksdale games, with home side wnning five of his six games behind dish. (Hst-Tex)
-- Last four Guccione games stayed under. (StL-KC)
-- Over is 5-2 in Kulpa games, with dog winning four of his last six behind the plate. (Mil-Min)
-- Underdog is 8-0 with umpire Young. (Chi-Chi)
-- Ump Kelley has first game of year today (SD-Sea)
-- Favorite won last six Montague games, with six of his last seven going over the total. (LA-LA)
-- Dog is 6-1 in last seven Holbrook games (A's-SF)