[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends

Tuesday, May 24th

National League:

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Brett Myers (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)

Myers - 3-7 TSR vs. Florida with a 5.71 ERA and a 1.730 WHIP
Beckett - 8-4 TSR vs. Philadelphia with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.392 WHIP

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Hernandez - Washington 10-0 Under as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons
Claussen - Cincinnati 12-3 Under on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Tim Hudson (R)

Glavine - 10-26 TSR against division opponents over the last 2 seasons
Hudson - 23-7 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Victor Santos (R)

Francis - Colorado 15-41 as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons
Santos - 8-0 Under in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Roger Clemens (R) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)

Clemens - Houston 2-19 on the road this season
Mitre - Cubs 27-20 as a home underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Kip Wells (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)

Wells - n/a
Marquis - 29-35 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Adam Eaton (R) vs. Russ Ortiz (R)

Eaton - San Diego 2-9 in road games against division opponents this s
Ortiz - Arizona 12-1 when their bullpen's WHIP is over 1.750 in the last 10 games this season

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Jason Schmidt (R)

Weaver - 5-17 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997
Schmidt - 71-40 TSR after a win since 1997

American League:

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Bruce Chen (L)

Pineiro - Seattle 15-38 as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Chen - Baltimore 30-8 Under after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Joe Mays (R) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)

Mays - 11-2 Over in road games over the last 3 seasons
Westbrook - 2-6 TSR vs. Minnesota with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.343 WHIP

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Wilfredo Ledezma (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)

Ledezma - Detroit 19-4 Under after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons
Mussina - 50-37 TSR as a favorite of -200 or more since 1997

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
David Wells (L) vs. David Bush (R)

Wells - 16-5 TSR in road games after a game where he did not walk a batter over the last 3 seasons
Bush - 1-14 TSR as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Seth Etherton (R) vs. Doug Waechter (R)

Etherton - Oakland 4-13 after 2 or more consecutive road games this season
Waechter - Tampa Bay 11-2 against an AL team following a series against an interleague opponent

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Ryan Drese (R)

Hernandez - Kansas City 44-99 against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons
Drese - Texas 18-4 in home games with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games over the last 2 seasons

Chicago White Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)

Buehrle - 10-0 TSR in May over the last 2 seasons
Colon - 8-16 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Myers is 3-1, 2.00 in his last five starts. Beckett has 4-0, 0.62 mark at Dolphin Stadium (Marlins outscored their opponents 30-3 in those four games).
-- Hernandez is 6-0, 2.49 in his last six starts.
-- Glavine is 2-0, 1.38 his last two starts, but has awful record vs Atlanta, his former team (1-7, 9+ RA) Home record for Hudson: 3-0, 1.69 RA in four starts.
-- Francis is 3-0, 3.06 in his last three starts.
-- Clemens is 3-2, 1.43 in nine starts; Astros are 0-4 in his no-decisions.
-- KWells is 1-0, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Eaton is 4-0, 3.86 in his last four starts.

-- Chen is 4-1, 4.40 in his last five starts for Orioles.
-- Mays is 2-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
-- Mussina is 3-0, 2.57 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 2-1, 1.55 in his last four outings.


Cold pitchers
-- Claussen is 0-2, 9.28 in his last three starts.
-- Brewers scored total of ten runs in going 1-4 in last five Santos starts (0-4, 5.06).
-- Mitre makes first '05 start for Cubs; he is 2-5, 6.86 in 11 career starts for the Wee Bears, over two years.
-- Marquis is 0-2, 4.91 in his last two starts.
-- Ortiz has a 7.45 RA in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 0-1, 6.75 his last two starts. Schmidt is off DL to start here; he was 0-1, 6.83 in last five starts, as three of his last four went into extra innings.

-- Pineiro is 0-2, 7.33 in his last three starts.
-- Westbrook is 1-4, 7.11 in his last six starts; Indians scored three or less runs in seven of his nine starts.
-- Ledezma is 1-3, 8.17 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 0-2, 23.40 in his last two starts. Bush is 0-4, 4.93 in eight starts this season (Jays 1-7).
-- Waechter is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts.
-- RHernandez is 0-5, 6.11 in his last eight starts. Drese is 1-3, 6.67 in his last five starts.
-- Buehrle has 6.26 RA in four road starts (1.79 home) but Sox won six of his last seven starts.

Totals
-- Under is 10-3 in last 13 games at Dolphin Stadium, and 7-2 in Phillies' last nine road games.
-- Last five LHernandez starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta home games went over total.
-- Under is 10-2 in last twelve Brewer games.
-- Last six Wrigley games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Pittsburgh games, and 2-6-1 in last nine Cardinal home games.
-- Last five Padre road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six San Francisco home tilts.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Seattle road games.
-- Under is 4-1 in Westbrook's last five starts.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Bronx home games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Boston road contests.
-- Over is 5-1 in Waechter's last six starts.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Kansas City road games.
-- Last six White Sox games stayed under the total.


Hot teams
-- Florida won 13 of its last 17 home contests.
-- Braves won their last six home games.
-- Pirates are 11-7 in last 18 games, 7-2 in last nine on foreign soil. Cardinals won five of last six at home.
-- Padres won their last four road series openers, but Arizona won nine of last twleve games overall.

-- Twins won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Bronx is 12-2 in their last fourteen games, winning its last five at home. Tigers are 10-5 in last fifteen away games, 4-1 in last five road series openers.
-- Toronto won five of their last six home games.
-- Texas scored 27 runs in winning last three games.
-- White Sox are 16-8 on the road. Angels won seven of last ten games, but are 2-4 in their last six at home.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost ten of their last fourteen home games. Nats lost five of their last six road games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five on road.
-- Colorado is 3-20 on road. Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Astros lost 20 of their 22 road games, including last six in a row.
-- Dodgers lost eight of last twelve games. Giants lost five of their last six home series openers.

-- Seattle lost seven of its last eight road games. Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost eleven of their seventeen home games.
-- Red Sox lost last five road series openers.
-- A's lost fourteen of their last eighteen games. DRays lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last nine games.