[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends

Wednesday, May 25th

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers, 1:05 EST
Jamey Wright (R) vs. Gary Glover (R)

Wright - Colorado 3-19 as a road underdog this season
Glover - Milwaukee 28-9 Under against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, 7:05 EST
Victor Zambrano (R) vs. Kyle Davies (R)

Zambrano - Mets 2-12 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
Davies - Atlanta 18-6 at home vs. Mets over the last 3 seasons

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs, 7:05 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)

Backe - Houston 2-21 on the road this season
Maddux - 10-6 TSR with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.373

Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Randy Wolf (L) vs. Al Leiter (L)

Wolf - 3-13 TSR vs. Florida with an ERA of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.495
Leiter - Florida 31-15 vs. Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds, 12:35 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Vargas - 0-3 TSR with a 9.00 ERA and a 2.091 WHIP this season
Harang - 22-9 Under at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Mark Redman (L) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Redman - 16-5 Under in road games over the last 2 seasons
Mulder - 14-2 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Darrell May (L) vs. Brad Halsey (L)

May - San Diego 3-9 in road games against division opponents this season
Halsey - Arizona 7-0 on Wednesday this season

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants, 10:05 EST
Wilson Alvarez (L) vs. Brett Tomko (R)

Alvarez - 23-11 TSR against division opponents since 1997
Tomko - 8-1 Under this season

American League:

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Rodrigo Lopez (R)

Moyer - 13-1 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Lopez - 14-5 TSR after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing since 1997

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Carlos Silva (R) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)

Silva - Minnesota 16-6 Under when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Millwood - 17-5 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R)

Maroth - 26-9 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons
Wang - Yankees 8-14 when the total is 10 or higher this season

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)

Arroyo - Boston 73-67 as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons
Chacin - Toronto 7-20 as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Scott Kazmir (L)

Blanton - Oakland 33-63 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons
Kazmir - 0-1 TSR vs. Oakland with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 3.333

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)

Greinke - 13-2 Under in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons
Astacio - 12-3 TSR when working on 7 or more days rest since 1997

Chicago White Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Jarrod Washburn (L)

Garcia - 27-10 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997
Washburn - 9-14 TSR as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Harang is 2-1, 1.85 in five home starts, 2-0, 2.35 in his last three starts overall.
-- Wolf is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts, but against Marlins this year, is 0-2, 7.36.
-- Davies threw five shutout innings in his first start, but is going on three days' rest here.
-- Redman is 2-1, 1.54 his last three starts; Pirates won three of his last four road starts. Cardinals scored 43 runs in winning last seven Mulder starts (6-0, 3.08).
-- Arizona is 3-1 at home with Halsey (2-1, 2.70)

-- Millwood is 1-1, 1.69 in his last three starts. Silva has 3.48 RA his last four starts, but Twins scored total of just 11 runs in those four games.
-- Maroth is 3-0, 1.66 in his last three starts. Bronx is 3-1 in Wang starts (2-1, 4.33)
-- Arroyo is 3-0, 2.81 in his last six starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Vargas is 0-2, 9.82 in three starts this season.
-- Wright is 1-3, 7.50 in his last five starts. Glover has a 6.60 RA and no wins in his last three outings.
-- Houston is 0-5 on road with Backe (0-3, 7.28), but Cubs are 2-6 with Maddux if they score less than six.
-- Leiter is 1-2, 8.40 in his last three starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- May is 0-0, 5.32 in two starts this season.
-- Alvarez makes first start of season; he was 7-6, 4.03 in fifteen starts last year.

-- Moyer is 0-1, 15.15 his last four starts. Orioles lost last four Lopez starts (0-1, 7.23)
-- Chacin is 0-2, 7.43 in his last three starts.
-- Blanton is 0-4, 6.34 in his last six starts. Tampa Bay is 2-7 in Kazmir starts, 1-4 at home.
-- Royals are 1-8 in Greinke starts, 0-4 on road (0-3, 4.43); they scored five runs in his four road starts. For Texas, Astacio is 0-4, 12.96 in his last four starts.
-- Garcia is 1-2, 5.59 in his last three starts. Washburn is 0-1, 8.10 in three home starts (he has 2.14 RA in his six outings on foreign soil).

Totals
-- Under is 10-2 in last twelve Washington road tilts.
-- Under is 11-2 in last thirteen Brewer games.
-- Last seven Wrigley games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 tilts at Dolphin Stadium, and 7-2-1 in Phillies' last ten road games.
-- Four of last five Met games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Pittsburgh games.
-- Five of last six Padre road games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1 in Tomo starts this season.

-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Seattle road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Silva starts, 5-0 in last five Millwood outings.
-- Under is 8-1 in last nine Maroth starts.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston road contests.
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Blanton starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Kansas City road games.
-- Last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.


Hot teams
-- Florida won 14 of its last 18 home contests.
-- Braves won their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven at home.
-- Arizona is 9-4 in its last thirteen games. Padres won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Giants won their last three games.

-- Twins won eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Bronx is 13-2 in their last fifteen games, winning its last six at home. Tigers are 10-6 in last fifteen on road.
-- Toronto won six of their last seven home games.
-- Texas scored 31 runs in winning last four games.
-- White Sox are 17-8 on the road. Angels won seven of last eleven games, but are 2-5 in last seven at home.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost ten of their last fifteen home games. Nats lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Mets lost five of last six on road, four of five overall.
-- Colorado is 3-21 on road. Milwaukee lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Astros lost 21 of their 23 road games, including last seven in a row.
-- Dodgers lost nine of last thirteen games.

-- Seattle lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Indians lost twelve of their eighteen home games.
-- Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- A's lost fifteen of their last nineteen games. DRays lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Fletcher games. (Wsh-Cin)
-- Favorite is 8-1 when Darling umps plate (Col-Mil)
-- Under is 5-2, dogs 6-3 in Hirschbeck tilts (Hst-Chi)
-- Dogs won four of last five Hudson games. (Phil-Fla)
-- Underdog is 5-3 last eight Nelson games. (NY-Atl)
-- Favorites are 8-1 in Cuzzi games. (Pitt-StL)
-- Underdog is 6-1 in last seven Holbrook tilts (SD-Az)
-- Underdog is 4-2 in last six Scott games. (LA-SF)

-- Last six McClelland games stayed under. (Sea-Balt)
-- Underdog is 7-1 with Meals behind plate (Min-Clev)
-- Over is 6-3, dog 5-4 in Gibson games. (Det-NY)
-- Favorite won four of last five BWelks tilts (Bos-Tor)
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Davis games (A's-TB)
-- Favorite is 8-0 in Emmel games, with last three all going over the total. (KC-Tex)
-- Three of last four Barrett games stayed under total, with underdog 5-4 in his 2005 games. (Chi-LAA)