[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends

Thursday, May 26th

National League:

Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Jennings - Colorado 3-20 as a road underdog this season
Zambrano - Cubs 8-4 vs. Rockies over the last 3 seasons

New York Mets at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Kris Benson (R) vs. Logan Kensing (R)

Benson - n/a
Kensing - Florida 29-14 vs. Mets over the last 3 seasons

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Oliver Perez (L) vs. Elizardo Ramirez (R)

Perez - Pittsburgh 29-21 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Ramirez - Cincinnati 17-28 at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Brandon Webb (R)

Peavy - 23-3 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Webb - Arizona 40-91 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Brad Penny (R) vs. Kirk Rueter (L)

Penny - 10-0 Under on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons
Rueter - 84-53 TSR in the first half of the season since 1997

American League:

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 4:15 EST
Danny Haren (R) vs. Hideo Nomo (R)

Haren - 3-13 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons
Nomo - 5-1 TSR vs. Oakland with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 0.873

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Ryan Franklin (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)

Franklin - 20-5 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons
Cabrera - 2-0 TSR vs. Seattle with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.459

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Brad Radke (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

Radke - 36-15 Under as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997
Sabathia - 1-8 TSR when pitching on Thursday over the last 3 seasons

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Kevin Brown (R)

Bonderman - 9-3 TSR in road games at night over the last 2 seasons
Brown - 22-23 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Wade Miller (R) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)

Miller - n/a
Chacin - n/a

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Jose Lima (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)

Lima - Kansas City 29-67 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons
Rogers - 19-4 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons

Chicago White Sox at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. John Lackey (R)

Contreras - White Six 24-8 Under against right-handed starters this season
Lackey - 24-9 Under in home games over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-1, 2.33 in his last three starts.
-- Benson is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
-- Webb is 6-0, 3.32 in nine starts this season. Peavy is 2-0, 0.64 his last two starts; Padres are 8-1 in his '05 starts, winning the last five in a row.
-- Rueter is 2-2, 3.00 in his last five starts.

-- Miller is 1-0, 3.18 in his first three AL starts.
-- Radke is 3-1, 3.06 in his last five starts.
-- Bonderman is 3-0, 2.65 in his last five starts. Brown is 3-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Rogers is 5-0, 1.13 in his last five starts.
-- White Sox are 3-1 on road with Contreras (4.09). Lackey is 4-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Jennings is 0-4, 9.67 in his last five starts.
-- 36-year old Frank Castillo gets start for Marlins, as AJ Burnett is hurt; Castillo has 82-103 career mark, is making 268th start, first since '02 with Red Sox.
-- Ramirez is 0-2, 4.85 in two starts this season. Bucs are 0-3 on road with Perez (0-2, 10.80).
-- Penny is 0-2, 5.60 in his last three starts.

-- A's lost the last six Haren starts (0-5, 8.81). Nomo is 0-3, 7.09 in his last six starts.
-- Franklin is 1-5, 5.08 in his last seven starts.
-- Cabrera has an 11.17 RA in his last two starts.
-- Chacin is 0-2, 7.43 in his last three starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-3, 6.20 in his last four starts.
-- Lima is 0-1, 9.12 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Last eight Wrigley games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Met games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of eight Perez starts went over the total.
-- Under is 13-6 in last 19 games at Arizona, but total of 37 runs were scored in first two games of this series.
-- Four of last five Dodger road games went over total.

-- Five of last seven Haren starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Seattle road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.
-- Nine of last twelve Tiger road games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Boston road contests.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Kansas City road games.
-- Last eight White Sox games stayed under the total, as have seven of eight Contreras starts.


Hot teams
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Florida won 14 of its last 19 home contests, seven of nine home series openers.
-- Reds just scored 21 runs in winning last three games.
-- Arizona is 10-4 in its last fourteen games. Padres won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Giants won their last four games, allowing eight runs.

-- Devil Rays won four of their last five home games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Bronx is 14-2 in their last sixteen games, winning its last seven in row at home.
-- Twins are 8-4 in their last twelve road games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last eight home games.
-- Texas scored 38 runs in winning last five games.
-- White Sox are 18-8 on the road, 6-2 in last 8 overall.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-22 on road; they scored one run each in getting swept three straight at Miller Park.
-- Mets lost six of last seven on road, five of six overall.
-- Pirates scored 11 runs in losing their last four games.
-- Dodgers lost ten of their last fourteen games.

-- A's lost sixteen of their last twenty games. DRays lost nine of their last thirteen games, but won last two.
-- Seattle lost nine of its last ten road games.
-- Indians lost twelve of their nineteen home games.
-- Detroit lost five of its last six games.
-- Red Sox are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Royals lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Angels are 2-6 in their last eight home games.