[Tommy]

Wednesday June 8th

National League:

Houston Astros at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Backe - Houston 3-15 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season
Zambrano - 11-4 TSR at home in night games over the last 3 seasons

Interleague Play:

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)

Halladay - 31-13 TSR in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons
Mitre - n/a

Anaheim Angels at Atlanta Braves, 7:05 EST
Kelvim Escobar (R) vs. Tim Hudson (R)

Escobar - 23-8 Under after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997
Hudson - 29-5 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997

Baltimore Orioles at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Bruce Chen (L) vs. Kip Wells (R)

Chen - Baltimore 10-4 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Wells - 0-8 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons

Oakland Athletics at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Ryan Glynn (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)

Glynn - Oakland 16-37 as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons
Hernandez - 10-3 TSR this season

Seattle Mariners at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Gil Meche (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

Meche - Seattle 19-5 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Willis - 24-8 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Robinson Tejeda (R)

Young - Texas 37-16 as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons
Tejeda - Philadephia 10-20 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Doug Waechter (R) vs. Eric Milton (L)

Waechter - Tampa Bay 3-23 as a road underdog this season
Milton - 68-48 TSR on grass since 1997

New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)

Mussina - Yankees 9-14 as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Capuano - Milwaukee 22-10 Under in night games this season

**Boston Red Sox at St. Louis Cardinals, 7:10 EST ESPN2
David Wells (L) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Wells - 10-3 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997
Carpenter - 11-2 Under as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons

Chicago White Sox at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)

Hernandez - 19-4 Under on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997
Francis - Colorado 5-16 when the money line is +125 to -125 this season

**Minnesota Twins at Arizona Diamondbacks, 10:05 EST ESPN2
Johan Santana (L) vs. Claudio Vargas (R)

Santana - 12-1 TSR in interleague play since 1997
Vargas - 4-18 TSR against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons

Cleveland Indians at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Scott Elarton (R) vs. Jake Peavy (R)

Elarton - 2-16 TSR as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons
Peavy - 13-0 TSR as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons

Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Jason Johnson (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)

Johnson - 2-13 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Weaver - 16-4 TSR in interleague play since 1997

Kansas City Royals at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Jeff Fassero (L)

Hernandez - n/a
Fassero - n/a

[bad gambler]

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Backe is 2-0, 2.63 his last two starts, but Astros are 1-5 in his road starts (1-3, 6.14).
-- Halladay is 5-0, 0.68 in his last five starts.
-- Hudson is 2-1, 2.05 his last three starts; Braves won his last three home starts. Escobar is 1-0, 1.64 his last two starts, but home team is 5-1 in his 2005 starts.
-- KWells is 2-0, 1.29 in his last four home starts.
-- Meche is 3-1, 3.52 in his last four starts. Willis is 6-1 1.19 at home; Florida is 9-2 in his home starts.
-- Young is 4-1, 2.65 in his last eight starts.
-- Capuano is 5-2, 2.30 in his last eight starts.
-- Carpenter is 4-1, 2.57 in his last five starts.
-- Twins won last three Santana starts (1-0, 2.86)
-- Elarton is 1-0, 2.45 in his last three starts. San Diego is 6-0 at home with Peavy; they won his last 7 starts overall (3-0, 1.67 in his last four).
-- JJohnson is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Zambrano is 1-2, 3.55 in his last four starts; he has a 5.47 RA at Shea this season.
-- Mitre is 0-1, 6.88 in three '05 starts.
-- Chen is 1-2, 4.35 in his last five starts.
-- Loaiza is 0-2, 5.39 in his last three starts.
-- Tejeda was 2-0, 2.22 in five starts in AAA, allowing 21 hits in 28.1 IP. This is his first '05 big league start.
-- Waechter is 0-1, 9.20 his last three starts. Milton is 1-6, 8.96 in his last nine starts.
-- Mussina is 0-2, 11.00 in his last two starts.
-- DWells is 1-2, 8.10 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez has 10.80 in his last two starts, but the White Sox are 6-1 in his last seven starts. Francis has a 7.31 RA in his last two starts.
-- Vargas was 0-3, 9.24 in four starts for Washington, but for some reason, was added by Arizona on waivers
-- Weaver is 1-3, 6.14 in his last five starts.
-- RHernandez is 0-7, 6.03 in his last eleven starts.

Totals
-- Zambrano's last four starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-3 last fourteen games at Wrigley Field.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Oriole road games, 4-1 in last five Pittsburgh home games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Oakland road games.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last 14 Seattle road games.
-- Over is 15-3 in last eighteen Phils' home games.
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Tampa Bay road games.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Bronx road games, 7-2 in last nine at Miller Park
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight games at Busch Stadium.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine White Sox games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona home games.
-- Three of last three Cleveland road games went over.
-- Under is 7-0 in Johnson's last seven starts.
-- Over is 8-2 in last ten San Francisco games.


Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Cubs won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Orioles are 16-8 in last 24 road games. Pirates won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Nationals are 12-2 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Phillies won seven of eight games, scoring 59 runs.
-- Brewers are 8-2 in their last ten home games.
-- Cardinals won eleven of last thirteen home games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Detroit is 8-5 last 13 road games. Dodgers are 4-2 in their last six games overall.
-- Royals are 5-2 under Bell, but won last night for the first time in their last ten road games.

Cold teams
-- Astros are 5-23 on the road this season.
-- A's are 2-16 in their last eighteen road games.
-- Seattle lost 12 of last 16 road games. Marlins lost 11 of their last thirteen games, five of six at home.
-- Devil Rays lost 13 of last 15 road games. Reds lost five of last six games, allowing 42 runs.
-- Braves lost six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Toronto lost seven of last eleven road games.
-- Red Sox lost nine of last twelve road games.
-- Diamondbacks lost six of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost four of last six road games. Padres are
1-5 in their last six games, all at home.
-- Giants lost ten of their last eleven games.


Umpires
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Hohn games. (Hst-NY)
-- Home team won last four Scott games. (Tor-Cubs)
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Guccione games. (LA-Atl)
-- Favorite won last four Nelson games. (Blt-Pitt)
-- Meals' last five games stayed under total. (A's-Wsh)
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Fletcher games (Sea-Fla)
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Rapuano games, with the visitor winning nine of his last eleven (Tex-Phil)
-- Favorite is 8-1 in last nine Timmons games (TB-Cin)
-- Underdogs are 7-1 in Drake games. (NY-Mil)
-- Favorite is 10-2 in Culbreth games. (Bos-StL)
-- Dogs are 4-1 in last five Hallion games. (Chi-Col)
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Demuth games. (Min-Az)
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six TWelke games. (Clev-SD)
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Gorman games, with home side winning his last five games. (Det-LA)
-- Underdogs are 6-6 in Marquez games. (KC-SF)