[Tommy]

Saturday, June 11th

National League:

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Randy Wolf (L)

Davis - 18-12 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Wolf - 10-1 Over after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons

Interleague Games:

Boston Red Sox at Chicago Cubs, 3:05 EST
Wade Miller (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Miller - Boston 13-5 as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Zambrano - n/a

New York Yankees at St. Louis Cardinals, 3:05 EST
Randy Johnson (L) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Johnson - Yankees 27-30 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season
Mulder - 15-0 TSR in home games in June since 1997

Oakland Athletics at Atlanta Braves, 3:05 EST
Kirk Saarloos (R) vs. John Smoltz (R)

Saarloos - Oakland 14-30 against right-handed starters this season
Smoltz - Atlanta 27-10 when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons

Texas Rangers at Florida Marlins, 6:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Al Leiter (L)

Rogers - 20-4 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
Leiter - 2-9 TSR in all games this season

Seattle Mariners at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. John Patterson (R)

Moyer - 40-12 Over as a road underdog since 1997
Patterson - Washington 28-14 when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Oliver Perez (L)

Kazmir - Tampa Bay 2-14 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Perez - Pittsburgh 12-4 Under after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros, 7:05 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Roger Clemens (R)

Chacin - 8-1 Under as an underdog this season
Clemens - 8-1 Under in night games this season

Anaheim Angels at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Washburn - 14-3 TSR on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997
Benson - Mets 33-54 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Cabrera - 8-0 TSR on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons
Claussen - Cincinnati 64-91 when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons

Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies, 8:05 EST
Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Jason Jennings (R)

Bonderman - Detroit 16-7 Under against right-handed starters this season
Jennings - 15-3 TSR at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 since 1997

Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
J.P. Howell (L) vs. Brad Halsey (L)

Howell - Kansas City 17-5 Over in interleague play
Halsey - 7-1 TSR in night games this season

Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Tim Stauffer (R)

Buehrle - 22-7 TSR in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons
Stauffer - n/a

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Carlos Silva (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Silva - 14-4 Under in road games over the last 2 seasons
Lowe - Los Angeles 91-71 against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Cleveland Indians at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Jason Davis (R) vs. Jason Schmidt (R)

Davis - Cleveland 68-69 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997
Schmidt - San Fran 50-32 Over as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Davis is 4-0, 1.20 in his last four starts. Wolf is 5-0, 2.84 in his last six starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-1, 1.24 in his last four starts.
-- Rogers is 8-0, 1.19 in his last eight starts.
-- Patterson is 0-0, 1.64 in two post-DL starts.
-- Perez is 3-0, 3.86 in his last four starts, all Pirate wins Kazmir is 2-0, 2.88 in his last four starts.
-- Clemens is 4-3, 1.88 in 12 starts; Astros are 0-5 if he gets a no-decision. Chacin is 2-1, 1.83 in his last 3 trips to the mound.
-- Cabrera is 2-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
-- Benson is 4-1, 2.76 in his last five starts. Washburn is 3-1, 1.82 in his last seven road starts.
-- Jennings is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle has 2.32 RA in his last four starts; Pale Hose are 7-3 in his last ten trips to mound.
-- Dodgers scored 37 runs in winning four of Lowe's last five starts (3-1, 4.64). Silva is 2-1, 2.32 his last four starts for Minnesota.


Cold pitchers
-- Miller is 0-1, 11.74 in two road starts (2-0, 2.59 in four starts at Fenway).
-- Mulder is 0-2, 7.20 in his last two starts. Johnson is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Smoltz is 1-3, 4.91 in his last four starts. Saarloos is 1-3, 5.67 in his last nine starts, but A's are 4-1 when he doesn't get the decision.
-- Leiter is 1-4, 7.90 in his last six starts; Marlins are
1-5 in his home starts.
-- Seattle lost last four Moyer road starts (0-2, 10.80).
-- Claussen is 1-2, 6.07 in his last six starts.
-- Bonderman is 1-2, 4.88 in his last five starts.
-- Halsey is 2-2, 6.16 in his last five starts, but Arizona is 4-1 in his home starts. Howell has made jump from Class A to bigs in two months- he made one AAA start
-- Stauffer is 0-2, 4.24 in his last four starts.
-- Schmidt has 9.88 RA in three starts since coming off the DL. Davis has 7.59 RA in his two starts.

Totals
-- Over is 8-2 in last ten Philly home games.
-- Under is 15-5 in last twenty Wrigley games.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Cardinal home games, and
10-2-1 in last thirteen Bronx road games.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Oakland road games, 9-3 in last dozen Smoltz starts
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Texas road contests.
-- Last five Patterson starts went over the total.
-- Ten of last eleven Tampa road games went over total
-- Nine of 12 Clemens starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Washburn road starts.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 3-1 in last four Jennings starts at Coors.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Kansas City road games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine White Sox games.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven San Francisco home games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine games at Dodger Stadium.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals are 12-3 in last fifteen home games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games. Nationals won fifteen of their last seventeen home games.
-- Pirates are 10-4 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Houston is 17-11 in its last 28 home games, 4-1 in its last five games overall.
-- Reds won four of their last five home games. Orioles are 9-4 in second game of series, if they won opener.
-- Colorado is 8-6 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Royals are 6-4 under Buddy Bell, but 3-16 in their last nineteen away games.
-- White Sox won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine home games. Twins are 6-3 in their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Red Sox are 4-10 in last fourteen road games. Cubs are 3-6 in second game of series if they win opener.
-- Brewers lost ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Bronx lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Braves lost ten of last fourteen games. A's lost eleven of their last twelve road games, and 15 of last 17.
-- Rangers lost nine of last twelve road games. Marlins lost twelve of their last sixteen games.
-- Toronto is 6-12 in their last eighteen away games.
-- Devil Rays lost sixteen of last eighteen on road.
-- Angels are 5-8 in second game of series if they won opener, but they're 3-1 in last four games overall. Mets lost their last three games, outscored 22-6.
-- Tigers lost three of last four games, and were blanked at Coors Field on Friday.
-- Arizona is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games, all at home.
-- San Francisco is 1-7 in its last eight games.

Umpires
-- Under is 7-2-2 last 11 Wendelstedt tilts. (Mil-Phil)
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 Layne games. (Bos-Cubs)
-- Dog is 6-3 in last nine Brinkman games. (NY-StL)
-- Over is 8-5, dogs 6-6 in Marsh games. (A's-Atl)
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Reilly games. (Tex-Fla)
-- Dog is 6-4 in last ten Everitt games. (Sea-Wsh)
-- Dreckman's last four games stayed under (TB-Pitt)
-- Dogs are 5-1 in last six Barrett games. (Tor-Hst)
-- Favorite won last three Young games, after losing his first eight; three of last four stayed under. (LAA-NY)
-- Favorite is 8-1 in the last nine Cuzzi games. (Blt-Cin)
-- Under is 6-4 in last ten Kulpa games,, with home side winning five of last six. (Det-Col)
-- Dogs are 7-5 in Reliford games this season. (KC-Az)
-- Dogs are 7-3 in last ten Diaz games, with dog 3-1 in his last four behind the plate. (Chi-SD)
-- Under, dogs are 4-1 last five BWelke tilts (Min-LA)
-- Favorite is 5-1 in last six Carlson games. (Clev-SF)