[Tommy]

Monday, June 13th

National League:

Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. John Koronka (L)

Willis - 13-3 TSR in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons
Koronka - Cubs 26-28 in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons

Interleague Games:

Cincinnati Reds at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Eric Milton (L) vs. Matt Clement (R)

Milton - 10-6 TSR as an underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997
Clement - Boston 70-43 Over as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Brandon Backe (R) vs. Hayden Penn (R)

Backe - 13-5 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Penn - Baltimore 15-3 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season

St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Roy Halladay (R)

Suppan - 22-9 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
Halladay - 10-1 Under this season

Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Doug Waechter (R)

Capuano - Milwaukee 22-47 in road games at night over the last 2 seasons
Waechter - 7-0 Over as an underdog this season

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Shawn Estes (L) vs. Jose Contreras (R)

Estes - Arizona 24-64 as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Contreras - White Sox 8-0 Over in home interleague games over the last 2 seasons

Atlanta Braves at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Chris Young (R)

Hudson - Atlanta 9-17 in road games against right-handed starters this season
Young - Texas 12-1 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons

Washington Nationals at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Paul Byrd (R)

Loaiza - 22-6 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons
Byrd - 44-25 Under at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Willis is 3-2, 3.89 in his last five starts (was 7-0 his first seven starts, with 1.26 RA).
-- Red Sox won Clement's last four starts at Fenway (2-0, 2.17).
-- Backe is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Capuano is 3-1, 2.51 in his last three road starts.
-- Young is 4-2, 2.11 in his last nine starts.
-- Angels scored 29 runs in winning Byrd's last four home starts (4.56).


Cold pitchers
-- Koronka is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts this season.
-- Milton is 1-5, 10.61 in his last seven starts.
-- Penn is 0-3, 4.70 in three starts; Oriole bullpen lost all three games.
-- Suppan is 0-3, 6.90 in his last four road starts.
-- Waechter is 0-1, 8.55 in his last four starts.
-- Arizona lost last four Estes starts (0-1, 6.17). White Sox are 1-3 in last four Contreras home starts.
-- Hudson is 1-3, 6.35 in his last four road starts.
-- Loaiza is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three road starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Florida games went over.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games went over.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Houston road games.
-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Cardinal road games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Capuano starts.
-- Seven of last eight Arizona games went over total, as did last six White Sox home games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Hudson road starts this season.
-- Under is 11-2 in last 13 Washington road games.

Hot teams
-- Cubs are 6-3 in last nine home games, 12-4 in last 16 games overall.
-- Red Sox are 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Astros won last five games, outscoring foes, 23-9.
-- Cardinals are 8-2 in road series openers.
-- White Sox are 19-8 at home, 7-2 in home openers.
-- Texas won its last eight home games; they completed 4-8 road trip yesterday, though.
-- Washington won its last ten games, all at home; they are 2-9 in last eleven road games. Angels won their last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Florida is 5-13 in its last 18 games, 3-11 in their last fourteen road contests.
-- Reds lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Orioles lost ten of their last sixteen games.
-- Blue Jays lost four in row and 8 of last 11 games.
-- Milwaukee lost their last five road contests. Tampa Bay just had 2-10 road trip; they're 6-3 in last nine at home.
-- Arizona lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Braves are 3-10 last 13 road games; they lost their last eight road series openers.