SF Giants - Houston Astros
And this is my first bet of the day. Houston is secund in their league with 21 wins and are now on L-2. They have positive record on away games and that souldn't be a problem today. Houston lost yesterday against SF with no run. SF is also an avarge team with 22 wins. And are on W-2 and this could turn today. Both teams are on 5-5 in last 10 games. This year they met 4 times and both have 2 wins.
Houston score much runs per game and this record is even better on the road. Lee and Berkman on one side and Bonds on other side. But Bond sis not playing well in last games.I think Houston can do much better. SF batting is not so good against righty starters and they will face today ace of baseball pitching. One of the best pitchers right now.
Pitching: (Lincecum - Oswalt):
Pitching is on Houston side. Bullpen is better, also their record away is much better. Lincecum is awfull at home games, where he has ERA 8,31 and WHIP 2,301. Both pitcher showed some good pitching in last three games. Oswalt has not so good record againd Giants on their stadium, but anyway he is Oswalt. He can do much more. For him is good, that Bonds is struggling. Bonds have last HR against Mets.
After yesterday's win over the Houston I think now is the time for Astros. They are not so bad and today will they have Oswalt on the mound. Bullpen is good, but maybe they wont need it. On other side we have pitcher who is struggling at home. Also their best player, who made some wins is struggling. Houston need win much more then Giants. They are falling and this has to stop. And the best option for this is Oswalt. I expect also much more from Berkman, who should be one of the best players in whole league. Pick: Astros @1,84 Pinnacle 6/10 pick: Astros(-1,5) @2,40 Pinnacle 4/10 Peldas
@ 14:56 |
Komentiraj | Komentari: 0 Tampa Bay - Seattle
Both team are one of the worst in their leagues. Both are on loosing streaks and bot are taking most of the wins at home. Tampa is coming home from Florida losses. They played not so bad, but they couldnt finnish. Both teams are 4-6 in last 10 games. They didnt met yet this year.
They are the sam in runs per game. Yes, Mariners are good against lefties. But if we look closely Kazmir has really good record against them holding them on 1,56 avg. TB has more potent lineup. They have 5 players with 5 HR or more, while Mariners just one with 5 HR. Suzuki is good in last games. Ibanez is Q and on other side ther wont be Baldelii, but he is anyway on DL now some time.
Most of the people likes Kazmir. But he didnt show me yet what he can do. As I said he has great record against Mariners holding them to 0,156 avg and has 2-0 with ERA 1,47, what makes him dominant against them. Washburn is also good. This year on 2-3 and ERA 3,35 and has also good number aganst TB. (9-2 and ERA 2,61). Bullpen is on the Mariners side.
Both avarage teams or bad teams will meet in Tampa. Both are strong at home. I think the home lineup is better right now and could do better. Washburn and Kazmir both have good record against todays lineups, but Kazmir's is really dominnant. And I think this could be his first really good match. Something else is very important her for me. TB was playing not so bad in last games, but they just didnt win. And they had the day off. And Mariners played yesterday a tough match against Indians, where they lost 5-2 and now they are going to south to the Tampa, who need this win. They could watch yesterdays game in Cleveland and made some conclussios on the Mariners. Because whole season is this impossible, because of really high tempo and running from one city to another. Pick: TB @1,855 Pinnacle 7/10 Pick: TB(-1,5) @2,83 Pinnacle 3/10 Peldas
@ 14:33 |
Isključeno | Komentari: 0 San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs
Fisrst I must say, I like Peavy. He is one of the best pitchers right now (the best). My first season and he made big impression on me. He is dominan. But ok. Padres have 4 more wins then Cubs and are secund in their league. On other side Cubs are coming from big derby against White Sox, where they won 2 times. They are in good form now. Yes, you will say, how? They have 4-6 in last 10 games. But we have to know something else. They played against two really good teams. First against Mets and then against rival White Sox. Cubs has good team IMO. And somehow they are playing better on road games. They met two times this year. One hard win for SD and easy win for Cubs.
I think there is more potential in this Cubs linup. Derek Lee (quest) has just 3 home runs, last year home run hunter Soriano has just 4 home runs, and there is big potential. Aramis Ramirez is the top right now with 11 home runs. On other side we have Gonzalez with 10 HR. But what is interesting here is that Cubs are hitting very well on the road, where they have 4,9 runs per game (against righty just 5,3) and on other side San Diego has at home just 3,8 runs per game. Ok, they have 5,3 against lefty. But Hill is good and I think, he can make some troubles today to their offense.
Peavy is dominant and has 5-1 with ERA 1,64, what is impressive. Also SD bullpen is very dominant and they have I think the best pitching stuff right now in whole league. Bullpen is on ERA 1,46. Ok, but also Hill is not so bad. 4-2 and ERA 2,91. Difference is between these two pitchers but not so big, who odds are showing. The biggest problem in my bet is bullpen. Cubs have really bad bullpen in away games. ERA 6,59 is really bad. But they have 1 day off. As I said before, I think this is important and I believe they can do better.
Cubs have good team IMO. Better linuep then San Diego. Lee is Q and I hope he will play. But, ok Ramirez is here. Soriano has not so good record against peavy, but he is still Soriano and can make much better plays. Peavy is dominant, but I think it will be hard to have these numbers whole season. And Cubs can do something against this. We saw, that SD has little problem at home games with batting on other side, Cubs are better on the road. Especially against righty starters. Hill is not so bad. The biggest problem in my pick is defenetly bullpen. Cubs bullpen is awfull on road games, but they had 1 day off, and I think that manager saw this and they cleared some things in bullpen heads. I think odds ar little to big on Cubs. I will take small stakes. Pick: Cubs @2,57 Pinnacle 4/10 Peldas
@ 14:05 |
Isključeno | Komentari: 0 LA Dodgers - Milwaukee Brewers
Dodgers lost yesterday. They lost the game in first innings, then they started showing some improvements in the offence, but it was too late. They are still first in own league first with 25 wins an the most of the wins they took at home13-9. On other side Milwaukee is strong. Fisrst in his own league with 28 wins, including yesterdays again Dodgers. But Brewers avr avarage on the road. two teams met 4 times and the brewers were better 3 times. But still I think, they are not so domonant against LAD. Dodgers are now on L-4 and this could be a little alert for some better play.
Both lineupas are good. IMO Dodgers linup should be better, but they don't show something in last games. Dodgers have two guys with avg 0,3. But I think there is much more potential in this guys. Dodgers have also better statistics on home stadium, where they have 4,9 runs per game, while Brewers are not so good away compare to their home games. They are making avg 4,1 runs per game. Brewers have two really good offense players this year Hardy and Fielder, who have 28 home runs togheter. Including yesterday's from Fielder. Dodgers were struggling most of the time in yesterday's game. But at the end they made in last 3 ininngs 5 runs including 2 home runs from Kent and Gonzalez. And this is good for today. Yes, they lost, but with this plays I think morale is little higher.
Sheets should be ace. But you know, this is my first MLB season and I don't know what happen last year. He could have the strongest arm in whole league, but this year I see just numbers. And numbers are avarage comparing with Wolf. Wolf is on 5-3 and ERA 3,91. On oher side Sheets is on 4-2 and ERA 3,86. Wolf has 4-3 and Sheets ahs 3-4 against todays oponnents. Also bulpenn is on the Dodgers side. Brewers bullpen is somehow good at home with ERA 3,54, but on the road is this ERA 4,27. And this is big diffenrence IMO. Dodgers have good bullpen with ERA 2,78 at home. And we saw yesterday the decsision was made in 6th ininng, where Brewers made 6 runs. Today I think whole pitching stuff is on the Dodgers side.
Dodgers are strong at home. Yes, they fall to 4 game loosing streak, but they are still good and they are still first in their league. Yesterdey showed some improvements in last ininngs, but it was too late, because they were hunting 0-8. But ok, today is new day. Brewers have now nice win over them and today will be pitching their ace. But numbers shows, that he is not so good comparing to Wolf. Also if we look, Wolf has the positive record against oponnent, not Sheets. And also bullpen is on the Dodgers side. Here will be the diference. I think Dodgers need this win. Because falling into 5 game loosing streak is not good. And they have everything to win. Home court, where are strong, then solid pitcher, good bullpen and potential lineup. Pick: Dodgers @2,01 Pinnacle 7/10 Peldas
@ 13:37 |
Isključeno | Komentari: 0 Detroit Tigers - LA Angels
Angels and Detroit two top teams. Angels are really in good form now, they have 8 wins and just 2 losses in last 10 games and are on 5 game winning streak. On other side Detroit is 6-4 in last 10 games. I must say I like Detroit. Not the team, but how they play. They made big impression on me on that match against LAA, when they were 0-7 or something, and they come back. At the end they lost. But they showed how they can fight. They had tough matches against Boston and after this they made 3 wins against last year champions STL. Detroit is strong at home. On the other side Angels are struggling on the road. They have 10-12 on the road and this is important thing IMO. Detroit has 5,5 runs per game and at home they are better with 6,1 runs per game. On other side Angels have 4,6 runs per game and on the road is this really bad 3,6. This year they meet twice. And Detroit won one game, and has that loss, when they have big come back from 0-7 or something.
As I said batting if we look whole team is on the Detroit side. They are really strong at home, with 6,1 runs per game. I like Guerrero and Angles, but he is alone. Yes, Angles don't have bad lineup, but he is really much better then others. I have to say something else here. Maroth had some problems in the past with some player fom Angles. This is Anderson. But guess what. He is on DL. So this could bi big miss for them and maybe the key factor for Detroit win, or better no-win for Angels. Detroit has I think more balance with players. They have three players above avg 0,3, while Angels just one - Guerrero. And with this fight spirit Detroit lineup can make troubles any pitcher, not just Lackey.
First I will tell you some interesting info. Detroit is 7-0 when lefty pitcher is SP. And Maroth is lefty. AMroth has 3-0 and ERA 4,69. He had some problems, so he didnt play last game. But now he is back. And this was maybe good for him to take some rest, before hard opnnent. He will not face Anderson, who made him problems in the past and this is good. Lackey is 6-3 and ERA 2,43. This numbers are impressive. And if we look, he has also good numbers against Detroit with 5-0 and ERA 3,47. Bullpen is little bit on Angels side. But they are also not so good on road games.
I will take Detroit. And question is why? We have Angels, who are in good form, then we have top ace like Lackey, ... Why Detroit? Angels are favourite in this game, but I dont think so. I think this game is 50-50 or maybe Tigers little favourite. And reasons are here: Angels are struggling away. yes, Lackey will show some good pitching, but what will be with lineup. Guerrero is good. But there is no Andersen, who can make troubles to Maroth. Detroit is strong at home. They have one of the best chemistry IMO in the whole league. They have balance in the lineup. And Lackey will have to fight every second of the game. And they also met two times this year on angels stadium, where Angels are very good and really strong. And Angels were not better. If you ask me. They had luck in second game against them. And now they will play in Detroit. Yes, Angels have better pitcher, but the difference is not so big. Team is not just pitcher. Pick: Detroit @2,12 Pinnacle 5/10 Peldas
@ 06:36 |
Isključeno | Komentari: 0 Florida Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies
today we have to teams with day off. I think, this factor is very important in this long MLB season. Philadelphia is with 22 wins and 0,5 one step over the Marlins, who had 21 wins. Philadephia is in good form now. They have 7 wins and just 3 losses in last 10 games. They find the way of good play and Rowand is still not here, but they play without him. On other side. Florida made three great victories against TB. After big blow against Washington they find a way back to the solid plays. They are 5-5 in last 10 games. They have 10 wins and 11 losses at home. I think right now they have the same quality, but when Rowand come back, then Phillies are much better IMO.
Rowand is big miss for Phillies. But they have some good options with Rollins and Utley. Rowand is the only player who has avg 0,3. On other side we have Cabrerra, Uggla and the best right now Ramirez. But he had some problems with hand and is probable. I think there is no big difference in lineups.
Both players are the best in the teams right now with ERA 3,3 and 6-1 on Hamels side and Olsen with ERA 4,8 and 3-3. Hamels statistics is better against Florida. He has ERA 3,00 and 2-1 against them. On other side Olsen is 2-4 and ERA 5,51 against Philadelphia. I think Hamels is one of the hottest pitchers right now. Olsen had some problems (heel) but is probable and I think he will play. I dont know how serious is this. SP is on Phillies side. I am worried a little bit because Florida bullpen is much better at home. But on other side, they have 6 pitchers on DL, and three of them are RP.
This bet is with small stakes, because there is no Rowand in the lineup. I like Hamels here. He showed some good pitching against Florida, and on other side Olsen has ERA 5,51 against Phillies and had some problems in last days (heel). Philladelphia is in good form, and they have to improove playing on the road. They were very strong at home. They beat Milwaukee 4 times. Milwaukee is one of the top teams right now with 27 wins. I think they can keep going with this form. And Hamels is very good option for this. Pick: Philladelphia (-1,5) @2,21 Pinnacle 3/10