[Tommy]

MLB Baseball Trends for Thursday, July 12

National League

Cincinnati at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Orlando Hernandez (R)
Arroyo: 12-3 Under as an underdog
Hernandez: Mets 19-3 Under as a favorite of -150 or more

American League

Toronto at Boston, 7:05 ET
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)
Halladay: 14-2 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
Wakefield: Bos 11-0 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Jon Garland (R) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Garland: 9-1 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Guthrie: Baltimore 1-6 at home vs. White Sox

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. James Shields (R)
Pettitte: NYY 8-17 vs. division opponents
Shields: TB 8-2 after allowing 8+ runs BB games

Oakland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Chad Gaudin (R) vs. Scott Baker (R)
Gaudin: 13-5 TSR in all games this season
Baker: Min 8-0 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Detroit at Seattle, 10:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Rogers: Det 14-3 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
Hernandez: Sea 15-7 vs. lefties

[Tommy]

Hot Pitchers
- OHernandez is 2-0, 0.67 in his last four home starts.
- Red Sox won four of last five Wakefield starts. Toronto won seven of Halladay's last eight starts.
- Gaudin is 2-0, 1.23 in his last two starts.
- Miller is 4-2, 3.86 in six starts this season. Hernandez is 2-0 in his last four starts, with a 2.43 RA.

Cold Pitchers
- Cincinnati is 1-12 with Arroyo if they score less than six runs.
- Guthrie is 0-1, 3.98 in his last three starts. White Sox are 3-6 in last nine Garland starts; he allowed 12 runs in 3.2 IP in last start on Friday, a dreadful 20-14 loss.
- Pettitte is 0-2, 10.64 in his last four starts. Shields is 1-4, 6.47 in his last five starts, and Devil Rays' closer is on DL.
- Baker is 2-3, 6.10 in his last seven starts.

Totals
- Five of last six Cincinnati road games went over the total.
- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten White Sox road games.
- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
- Under is 7-1 in last eight games at Tampa Bay.
- Under is 6-3 in Baker starts this season.
- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.

Hot Teams
- Reds won last four games, allowing total of eleven runs, but they're 4-10 in their last fifteen road games.
- White Sox won six of their last seven road games.
- Red Sox won eight of their last ten home games. Toronto won three of last four games, but are 5-8 in last thirteen on the road.
- Bronx won five of its last seven games, but is 1-7 in its last eight games on the road.
- Detroit won last five games overall, and are 11-2 in last thirteen games on foreign soil. Seattle won four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
- Mets lost six of their last eight games.
- Orioles lost ten of their last thirteen home games.
- Devil Rays lost thirteen of their last fourteen games.
- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games. A's lost four of their last five games.