[Tommy]

MLB Trends for Saturday, July 28th 2007

National League

Washington at NY Mets, 12:10 ET Game One
Tim Redding (R) vs. Orlando Hernandez (R)
Redding: Washington 6-24 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
Hernandez: Mets 23-5 Under as a favorite of -150 or more

Washington at NY Mets, 7:10 ET Game Two
Billy Traber (L) vs. Mike Pelfrey (R)
Traber:
Pelfrey: 1-7 TSR in all starts

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 1:10 ET Game One
Manny Parra (L) vs. Brad Thompson (R)
Parra: Mil 17-34 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Thompson: 9-2 TSR in night games

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 8:10 ET Game Two
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Anthony Reyes (R)
Capuano: 21-9 Under as a favorite of -110 or higher
Reyes: 0-8 TSR in night games

Atlanta at Arizona, 3:55 ET FOX
John Smoltz (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Smoltz: Atlanta 35-11 Over in July
Davis: 20-8 TSR in home starts

San Diego at Houston, 3:55 ET FOX
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Maddux: San Diego 1-6 SU vs. Oswalt
Oswalt: Houston 9-2 Over at home in day games

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Shane Youman (L) vs. JD Durbin (R)
Youman: Pittsburgh 20-54 SU as a road underdog +150 or less
Durbin: Philadelphia 15-4 Over in June

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Sean Marshall (L) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Marshall: Cubs 5-1 Under vs. Reds
Harang: 17-5 TSR in all starts

LA Dodgers at Colorado, 8:05 ET
Chad Billingsley (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)
Billingsley: 3-0 TSR, 2.70 L3 starts
Francis: 11-2 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10

Florida at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Willis: 13-4 Under as a road underdog
Cain: 0-13 TSR in night games

American League

Detroit at LA Angels, 3:55 EST FOX
Andrew Miller (L) vs. Joe Saunders (L)
Miller: Detroit 22-8 SU vs. lefties
Saunders: Angels 23-10 Under in day games

Oakland at Seattle, 4:05 EST
Chad Gaudin (R) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)
Gaudin: Oakland 20-7 Under in day games
Ramirez: 5-0 TSR, 2.27 ERA in home starts

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Roger Clemens (R) vs. Brian Burres (L)
Clemens: Yankees 4-11 SU as a road favorite of -150 to -175
Burres: Baltimore 5-1 SU vs. Yankees this season

Toronto at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST WGN
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Halladay: 26-5 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
Buehrle: 3-12 TSR in July

Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Johan Santana (L) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)
Santana: 101-38 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Westbrook: 16-6 Under in home starts

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Jon Lester (L) vs. James Shields (R)
Lester: Boston 33-16 Under in road games
Shields: 9-2 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125

Texas at Kansas City, 7:10 EST
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Millwood: 0-3 TSR vs. AL Central
Perez: 12-2 Over when the money line is +125 to -125

[Tommy]

Hot Pitchers
- Mets won five of last six Hernandez starts. Redding is 2-1, 2.29 in his last three starts.
- Capuano is 1-0, 1.98 in his last couple of starts. Cardinals are
9-3 in Thompson starts this season.
- Arizona won last three davis starts, scoring seventeen runs. Smoltz is 2-1, 1.80 in his last four starts.
- Astros won six of last eight Oswalt starts.
- Durbin is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.
- Marshall is 0-1, 2.60 in his last three starts. Cincinnati won Harang's last nine starts; he went 10 innings in last outing.
- Colorado is 12-3 in last fifteen Francis starts.
- Tigers won six of nine Miller starts this season. Angels won last five Saunders starts, scoring 31 runs.
- Clemens is 2-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.
- Halladay has an 0.56 RA in his last couple starts.
- Santana is 4-1, 3.00 in his last five road starts.
- Lester beat Cleveland 6-2 in first '07 start, allowing two runs in six IP, in his first start since coming back from cancer.

Cold Pitchers
- Pelfrey is 0-7, 6.81 in his last seven starts. Hanrahan is making first '07 start for Nationals.
- Parra is making first major league start; he was 4-1 in AAA, is considered big prospect. Cardinals are 1-11 in Reyes' 07 starts.
- Youman is 0-2, 4.15 in his last couple starts.
- Padres lost seven of last ten Maddux starts.
- Tomko has a 7.81 RA in his last eight starts.
- Willis is 0-2, 10.89 in his last four starts. Giants are 2-14 in last sixteen Cain starts.
- Gaudin is 0-2, 9.88 in his last three starts. Ramirez has an 8.57 RA in his last three starts.
- Orioles lost five of last six Burres starts.
- Buehrle is 2-1, 3.18 in his last four starts.
- Westbrook is 0-4, 4.97 in his last six starts.
- Devil Rays lost six of last eight Shields starts.
- Royals lost four of last five Perez starts. Rangers lost four of last five Millwood road starts.

Totals
- Under is 3-0-1 in Redding starts this season.
- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Capuano starts, 5-0-1 in the last six Thompson starts. .
- Four of last five Davis starts stayed under the total.
- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Oswalt starts.
- All four Youman starts stayed under; all three Durbin starts went over the total.
- Six of last seven Marshall games stayed under the total.
- Three of last four Francis starts went over the total.
- Over is 14-8 in Willis starts this season.
- Under is 4-1 in Miller's last five road starts.
- Under is 5-2 in last seven Gaudin starts.
- Under is 6-2 in last eight Clemens starts.
- Six of last eight Buehrle starts stayed under the total.
- Under is 6-2 in last eight Westbrook starts.
- Over is 7-2 in last nine Shields starts.
- Last four Perez starts all went over the total.


Hot Teams
- Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games, but lost the last two.
- Phillies won six of their last seven games.
- Astros won four of their last six games.
- Cubs won nine of their last fourteen games. Reds won four of their last five games.
- Rockies are 16-5 in their last twenty-one home games. Dodgers won eight of last eleven on the road.
- Arizona won seven of its last eight home games. Braves won six of their last ten road games.
- Giants won last three games, scoring 18 runs.
- Red Sox won seven of their last eight games.
- Orioles won ten of their last fourteen home games. Bronx won six of their last eight games, scoring 71 runs.
- White Sox won six of last eight home games. Toronto is 5-1 in its last six games.
- Tigers are 7-5 in their last twelve road games.
- Rangers won four of their last five games.
- Oakland is 4-0 in game after their last four losses.

Cold Teams
- Pirates lost eleven of thirteen since the All-Star break.
- Brewers are 5-11 in their last sixteen road games.
- Nationals lost eleven of their last sixteen road games.
- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
- Padres lost six of their last eight games.
- Marlins lost eight of their last nine road games.
- Indians lost five of their last eight home games. Twins lost last five games by combined score of 43-11.
- Devil Rays lost last seven games, allowing 71 runs.
- Royals are 2-6 in second game of home series, if they won the first game.
- Angels lost seven of their last eleven games.
- Seattle lost seven of their last eight games.