[Tommy]

Sunday, July 3rd

National League:

Florida Marlins at New York Mets, 1:10 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Willis - 7-1 TSR with a 2.39 ERA vs. Mets
Zambrano - Mets 8-16 at home vs. Florida over the last 3 seasons


Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds, 1:15 EST
Roger Clemens (R) vs. Brandon Claussen (L)

Clemens - Houston 15-27 after a loss this season
Claussen - Cincinnati 10-3 at home in day games this season

**Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies, 8:05 EST
Jorge Sosa (R) vs. Robinson Tejeda (R)

Sosa - Atlanta 68-38 after a loss over the last 2 seasons
Tejeda - Philadelphia 23-10 Over at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers, 2:05 EST
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)

Fogg - Pittsburgh 55-32 Under when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons
Davis - 6-2 TSR with a 3.27 ERA vs. Pittsburgh

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals, 2:15 EST
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Jennings - Colorado 1-12 in road games against left-handed starters this season
Mulder - St. Louis 12-1 after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season

Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Ryan Drese (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Drese - Washington 0-10 in road games when their bullpen's ERA is under 2.00 over the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons
Zambrano - Cubs 46-34 revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent over a 2 year span since 1997

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres, 4:05 EST
Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Tim Stauffer (R)

Schmidt - San Francisco 9-1 Over after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season
Stauffer - San Diego 7-3 vs. Giants this season

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Brad Halsey (L) vs. Dennis Houlton (R)

Halsey - Arizona 47-107 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons
Houlton - Los Angeles 22-8 in July games over the last 2 seasons

American League:

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers, 1:05 EST
Carl Pavano (R) vs. Nate Robertson (L)

Pavano - Yankees 12-16 as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Robertson - Detroit 8-2 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox, 2:05 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)

Halladay - 8-0 Under in road games this season
Arroyo - Boston 3-7 vs. Toronto this season

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Minnesota Twins, 2:10 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Joe Mays (R)

Kazmir - Tampa Bay 9-32 as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons
Mays - Minnesota 5-0 vs. Tampa Bay this season

Chicago White Sox at Oakland Athletics, 4:05 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Barry Zito (L)

Buehrle - White Sox 18-1 after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season
Zito - Zito 2-14 TSR as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners, 4:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)

Rogers - 20-5 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Moyer - Seattle 27-8 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles, 5:05 EST
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Sidney Ponson (R)

Lee - 9-0 TSR in road games on grass this season
Ponson - Baltimore 27-13 Under in home games this season

Anaheim Angels at Kansas City Royals, 7:10 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

Washburn - Anaheim 8-0 after 2 straight games with no home runs this season
Greinke - 1-11 TSR after a loss this season

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Willis is 4-1, 2.62 in his last six starts; Mets were first team to beat him this year, in his 10th start. VZambrano is 2-1, 2.48 in his last five starts.
-- Reds are 5-1 in last six Claussen home starts (2.97) Clemens is 3-0, 2.38 in his last five starts.
-- Davis is 4-0, 2.28 in his last four home starts.
-- CZambrano is 2-0, 3.43 in his last six starts. Drese is 2-1, 2.45 in his first three Washington starts.
-- Schmidt is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
-- Sosa is 2-1, 1.95 in four starts this season. Tejeda is 1-1, 1.31 in his first four starts.
-- Dodgers won four of Houlton's first five starts (4.66)

-- Halladay is 7-2, 1.49 in his last ten starts.
-- Kazmir is 1-0, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 0.57 in his last four starts. Zito is 1-0, 1.26 in his last two starts.
-- Indians are 11-5 in Lee's starts, 9-1 on foreign soil.
-- Washburn is 1-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Fogg is 0-1, 5.12 in his last five starts.
-- Jennings is 1-2, 5.87 in his last five starts. Mulder has a 6.21 RA in his last six starts (2-4).
-- Stauffer is 0-4, 5.09 in his last eight starts.
-- Halsey is 0-5, 9.91 in his last five starts.

-- Robertson is 1-3, 4.13 in his last four starts. Pavano is 0-4, 6.52 in his last seven starts.
-- Arroyo is 2-4, 6.11 in his last nine starts.
-- Mays is 1-1, 7.59 in his last four starts.
-- Moyer is 0-1, 8.18 in his last two starts. Rogers has a 7.04 RA in his last three starts, has a broken bone in his right pinky and has had a very bad week overall.
-- Ponson is 1-2, 6.03 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 0-3, 10.22 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Over is 7-0-2 in last nine games at Shea Stadium.
-- Over is 16-4 in last twenty Cincinnati home games
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Davis starts, 5-2 in last starts by Fogg.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road tilts stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Petco Park games.
-- Three of Sosa's four starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-5 in last eighteen Dodger games.


-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Detroit games, but 24 runs were scored in first two games of this series.
-- Under is 12-1-2 in last fifteen Halladay starts.
-- Over is 15-4 in last 19 Tampa Bay road games.
-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Oakland games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Safeco games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Ponsons tarts.
-- Six of last nine Angel road games went over total.


Hot teams
-- Marlins won five their last six road games. Mets won seven of their last eleven games overall.
-- Astros won eleven of last fifteen games.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals are 16-7 in their last 23 home games
-- Nationals are 25-6 in their last thirty-one games. .
-- Giants won four of their last five games, all on road.
-- Braves won eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Dodgers are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.


-- Toronto is 4-2 in its last six road games.
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- A's are 17-4 in last twenty-one home games. White Sox won nine of last eleven road games, but are 4-19 in their last 23 games at Oakland. .
-- Indians won ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Angels won twelve of their last fifteen games.


Cold Teams
-- Reds were outscored 51-37 in last 8 games (1-6-1)
-- Pirates are 5-17 in their last twenty-two road games.
-- Colorado is 7-32 on road, outscored 28-2 in the first inning of their road games.
-- Cubs are 3-6 in their last nine games at Wrigley.
-- Padres are 8-12 in their last twenty home games.
-- Phillies lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.


-- Tigers lost six of their last eight games. Bronx is 5-11 in its last sixteen road games.
-- Boston is 3-4 in its last seven Fenway games.
-- Devil Rays lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Rangers are 3-9 in last 12 road games. Seattle lost their last seven games, allowing a total of 45 runs.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost twelve of their last fourteen games.


Umpires
-- Favorite is 4-1 in last five Wolf games. (Fla-NY)
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Culbreth games, with dog winning four of his last five games behind plate. (Hst-Cin)
-- Favorite won last nine McClelland games, with ten of his last thirteen staying under the total. (Pitt-Mil)
-- Umpire Hoye has no trends yet. (Col-StL)
-- Four of last five Joyce games stayed under (Wsh-Chi)
-- Over is 6-3 in Hickox games, with dogs winning four of his last five games behind plate. (SF-SD)
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Wendelstedt games, with the home side winning six of his last seven. (Atl-Phil)
-- Seven of last nine Nauert starts stayed under (Az-LA)

-- Favorite is 9-2 last eleven Carlson games. (NY-Det)
-- Under is 12-2 last fourteen Barksdale tilts (Tor-Bos)
-- Under is 4-0-1 last five Craft games, with home side winning five of his last six games. (TB-Min)
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last 14 Layne games. (Chi-A's)
-- Over is 7-1 last eight Fletcher games, with home side winning his last four games. (Tex-Sea)
-- Danley's last five games all went over total. (Clev-Balt)
-- Visitor won last three Cuzzi games. (LA-KC)