[Tommy]

Thursday, July 14th

National League:

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers, 2:05 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)

Hernandez - 10-1 TSR as an underdog this season
Davis - Milwaukee 5-20 after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base this season

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Mark Redman (L) vs. Mark Prior (R)

Redman - Pittsburgh 12-44 as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Prior - 7-2 TSR vs. Pittsburgh with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.082 WHIP

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Burnett - 1-10 TSR in road night games over the last 2 seasons
Myers - 14-3 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Horacio Ramirez (L) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Ramirez - Atlanta 69-39 after a loss over the last 2 seasons
Benson - Mets 7-22 revenging a shutout loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Brian Lawrence (R)

Vazquez - Arizona 7-0 Under after 7 or more consecutive home games this season
Lawrence - San Diego 10-0 after 6 or more consecutive road games this season

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)

Schmidt - 11-2 TSR in road games after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing since 1997
Penny - Los Angeles 11-1 Over in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)

Contreras - White Sox 26-5 vs. division opponents this season
Millwood - 37-14 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)

Greinke - 0-12 TSR in road night games over the last 2 seasons
Bonderman - 19-12 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)

Mussina - Yankees 14-20 against division opponents this season
Arroyo - 5-1 TSR vs. Yankees with a 7.10 ERA and a 1.610 WHIP

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Ted Lilly (L)

Fossum - Tampa Bay 1-13 as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season
Lilly - Toronto 8-0 Over after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons

Anaheim Angels at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)

Washburn - 8-2 TSR vs. Minnesota with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.030 WHIP
Lohse - Minnesota 7-0 Over off a one run win over a division rival this season

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. Aaron Sele (R)

Cabrera - Baltimore 3-0 vs. Seattle this season
Sele - 7-0 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Rich Harden (R)

Rogers - 20-8 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons
Harden - Oakland 12-3 in home games against left-handed starters this season

[james369]

nice wright up thank you for the info

[naught33]

yeah tommy always gets this great info on trends...don't think ppl in here look at it enough!

[dananderson32]

I DO I DO! LOL than again im the KING FADE!

[Buckery]

Good info Tommy as usual here...

Information is GOOD

B

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Nationals are 13-2 in last 15 Hernandez starts.
-- Prior is 3-1, 2.44 in five Wrigley starts.
-- Burnett is 2-0, 2.25 vs Phillies this year, but Florida is 2-5 in last seven road starts. Phils are 5-1 in Myers' last six home starts.
-- Ramirez is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts.
-- Lawrence has 2.52 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Penny has 2.28 RA in his last four starts.

-- Bonderman is 5-1, 4.17 in his last six starts, 2-0, 1.20 against the Royals this season. .
-- Bronx is 5-1 in last six Mussina starts (4-1, 3.57).
-- Lilly is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
-- Washburn is 2-1, 1.98 in his last six starts. Lohse is
2-1, 2.37 in his last three outings.
-- Cabrera is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts
-- Harden is 3-1, 2.74 since coming off the DL.

Cold pitchers
-- Davis has 5.88 RA in his last six starts.
-- Redman is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five starts.
-- Benson has 5.04 RA in his last four starts.
-- Vazquez is 0-4, 5.67 in his last four starts.
-- Schmidt has 6.35 RA in his last three starts, but is 2-0 3.65 against LA this season.

-- Contreras is 1-3, 7.06 in his last five starts. Millwood is 1-3, 6.00 in his last four starts, but has 1.38 RA in pair of starts vs White Sox this season.
-- Greinke is 0-5, 9.68 in his last seven starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 5.93 in his last five home starts.
-- Fossum is 1-4, 5.89 in his last six starts. Tampa Bay is 0-3 in his home outings.
-- Sele is 0-4, 8.57 in his last four starts.
-- Rogers is 2-2, 5.10 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 Washington games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Prior starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Philadelphia games.
-- Over is 7-1-2 in last 10 games at Shea Stadium
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Arizona road games, 4-1-1 in last six games at Petco Park.
-- Over is 12-5 in last 17 games at Dodger Stadium.

-- White Sox allowed 44 runs in their last seven games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kansas City road games.
-- Under is 14-4-2 in last 20 Bronx road games, 7-3-1 in last 11 games at Fenway.
-- Over is 13-5 in last eighteen Tampa Bay road games.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Metrodome games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Seattle home games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Texas road games.

Hot teams
-- Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight home games.
-- Braves are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.

-- White Sox are 9-3 in last dozen road games.
-- Tigers won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto won five of last seven home games.
-- Angels are 8-3 in their last eleven road games. Twins won five of their last six at the Metrodome.
-- Seattle scored 33 runs in winning last four games.
-- A's are 19-4 in last 23 home games, are 27-11 since Bobby Crosby got healthy.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost four of their last five games.
-- Cubs are 4-10 in home series openers, 3-7 in last ten at home, overall. Pirates lost seven of last nine at home.
-- Phillies lost eight of last twelve home games. Marlins are 2-5 in last seven games, allowing 26 runs in last 3.
-- Mets are 4-7 in last 11 home games, but 11-3 in home series openers.
-- Arizona lost nine of their last thirteen games. Padres lost 12 of their last 21 home games, five of last six home series openers.
-- Giants are 9-17 in last 26 road games. Dodgers lost their last four games and 19 of last 26.

-- Indians lost five of last six games; they're 4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Royals lost eight of last nine road games, and eleven of last twelve road series openers.
-- Bronx is 5-11 in last 16 road games. Boston is 3-5 in their last eight games at Fenway.
-- Devil Rays are 1-11 in last twelve road games.
-- Orioles lost their last seven road games and twelve of their last fourteen away from home.
-- Rangers lost 11 of their last fifteen road games.