[Tommy]

Friday, July 15th

National League:

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Kerry Wood (R)

Fogg - 12-3 TSR after walking 1 hitter or less each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons
Wood - 4-11 TSR in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Brian Moehler (R) vs. Cory Lidle (R)

Moehler - 30-25 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997
Lidle - 8-15 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)

Smoltz - 14-3 Over in July games since 1997
Glavine - 1-8 TSR vs. Mets with an 8.81 ERA and a 1.959

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Jennings - Colorado 3-0 vs. Cincinnati this season
Harang - 1-10 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Ben Sheets (R)

Hernandez - 8-1 TSR as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season
Sheets - 46-22 Under in home games since 1997

Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Mark Mulder (L)

Pettitte - Houston 2-6 vs. St. Louis this season
Mulder - 17-2 TSR after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Woody Williams (R)

Webb - Arizona 39-55 when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons
Williams - 45-16 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Lowry - San Francisco 6-20 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Lowe - 25-9 Over as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons

American League:

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

Garcia - 15-4 TSR in road games in games played on grass over the last 2 seasons
Sabathia - 0-7 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Daniel Carrasco (R) vs. Sean Douglass (R)

Carrasco - Kansas City 17-44 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons
Douglass - Detroit 89-72 Under against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. David Wells (L)

Wang - Yankees 13-22 when the total is 10 or higher this season
Wells - 40-15 TSR after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing since 1997

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)

Hendrickson - Tampa Bay 1-13 as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season
Chacin - 2-0 vs. Tampa Bay with a 2.13 ERA and a 1.026 WHIP

Anaheim Angels at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Brad Radke (R)

Byrd - Angels 27-17 on the road this season
Radke - 9-1 Under against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)

Lopez - 8-1 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons
Pineiro - 3-14 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Barry Zito (L)

Rogers - Texas 5-13 against left-handed starters this season
Zito - 18-3 TSR vs. Texas with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.262 WHIP

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Wood is 1-0, 2.45 in his last two Wrigley starts.
-- Phillies won last three Lidle starts (2-0, 1.64).
-- Smoltz is 5-0, 2.06 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado is 6-3 last nine Jennings starts (4-2, 4.06).
-- Nationals are 13-2 in last fifteen Hernandez starts. Sheets is 2-0, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Pettitte is 3-0, 2.33 in his last four starts, but he left his last start with elbow tightness. Mulder is 2-0, 2.33 in his last three starts. Cards are 5-1 in his last six home starts.
-- WWilliams is 3-0, 3.28 in his last four starts.

-- White Sox won last 4 Garcia road starts (3-0, 3.19).
-- Douglass is 2-0, 3.71 in three starts, all won by road team. Carrasco is 4-2, 3.51 in his last nine starts.
-- Boston is 7-1 in last eight starts by DWells.
-- Angels are 12-3 in last fifteen Byrd starts, winning last five (3-0, 2.39).
-- Zito is 3-0, 1.52 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Fogg is 0-1, 4.95 in his last seven starts. Pirates lost 12 of his last seventeen stsarts.
-- Moehler has 5.24 RA in his last four starts.
-- Glavine is 0-2, 9.00 vs Braves this year, but is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts, all Met wins (Mets 22 runs).
-- Reds lost last seven Harang starts (0-6, 6.12).
-- Webb is 0-3, 5.73 in his last three starts, as Arizona bullpen is so bad, they've left him in too long.
-- Dodgers lost last six Lowe starts (0-4, 7.49). Lowry is 1-3, 5.04 in his last four starts.

-- Sabathia is 1-2, 8.28 in his last five starts.
-- Redding was 0-5, 10.73 in six starts for Padres in '05
-- Tampa Bay lost Nomo's last eight road starts. Chacin is 1-1, 7.33 in his last five starts.
-- Radke is 1-4, 7.56 in his last six starts.
-- Pineiro is 1-3, 5.33 in his last dozen starts. Lopez has 6.75 RA in his last four starts.
-- Rogers is 2-2, 5.10 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Fogg starts.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Philadelphia games.
-- Over is 8-1-2 in last 11 games at Shea Stadium.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati home games went over.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 Washington games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine St Louis home games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven WWilliams starts.
-- Over is 12-6 in last 18 games at Dodger Stadium.

-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Sabathia starts.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Any game with Tim Redding starting must only be considered as an over.
-- Over is 13-6 in last nineteen Tampa Bay road games.
-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Metrodome games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Seattle home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Texas road games.

Hot teams
-- Reds are 14-10 in their last 24 home games.
-- Brewers are 7-2 in their last nine home games.
-- Astros are 18-4 in their last 22 games, 7-3 in their last ten on road. Cardinals won six of their last eight games.

-- White Sox are 10-3 in last thirteen road games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels are 9-3 in their last twelve road games. Twins won five of their last seven at the Metrodome.
-- Seattle won four of their last five games.
-- A's are 20-4 in last 24 home games, are 28-11 since Bobby Crosby got healthy.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs are 4-7 in last eleven at home, overall. Pirates lost eight of last ten on road.
-- Colorado is 4-20 in its last 24 road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of last thirteen home games. Marlins are 2-6 in last eight games, allowing 36 runs in last four.
-- Mets are 5-7 in their last twelve home games.
-- Arizona lost nine of their last fourteen games. Padres lost 13 of their last 22 home games.
-- Giants are 10-17 in last 27 road games. Dodgers lost their last five games and 20 of last 27.

-- Indians lost six of last seven games; they're 4-7 in their last eleven home games.
-- Royals lost eight of last ten road games.
-- Bronx is 6-11 in last 17 road games. Boston is 3-6 in their last nine games at Fenway.
-- Devil Rays are 2-11 in last thirteen road games. Jays allowed 31 runs in their last four games.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last eight road games and twelve of their last fifteen away from home.
-- Rangers lost twelve of their last sixteen road games.

Umpires
-- Visitor is 9-5 in last 14 Poncino games. (Pitt-Chi)
-- Dogs are 9-4 in last 13 TWelke games, with unders
8-1-2 in his last eleven. (Fla-Phil)
-- Dogs are 4-2 in last six Nelson games. (Atl-NY)
-- Dogs are 9-6 in last fifteen Davidson tilts (Wsh-Mil)
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Gibson games, with favorite
7-1 in his last eight behind the plate. (Az-SD)
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Drake games, with dogs winning his last three. (SF-LA)

-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Eddings games. (Chi-Clev)
-- Last four Demuth games stayed under total (KC-Det)
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Winters games (NY-Bos)
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Reynolds games, with dogs 7-2 in his last nine (TB-Tor)
-- Underdog won last four West games. (LA-Min)
-- Dogs are 5-2 in last seven Culbreth games. (Blt-Sea)
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Crawford games (Tex-A's)