[Tommy]

Tuesday, August 2nd

National League:

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)

Zambrano - Cubs 5-15 after a loss by 4 runs or more this season
Padilla - 13-2 Over when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Esteban Loaiza (R)

Weaver - 5-19 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997
Loaiza - 26-8 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Kip Wells (R)

Peavy - 29-8 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons
Wells - 9-1 Under in home games this season

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Jorge Sosa (R) vs. Ramon Ortiz (R)

Sosa - Atlanta 15-27 in road games against right-handed starters this season
Ortiz - 10-0 Over in home games this season

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Tomokazu Ohka (R) vs. Victor Zambrano (R)

Ohka - 9-0 Over as an underdog this season
Zambrano - Mets 13-4 Over vs. Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons

Florida Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Dontrelle Willis (L) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Willis - 18-7 Over in road night games over the last 3 seasons
Carpenter - 24-7 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons

Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Roger Clemens (R) vs. Claudio Vargas (R)

Clemens - 11-2 Under after a loss this season
Vargas - 1-11 TSR at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Jamey Wright (R) vs. Brett Tomko (R)

Wright - 4-17 TSR as an underdog of +150 or less over the last 2 seasons
Tomko - 21-8 Over as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 season

American League:

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)

Hernandez - 10-2 Under in night games this season
Wakefield - 1-6 TSR after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Al Leiter (L) vs. Scott Elarton (R)

Leiter - 6-14 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons
Elarton - 15-5 Under in the second half of the season over the last 2 seas

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Jason Johnson (R)

Moyer - 35-9 Over as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997
Johnson - Detroit 5-19 in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Seth McClung (R) vs. Chris Young (R)

McClung - Tampa Bay 13-38 in road games this season
Young - Texas 8-1 at home vs. Tampa Bay over the last 3 seasons

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Josh Towers (R) vs. Jon Garland (R)

Towers - Texas 18-8 Under as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Garland - 7-2 TSR with 3.28 ERA and 1.243 WHIP vs. Toronto

Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins, 8:10 EST
Danny Haren (R) vs. Joe Mays (R)

Haren - Oakland 20-7 in the second half of the season
Mays - 21-6 Under as a home underdog since 1997

Baltimore Orioles at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Sidney Ponson (R) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)

Ponson - 9-1 TSR with 3.88 ERA and 1.347 WHIP vs. Anaheim
Colon - 15-5 Over when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- CZambrano is 3-0, 1.94 in his last six starts. Padilla is 2-1, 2.61 in his last five starts.
-- Loaiza is 4-1, 3.14 in his last eight starts.
-- Braves won last six Sosa starts (3-0, 2.23). Reds are 5-0 in last five Ortiz starts (3-0, 5.45), scoring 42 runs
-- Carpenter is 7-0, 0.81 in his last eight starts.
-- Vargas is 1-1, 1.71 in his last four starts. Clemens is 5-1, 1.71 in his last nine starts.

-- Hernandez is 3-0, 3.52 in his last four starts.
-- Seattle won last five Moyer starts (3-0, 2.97).
-- Garland is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- A's scored 89 runs in winning last 12 Haren starts, as four of last five went into extra innings.

Cold pitchers
-- Weaver is 2-2, 5.75 in his last seven starts.
-- Ohka is 1-3, 5.86 in his last seven starts. VZambrano is 1-3, 3.63 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 0-3, 6.65 in his last four starts. Peavy is 1-2, 5.11 in his last four starts.
-- Willis is 1-3, 10.35 in his last four starts.
-- Wright is 1-6, 7.50 in his last eight starts. Tomko 1-3, 7.36 in his last seven starts.

-- Wakefield is 1-3, 5.28 in his last four starts.
-- Elarton is 0-2, 4.15 in his last three starts. Leiter is 1-2 4.15 in three starts for Bronx.
-- Johnson is 2-3, 7.33 in his last seven starts.
-- McClung is 1-4, 4.86 in six starts this season. Young is 0-2, 10.62 in his last five starts.
-- Towers has 6.18 RA in his last five starts.
-- Mays is 0-3, 9.64 in his last four starts.
-- Ponson is 0-5, 7.46 in his last seven starts. Colon has a 6.84 RA in his last four starts.


Totals
-- Over is 10-1 in last eleven Cub road contests.
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in Sosa starts this season.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last 13 Milwaukee road games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Pittsburgh games.
-- Over is 12-2 in last 14 Florida road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Arizona games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Colorado road games.

-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Fenway games.
-- Seven of last nine Leiter starts went over the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in last dozen games at Arlington.
-- Last four White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Minnesota home games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Baltimore's last six games.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last ten road games. Phillies are 9-3 in their last dozen home games.
-- Braves allowed 24 runs in winning six of last 7 games. Reds won last five games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Mets won six of last seven home games.
-- Florida is 9-3 in their last twelve games.
-- Arizona won four of last five games, but they're 5-11 in their last sixteen home games. Astros won last seven road games.

-- Red Sox scored 32 runs in winning last five games.
-- Indians won three of last four games, scoring 27 runs. Bronx is 5-2 in its last seven games.
-- Devil Rays won 11 of their last fifteen games. Texas won four of their last five games.
-- A's won eighteen of their last twenty-one games.

Cold Teams
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games. Washington is 5-17 in its last 22 games.
-- Brewers are 1-11 in first game of their last 12 series away from home.
-- Pirates lost five of their last six games. Padres lost 13 of their last fourteen games.
-- Cardinals are 6-7 in their last thirteen games.
-- Colorado is 6-11 in its last seventeen games. Giants are 8-19 in their last 27 home games.

-- Royala allowed 38 runs in losing last five road games.
-- Tigers allowed 31 runs in losing their last four games. Seattle lost five of last six road games.
-- Twins lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of last six on the road.
-- White Sox are 3-7 in their last ten games.
-- Orioles lost twelve of last thirteen games. Angels lost six of their last seven games.