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Old 08-04-05, 12:08 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Lightbulb Thursday 8-4 MLB Trends

Thursday, August 4th

National League:

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets, 12:10 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Davis - Milwaukee 8-3 at New York over the last 3 seasons
Benson - Mets 15-4 Over at home vs. Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons

San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates, 12:35 EST
Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Mark Redman (L)

Lawrence - 5-14 TSR in day games over the last 2 seasons
Redman - 14-4 Under in day games over the last 2 seasons

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies, 1:05 EST
Mark Prior (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Prior - Cubs 7-1 Under at Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons
Myers - 15-3 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants, 3:35 EST
Jose Acevedo (R) vs. Kirk Rueter (L)

Acevedo - Colorado 1-17 in road games vs. left-handed starters this season
Rueter - San Francisco 22-12 Over when the money line is -100 to -150 this season

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Brad Penny (R) vs. John Patterson (R)

Penny - 12-5 TSR with 2.24 ERA and 1.003 WHIP
Patterson - 8-1 Under after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings this season

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Kyle Davies (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Davies - Atlanta 16-27 in road games against right-handed starters this season
Harang - 12-4 Under in night games this season

Florida Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)

Burnett - 2-11 TSR in road night games over the last 2 seasons
Suppan - 25-10 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997

Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Brad Halsey (L)

Rodriguez - Houston 23-7 in the second half of the season this season
Halsey - Arizona 27-54 against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox, 1:05 EST
Daniel Carrasco (R) vs. Matt Clement (R)

Carrasco - Kansas City 40-96 in road games over the last 2 seasons
Clement - Boston 27-2 as a home favorite of -250 to -330 over the last 3 seasons

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers, 1:05 EST
Fernando Hernandez (R) vs. Sean Douglass (R)

Hernandez - Seattle 17-33 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Douglass - Detroit 5-2 Over in last 7

Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins, 1:10 EST
Barry Zito (L) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)

Zito - 39-6 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997
Lohse - 7-0 Under as an underdog this season

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST
Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)

McGowan - Toronto 8-1 Under on Thursday this season
Contreras - 16-4 Under this season

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Shawn Chacon (R) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)

Chacon - 9-27 TSR in the second half of the season since 1997
Millwood - 11-1 Under at home in August since 1997

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Texas Rangers, 8:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Joaquin Benoit (R)

Fossum - Tampa Bay 0-8 as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season
Benoit - Texas 80-54 in home games over the last 2 seasons

**Baltimore Orioles at Anaheim Angels, 4:05 EST
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)

Lopez - Baltimore 7-22 in the second half of the season this season
Santana - Anaheim 31-11 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season
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