[Tommy]

Saturday, August 6th

National League:

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals, 1:20 EST
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)

Hudson - Atlanta 26-8 in road games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more since 1997
Marquis - 6-12 TSR after a win this season

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets, 1:20 EST
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Jae Seo (R)

Maddux - n/a
Seo - n/a

Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants, 4:05 EST
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)

Oswalt - 16-6 Under this season
Lowry - SF 11-6 vs. Houston over the last 3 seasons

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 EST
Odalis Perez (L) vs. Zach Duke (L)

Perez - 12-5 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 since 1997
Duke - Pittsburgh 12-1 Under after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games since 1997

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Jon Lieber (R)

Capuano - Milwaukee 3-13 after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season
Lieber - 42-14 TSR in home games in the second half of the season since 1997

San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Pedro Astascio (R) vs. Ryan Drese (R)

Williams - San Diego 1-13 as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season
Drese - Washington 8-0 Under revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season

Florida Marlins at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Brian Moehler (R) vs. Luke Hudson (R)

Moehler - 0-7 TSR as a road favorite of -110 or higher since 1997
Hudson - Cincinnati 6-1 Under at home vs. Florida over the last 3 seasons

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 EST
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Mike Gosling (L)

Francis - Colorado 1-17 in road games against left-handed starters this season
Gosling - Arizona 8-0 Over off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher over the last 3 seasons

American League:

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers, 4:05 EST
Daniel Cabrera (R) vs. John Wasdin (R)

Cabrera - 17-9 TSR in road games over the last 2 seasons
Wasdin - 6-19 TSR when the total is 10 or higher since 1997

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays, 4:05 EST
Randy Johnson (L) vs. Scott Downs (L)

Johnson - 1-6 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Downs - Toronto 21-7 Under after scoring 2 runs or less this season

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)

Westbrook - 15-30 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997
Bonderman - Detroit 32-16 Under vs. Cleveland over the last 3 seasons

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)

Moyer - 42-14 Over as a road underdog since 1997
Buehrle - 38-13 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins, 7:10 EST
David Wells (L) vs. Johan Santana (L)

Wells - 11-3 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997
Santana - Minnesota 63-39 after scoring 10 runs or more since 1

Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals, 7:10 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Jose Lima (R)

Blanton - Oakland 15-1 as a favorite of -150 or more this season
Lima - KC 1-9 at home vs. Oakland over the last 3 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Chris Bootcheck (R)

Hendrickson - Tampa Bay 1-13 after a one run loss this season
Bootcheck - Anaheim 23-13 Under as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Hudson is 1-1, 3.20 in four starts since coming off DL
-- Seo is 2-1, 1.96 in three starts in April; he was 7-4, 4.29 in 19 starts at AAA level.
-- Oswalt is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 4-0, 0.56 in his last five starts. Perez is 2-0, 3.48 in his last three starts.
-- Capuano is 8-0, 4.00 in his last nine starts.
-- Gosling is 1-0, 2.95 in four starts this season. Francis is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two starts.

-- Johnson is 4-0, 3.76 in his last six starts.
-- Indians scored 23 runs in winning last three starts by Westbrook (3-0, 7.45).
-- Seattle is 9-2 in last eleven Moyer starts; he is 3-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
-- Wells is 3-0, 2.63 in his last four starts. Santana is 3-0 3.12 in his last four starts.
-- Lima is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts. Blanotn has a 1.29 RA in his last two starts.
-- Bootcheck allowed one run in six IP at Bronx in first start of year, game Halos lost 8-7 in extra innings.

Cold pitchers
-- Marquis is 0-3, 7.23 in his last three starts.
-- Maddux is 1-4, 5.11 in his last seven starts.
-- Lowry is 1-4, 3.86 in his last six starts.
-- Lieber is 0-6, 5.11 in his last nine starts.
-- Astacio is 2-10, 6.06 so far this season. Drese is 1-3, 7.85 in his last four starts.
-- LHudson is 1-5, 9.20 in his last seven starts. Moehler is 0-2, 7.00 in his last two starts.

-- Wasdin has 8.82 RA in four starts this season. Orioles lost last four Cabrera starts (0-2, 4.34).
-- Downs lost first start 4-1 vs Texas, allowing pair of runs in five innings.
-- Bonderman is 2-2, 4.18 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-3, 6.39 in his last six starts.
-- Hendrickson has 11.78 RA in his last five starts.


Totals
-- Three of last four THudson starts stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Cub games.
-- Last six Houston road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Duke starts this season.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Milwaukee road games.
-- Seven of last eight Padre games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in last 13 Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Francis starts.

-- Seven of last eight Texas home games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Johnson starts went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Westbrook starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Buehrle starts.
-- Eight of last nine Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Kansas City games.
-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Hendrickson starts.

Hot teams
-- Braves won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Astros won nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Brewers scored 41 runs in winning five of last six tilts -- Reds won six of their last nine games. Marlins won 7 of their last ten games.
-- Rockies are 6-4 in their last ten road games.


-- Orioles are 2-0 under Perlozzo, after losing fourteen of their previous fifteen games.
-- Toronto won seven of last ten home games.
-- Indians won six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox won eight of last nine games.
-- A's won ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Angels won six of last eight home games. Tampa is 13-6 in its last nineteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals are 5-6 in their last eleven home games.
-- Mets lost five of their last eight games. Cubs lost five of their last six games.
-- Giants are 10-21 in their last thirty-one home games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last nine games.
-- Padres lost 17 of their last twenty-six road games. Nationals are 6-15 since All-Star Break.
-- Arizona is 6-14 in its last twenty home games.


-- Texas is 1-8 in its last nine home games.
-- Bronx lost five of its last eight road games.
-- Tigers lost six of their last eight games.
-- White Sox are 5-9 in their last fourteen home games. Seattle lost six of their last eight games.
-- Twins lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Royals allowed 59 runs in losing last eight games.

Umpires
-- Dogs are 4-2 in last six Kulpa games, with visitor 4-0 in his last four behind the plate. (Atl-StL)
-- Under is 11-3-2 in last 14 TWelke games. (Chi-NY)
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Emmel games. (Hst-SF)
-- Under is 5-2-2 last nine Eddings games, with favorite winning his last four games. (LA-Pitt)
-- Over is 11-6 in last 17 Dimuro games. (Mil-Phil)
-- Under is 6-1 last seven Fletcher games. (SD-Wsh)
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Nauert games. (Fla-Cin)
-- Favorite won last nine Bell games. (Col-Az)

-- Favorite is 5-1 in last six Reed games. (Blt-Tex)
-- Under is 5-1 last six Foster games, with dogs 5-2 in his last seven games behind dish. (NY-Tor)
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Nelson games. (Clev-Det)
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Crawford games. (Sea-Chi)
-- 46 runs were scored in last three McClelland games, with favorites 13-2 in his last fiften games. (Bos-Min)
-- Last four Froemming games stayed under. (A's-KC)
-- Dogs are 7-1 in last eight Marsh games, with five of last six staying under total. (TB-LA)