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Old 08-07-05, 09:41 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Wednesday 5 STar Top Total

New York Mets +125
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. VICTOR ZAMBRANO (R)

Everything about this line has struck me as odd. It is obvious the books believe the Mets have a great shot at the + money here with this opening line they posted, especially considering how well Carlos has thrown recently. This game has since been bet up which will give us even more value with the Mets. Victor Zambrano (5-9, 4.19) has hit a tough stretch but prior to that he had allowed three runs or less in 13 straight starts from April 30-July 16. Over his last three he has been smacked around but the Cubs have not exactly been smoking the ball the last week scoring 3.1 RPG and hitting just .239. The Cubs will ask Carlos Zambrano to be flawless again. Suprisingly for as well as he has thrown the Cubs are just 6-6 behind him on the road. The Cubs have been a poor favorite play this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 31-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.4, OPPONENT 4.2. Here is a nice situational trend I like as well. Play Against - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CHICAGO CUBS) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. (73-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.2%, +48.8 units.).

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +113.4
The average score in these games was: Team 4.8, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.2)

The situation's record this season is: (9-6, +5.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-18, +25.8 units).

Play On New York Mets +125 to win 1.25 units.

Buzz

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Old 08-07-05, 11:27 PM   #2 (permalink)
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i agree w you 100% on this one....i think the mets get it done tonight and am on it as well, lets hope they get to carlos early tonight and victor has some control!
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Old 08-08-05, 01:22 AM   #3 (permalink)
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BOL on the Mets Buzz
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Old 08-08-05, 04:31 AM   #4 (permalink)
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easy winner tonight man! great job
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Old 08-08-05, 04:37 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Thanks Guys!!

Going with the Tigers - Blue Jays Over 9 -125 or Over 9.5 depending on what line you can get as my Monday 5 Star Top Total to win 1.75 Units. List Maroth and Bush


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Old 08-09-05, 05:25 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Easy winner here Very nice Buzz!
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Old 08-09-05, 05:43 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Coming Back with the same two teams Tuesday as my 5 Star Top Total

Tigers/Blue Jays Over 9.5 Even Douglass/McGowan Listed.

Blue Jays staff having a rough time and McGowan not likely to give them much more than 5 IP. Douglass not getting past the 5th on the road either and the Tigers bullpen has and ERA well over 5 their last 7 games. Offensive momentum continues Tuesday in this series.

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Old 08-09-05, 06:18 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Old 08-10-05, 03:46 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Lets make it 3 in a row this series

DETROIT (53 - 58) at TORONTO (56 - 55): Play Over 9 +100 5 Star 8/10/2005 6:05:00 PM

NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. GUSTAVO CHACIN (L)(Listed) I will come back with the Tigers/Blue Jays Over the total for the 3rd straight day looking to go 3-0 with 5 Star Top Totals the last 3 days. Both these teams hit LHP. The Tigers .292 and the Jays .296 scoring 5.5 and 5.6 RPG. Robertson has been getting hit hard his last 17 IP giving up 28 hits including 6 HR's and has a WHIP of 1.789 during this period. Chacin has been great for the Blue Jays but has walked 12 over his last 19 IP and his AL WHIP of 1.449 is just above average. DETROIT is 28-11 OVER (+16.0 Units) in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 5.9, OPPONENT 5.5. Just as we said yesterday the Blue Jays pen has been taxed throwing 28 IP over the last week while Detroit bullpen WHIP of 1.79 over their last 20 IP is poor. Play Over 9 Even as Wednesdays 5 Star Top Total to win 1.75 Units

Good luck
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