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Old 08-09-05, 09:11 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Thumbs up Tuesday 8-9 MLB Trends

Tuesday, August 9th

National League:

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Mark Prior (R)

Harang - 14-7 TSR in road games in the second half of the season since 1997
Prior - Cubs 9-1 Over vs. Cincinnati over the last 3 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)

Vazquez - Arizona 0-10 in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite since 1997
Burnett - Florida 6-1 at home vs. Arizona over the last 3 seasons

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Brad Hennessey (R) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)

Hennessey - 6-0 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
Ramirez - Atlanta 14-5 Under after 6 or more consecutive road games this season

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Doug Davis (L)

Suppan - n/a
Davis - n/a

Washington Nationals at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
John Patterson (R) vs. Ezequiel Astacio (R)

Patterson - 8-1 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125 this season
Astacio - Houston 11-0 Under when playing with a day off this season

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Dave Williams (L) vs. Jose Acevedo (R)

Williams - Pittsburgh 21-8 Over after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season
Acevedo - Colorado 12-4 in home games against left-handed starters this season

New York Mets at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Pedro Martinez (R) vs. Chan Ho Park (R)

Martinez - 2-7 TSR as a road favorite of -175 or more over the last 2 seasons
Park - 71-44 TSR after a win since 1997

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Robinson Tejeda (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)

Tejeda - Philadelphia 11-5 vs. Los Angeles over the last 3 seasons
Penny - Penny 22-10 Under when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Shawn Chacon (R)

Contreras - 17-3 Under on a grass field this season
Chacon - 10-27 TSR in the second half of the season since 1997

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Scott Kazmir (L) vs. Erik Bedard (L)

Kazmir - 3-14 TSR after a loss over the last 2 seasons
Bedard - Baltimore 3-0 at home vs. Tampa Bay this season

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Joaquin Benoit (R) vs. Matt Clement (R)

Benoit - 12-5 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997
Clement - Boston 38-19 Over against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Sean Douglass (R) vs. Dustin McGowan (R)

Douglass - Detroit 48-88 a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997
McGowan - Toronto 14-3 on Tuesday this season

Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 EST
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Mike Wood (R)

Lee - 11-2 TSR in road games this season
Wood - Kansas City 5-19 after scoring 1 run or less this seas

Anaheim Angels at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
John Lackey (R) vs. Rich Harden (R)

Lackey - 8-1 TSR as an underdog this season
Harden - Oakland 14-0 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Fernando Hernandez (R)

Lohse - 8-0 Under as an underdog this season
Hernandez - Seattle 76-110 against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons
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Old 08-09-05, 06:42 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot pitchers
-- Burnett is 4-0, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Hennessey is 1-0, 1.29 in his last two starts.
-- EAstacio is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts. Patterson is 2-1, 1.26 in his last seven starts.
-- Martinez is 3-0, 2.83 in his last five starts.
-- Tejeda is 1-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.

-- Chacon is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts for Bronx.
-- Kazmir is 3-0, 3.46 in his last four starts.
-- Texas won Benoit's last three starts.
-- Douglass is 3-1, 4.08 in his last five starts.
-- Indians are 15-5 in Lee's last twenty starts.
-- Harden is 4-0, 2.70 in his last five starts. Lackey is
3-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- 19-year old Hernandez allowed two runs in five IP in his big league debut, at Detroit, a 3-1 loss.

Cold pitchers
-- Prior has 5.55 RA in his last four starts. Reds are 1-5 in Harang's last six road starts.
-- Vazquez is 1-2, 5.26 in his last four starts.
-- Ramirez is 1-2, 5.26 in his last four starts.
-- Davis is 0-0, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Acevedo is 1-1, 4.80 in three starts this season. In his last seven starts, DWilliams is 2-3, 6.62.
-- Park is 0-4, 7.01 in his last five starts.
-- Penny is 0-2, 5.25 in his last four starts.

-- Bedard is 0-3, 8.22 in his last three starts.
-- Clement has 9.20 RA in his last six starts.
-- Contreras is 1-1, 7.54 in his last four starts.
-- McGowan is 0-0, 4.50 in his two starts. for Toronto.
-- Wood makes first start of year for Royals; he is 3-4, 4.03 in 60.2 IP in relief this season.
-- Lohse is 0-5, 5.03 in his last six starts.


Totals
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Wrigley games, 9-2-1 in last twelve Harang outings. .
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Vazquez starts, 5-0 in last five Florida home games. .
-- Over is 7-3 in Milwaukee's last ten games, 5-0 in last five St Louis road games. .
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Colorado home games.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten games at Minute Maid.
-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen DWilliams starts.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Met road games.
-- Five of last six Dodger home games went over.

-- Under is 9-4 in Bedard starts this season.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Fenway Park games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six White Sox road games.
-- Five of last six Detroit road games went over total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Cleveland road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in Minnesota's last seven games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Reds won their last six road games.
-- Arizona won four of last five road games.
-- Braves are 14-3 in their last seventeen home games. Giants are 10-7 in last seventeen road games.
-- Astros are 21-3 in last twenty-four home games.
-- Rockies won seven of last nine games.
-- Brewers won six of their last nine games. St Louis is 13-6 in its last nineteen road games.
-- Padres won five of last six games, but are 1-8 in last nine home series openers.
-- Phillies won three of last four road games.

-- Red Sox won ten of last 12 games, nine in a row at Fenway Park. Texas won six of its last eight road tilts.
-- White Sox are 18-6 in last 24 road games. Bronx is 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Indians won eight of their last ten games.
-- A's are 28-7 in their last thirty-five home games.
-- Seattle is 6-4 in its last ten home games.

Cold Teams
-- Woeful Cubs lost last six games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Florida lost three of last four games, including twinbill in Denver Monday, and is 8-10 in last 18 home games.
-- Nationals lost ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Pirates lost nine of last twelve games.
-- Mets lost seven of last ten road games.
-- Dodgers are 4-7 in their last eleven games.

-- Orioles lost sixteen of their last nineteen games. Rays lost three of their last four games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Royals allowed 86 runs in losing last ten games.
-- Minnesota lost thirteen of its last seventeen games.
-- Angels lost five of their last six road games.
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