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Old 08-10-05, 07:26 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Exclamation Wednesday 8-10 MLB Baseball Trends

Wednesday, August 10th

National League:

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers, 2:05 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Ben Sheets (R)

Suppan - 24-11 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
Sheets - 4-18 TSR when playing on Wednesday since 1997

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Eric Milton (L) vs. Rich Hill (L)

Milton - 27-14 TSR in road games against division opponents since 1997
Hill - Cubs 10-1 Over vs. Cincinnati over the last 3 seasons

Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Brad Halsey (L) vs. Jason Vargas (L)

Halsey - Arizona 1-7 at Florida over the last 3 seasons
Vargas - Florida 41-28 Over in night games this season

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves, 7:05 EST
Kevin Correia (R) vs. Kyle Davies (R)

Correia - San Francisco 2-6 at Atlanta over tbe last 3 seasons
Davies - Atlanta 21-2 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season

Washington Nationals at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)

Hernandez - 6-0 TSR on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this se
Rodriguez - Houston 46-28 Under in night games this season

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Mark Redman (L) vs. Aaron Cook (R)

Redman - 19-6 Over on Wednesday since 1997
Cook - Colorado 12-4 in home games against left-handed starters this season.

New York Mets at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Kris Benson (R) vs. Brian Lawrence (R)

Benson - 26-7 Under in road games in the second half of the season since 1997
Lawrence - 8-15 TSR in all games this season

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Brett Myers (R) vs. Derek Lowe (R)

Myers - 9-0 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season
Lowe - Los Angeles 5-12 vs. Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons

American League:

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees, 1:05 EST
Freddy Garcia (R) vs. Aaron Small (R)

Garcia - 9-1 TSR in road day games over the last 2 seasons
Small - Yankees 19-26 when the total is 10 or higher this season

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Rodrigo Lopez (R)

Fossum - 17-7 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons
Lopez - 13-4 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)

Rogers - Texas 8-0 Over in August
Arroyo - Boston 9-2 at home vs. Texas over the last 3 seasons

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays, 7:05 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)

Robertson - 21-9 Over in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons
Chacin - 12-6 TSR in night games this season

Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 EST
C.C. Sabathia (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

Sabathia - Cleveland 34-25 in road games this season
Greinke - 5-18 TSR this season

Anaheim Angels at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)

Santana - Anaheim 11-1 Over on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 3 seasons
Zito - 13-0 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Brad Radke (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)

Radke - 10-1 Under against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons
Pineiro - 3-16 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons
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Old 08-10-05, 08:51 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Hot pitchers
-- Sheets is 3-0, 1.44 in his last three starts. Suppan 3-1, 4.37 in his last six starts.
-- Halsey is 3-0, 1.75 in his last four starts. Vargas is 1-0 3.18 in his first two starts this season.
-- Lowe is 3-1, 3.46 in his last four starts; LA scored 30 runs in those four games. Myers is 4-0, 4.35 his last five starts.

-- Small is 3-0, 3.38 in three starts, as he has come up big for Bronx since his recall from Columbus.
-- Lopez is 3-1, 4.76 in his last six starts. Fossum is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 5-1, 2.97 in his last six starts.
-- Zito is 8-0, 2.33 in his last eight starts.
-- Radke is 1-1, 2.33 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Milton has 6.07 RA in his last five starts. Hill is 0-1, 8.03 in his first three big league starts.
-- Davies has 5.40 RA in hi slast three starts. Correia is 1-2, 5.13 in five starts this season.
-- Rodriguez has 6.67 RA in his last five starts. Nats are 1-5 in last six Hernandez starts (1-2, 3.71).
-- Cook has 6.97 RA in his first two '05 starts. Redman is 1-8, 7.71 in his last ten starts.
-- Benson is 0-1, 9.90 in his last two starts. Lawrence has 6.35 RA in his last three starts; Padres scored 12 runs in his last start, after scoring total of four runs in his previous six outings.

-- Garcia has 6.11 RA in his last four starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 8.15 in his last three starts. Rogers is making first start since July 26; he has 4.67 RA in his last four starts.
-- Robertson is 0-3, 9.35 in his last three starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-5, 8.80 in his last six starts. Greinke is
0-2, 9.60 in his last three starts.
-- ESantana is 2-2, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- Pineiro is 1-4, 7.57 in his last five starts.


Totals
-- Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee's last 11 games, 5-1 in last six St Louis road games.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine Wrigley games.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Halsey starts, 6-0 in last six Florida home games.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Davies starts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Colorado home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven games at Minute Maid.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Met road games.
-- Six of last seven Dodger home games went over.

-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Garcia starts.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Fenway Park games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Fossum starts.
-- Six of last seven Detroit road games went over total.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Cleveland road games.
-- Under is 7-1 in Minnesota's last eight games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Angel games.

Hot teams
-- St Louis is 14-6 in its last twenty road games.
-- Reds won their last seven road games.
-- Florida won five of last six home games.
-- Braves are 15-3 in their last eighteen home games.
-- Rockies won seven of last ten games; they're 7-2 in second game of home series, if they lost opener.
-- Padres won six of last seven games, and five in row.
-- Phillies won four of last five road games.

-- White Sox are 19-6 in last 25 road games. Bronx is 11-4 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Red Sox won 11 of last 13 games, ten in a row at Fenway Park. Texas won six of its last nine road tilts.
-- Indians won nine of their last eleven games.
-- A's are 28-8 in their last thirty-six home games.
-- Seattle is 7-4 in its last eleven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost three of their last four games.
-- Woeful Cubs lost last seven games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Arizona lost five of last seven games.
-- Giants were outscored 19-3 losing last three on road.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games. Nationals lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Pirates lost nine of last thirteen games.
-- Mets lost eight of last eleven road games.
-- Dodgers are 4-8 in their last twelve games.

-- Orioles lost sixteen of their last twenty games. Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Tigers lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Royals allowed 99 runs in losing last eleven games; in last night's loss, they had 7-2 lead in ninth, and allowed 11 runs in hideous 13-7 loss. .
-- Minnesota lost fourteen of its last eighteen games.
-- Angels lost five of their last seven road games.

Umpires
-- Over is 3-1 in last four Fairchild games. (StL-Mil)
-- Five of last seven Reed games went over, with faves 6-1 in his those seven games. (Cin-Chi)
-- Favorite is 5-1 in last six Hickox games, with over 5-2 in his last seven games behind the dish. (Az-Fla)
-- I have no trends for umpire Kellogg. (SF-Atl)
-- Underdog won last three Hirschbeck tilts. (Wsh-Hst)
-- Dog won four of last five Diaz games. (Pitt-Col)
-- Favorite won last six Young games, with seven of his last ten staying under total. (NY-SD)
-- Three of last four Layne games stayed under.(Phil-LA)

-- Four of last five Froemming tilts went under (Chi-NY)
-- Over is 4-1 in last five Davis games. (TB-Blt)
-- Dog is 7-6 in last thirteen Brinkman games. (Tex-Bos)
-- Favorite is 14-2 in last 16 McClelland tilts (Det-Tor)
-- Favorite is 17-5 in last 22 Tschida games. (Clv-KC)
-- Home side is 13-2 in last 15 Gorman games (LA-A's)
-- Favorite won last eight Holbrook games. (Min-Sea)
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