[Tommy]

Monday, August 15th

National League:

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Hernandez - Washington 7-18 at Philadelphia over the last 3 seasons
Myers - 14-3 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher this season

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Kevin Correia (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

Correia - San Francisco 11-6 after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR this season
Harang - Cincinnati 17-3 Over in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season

Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Glendon Rusch (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)

Rusch - 6-8 TSR with 3.78 ERA and 1.341 WHIP vs. Astros
Rodriguez - Houston 28-10 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Ben Sheets (R) vs. Aaron Cook (R)

Sheets - Milwaukee 3-0 vs. Colorado this season
Cook - Colorado 35-73 as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons

American League:

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Sean Douglass (R)

Arroyo - Boston 9-1 Over in August
Douglass - Detroit 9-1 after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Jaret Wright (R) vs. Casey Fossum (L)

Wright - Yankees 13-20 as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Fossum - Tampa Bay 7-3 vs. Yankees this season

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)

Lohse - 9-0 Under as an underdog this season
Contreras - 18-4 Under in all games this season

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)

Lopez - Baltimore 0-10 at Oakland over the last 3 seasons
Zito - 29-4 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Fernando Hernandez (R)

Hernandez - KC 4-18 Monday over the last 2 seasons
Hernandez - Seattle 6-2 at home vs. KC over the last 3 seasons

Toronto Blue Jays at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Gustavo Chacin (L) vs. Ervin Santana (R)

Chacin - 9-2 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season
Santana - Anaheim 6-15 vs. Toronto over the last 3 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Phillies won last six Myers' starts (4-0, 4.74).
-- Harang is 4-2, 3.35 in his last six starts.
-- Astros are 7-2 in last nine Rodriguez starts.
-- Sheets is 3-1, 1.85 in his last four starts.

-- White Sox won last four Contreras starts (2-0, 4.70)
-- Oakland won last nine Zito starts (8-0, 2.39).
-- Teen sensation FHernandez is 1-1, 1.38 in two starts.
-- ESantana has 2.79 RA in his last three starts. jays are 6-1 in last seven Chacin starts (3-1, 2.25 in last five).

Cold pitchers
-- Washington lost six of last seven Hernandez starts.
-- Correia is 0-2, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- Rusch is 0-2, 6.65 in his last four starts.
-- Cook is 0-1, 6.48 in three starts this season.

-- Arroyo is 2-2, 7.20 in his last four starts. Douglass is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.
-- Wright makes first start since 4/22; he was 2-2, 10.07 before he went on DL. Fossum is 0-1, 12.54 in his last two starts.
-- Lohse is 0-4, 4.13 in his last four starts.
-- RHernandez is 0-1, 10.38 in his last three starts.
-- Lopez has 8.40 RA in his last three starts, but won the last two.

Totals
-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen starts by Myers.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven San Francisco road tilts.
-- Under is 6-2 in Rusch's last eight starts.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Coors Field.

-- Last three Arroyo starts all went over.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Fossum starts.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Comiskey Park games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Royal road games.
-- Seven of last eight Angel games went over total.
-- Six of last nine Oriole road games stayed under.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won five of their last six games. Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven road games.
-- Reds won five of their last six games.
-- Cubs just won three of four from Cardinals; they are 8-5 in last thirteen road games.

-- Red Sox won their last six games in a row.
-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games. Devil Rays just swept three-game series in Cleveland; they're 8-2 in last ten home games, and have third-best record in AL since the All-Star Game.
-- Twins won three of their last four games.
-- A's are 11-5 at home since All-Star Break.
-- Angels are 7-3 in their last ten home games. Toronto won five of its last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Giants are 2-6 in their last eight road games.
-- Astros were shut out last two days, by Kip Wells and Dave Williams-- not good.
-- Rockies scored seven runs in losing last four games. Brewers lost five of their last six games.

-- Tigers lost six of last seven home series openers.
-- White Sox are just 12-12 in their last 24 games.
-- Royals lost twinbill Sunday and 15 in row overall. M's allowed 32 runs in losing their last four games.
-- Orioles lost nine of last twelve on road.