[Tommy]

Tuesday, August 16th

National League:

San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins, 7:05 EST
Brian Lawrence (R) vs. Jason Vargas (L)

Lawrence - 7-16 TSR in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons
Vargas - Florida 16-4 Over revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 EST
Ryan Drese (R) vs. Cory Lidle (R)

Drese - 13-4 Over in road night games over the last 2 seasons
Lidle - 5-0 TSR with 2.57 ERA and 0.971 WHIP vs. Washington

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets, 7:10 EST
Mark Redman (L) vs. Kris Benson (R)

Redman - Pittsburgh 0-9 after a win by 6 runs or more this season
Benson - Mets 11-4 after 6 or more consecutive road games this s

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds, 7:10 EST
Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Eric Milton (L)

Schmidt - 19-2 TSR on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons
Milton - Cincinnati 23-13 Over as a home underdog this season

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. John Smoltz (R)

Lowe - Los Angeles 3-22 as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Smoltz - 31-6 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997

Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Andy Pettitte (L)

Maddux - 27-30 TSR in road games vs. division opponents since 1997
Pettitte - 68-29 TSR against division opponents since 1997

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Brad Halsey (L) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)

Halsey - Arizona 5-1 Under at St. Louis over the last 3 seasons
Suppan - St. Louis 15-0 revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season

Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Victor Santos (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)

Santos - 11-3 Under in night games this season
Francis - 0-1 TSR with 10.13 ERA and 2.064 WHIP vs. Brewers this season

[b]American League:]/b]

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers, 7:05 EST
Jon Papelbon (R) vs. Nate Robertson (L)

Papelbon - Boston 17-4 vs. Detroit over the last 3 seasons
Robertson - 0-2 TSR with 8.38 ERA and 2.482 WHIP vs. Boston

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)

Rogers - 23-5 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
Sabathia - Cleveland 3-12 in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays, 7:15 EST
Randy Johnson (L) vs. Doug Waechter (R)

Johnson - 1-7 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or more this season
Waechter - Tampa Bay 7-4 vs. Yankees this season

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Brad Radke (R) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)

Radke - 32-12 TSR on Tuesday since 1997
Garcia - 6-12 TSR in home night games over the last 2 seasons

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Bruce Chen (L) vs. Joe Blanton (R)

Chen - Baltimore 4-16 vs. Oakland over the last 3 seasons
Blanton - Oakland 16-3 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)

Greinke - 2-13 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Pineiro - 2-0 TSR with 0.00 ERA and 0.429 WHIP vs. Royals

Toronto Blue Jays at Anaheim Angels, 10:05 EST
Scott Downs (L) vs. Paul Byrd (R)

Downs - Toronto 15-3 on Tuesday this season
Byrd - 10-2 Under as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons

[Tommy]

Hot pitchers
-- Vargas is 2-0, 2.76 in three starts for the Marlins.
-- Schmidt is 3-1, 2.63 in his last six starts.
-- Milton is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Braves are 10-1 in Smoltz's last eleven starts.
-- Pettitte is 5-1, 1.29 in his last seven starts.
-- Suppan is 4-1, 3.61 in his last seven starts.
-- Halsey is 3-1, 3.26 in his last five starts.

-- Chen is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- White Sox are 13-3 in Garcia's last 16 starts. Radke is 1-1, 2.65 in Radke's last five starts.
-- Blanton is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lawrence is 1-6, 5.83 in his last eight starts.
-- Drese is 0-5, 8.76 in his last five starts.
-- Lidle is 1-4, 9.20 in his last six starts.
-- Former Pirate Benson makes first start vs his former team; he is 1-1, 5.89 in his last three starts. Pirates lost ten of Redman's last eleven starts.
-- Lowe is 1-1, 6.88 in his last three starts.
-- Maddux is 1-3, 4.39 in his last six starts.
-- Francis has 7.39 RA in his last three starts; Rockies scored 27 runs in winning his last three outings. Brewers are 4-13 in last seventeen Santos starts.

-- Papelbon allowed three runs in five IP in his first start, a game Red Sox bullpen won, 4-3. Tigers lost last four Robertson starts (0-3, 7.77)
-- Sabathia is 2-5, 7.34 in his last seven starts. Rogers is 0-1, 6.50 in his last three starts.
-- Johnson is 0-1, 9.53 in his last two starts; he missed his last start with a bad back. Waechter is 0-2, 6.23 in his last two starts.
-- Greinke is 0-3, 8.85 in his last four starts. Pineiro is
1-4, 6.43 in his last six starts.
-- Byrd is 0-2, 6.55 in his last five starts. Downs is 1-1, 3.94 in three starts this season.

Totals
-- Under is 10-1 in Florida's last 11 home games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Philly home games.
-- Seven of last nine games at Shea went over the total.
-- Eight of last 12 Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight San Francisco road tilts.
-- 12 of last 16 Cub road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight games at Coors Field.

-- Last seven Boston games all went over the total.
-- Over is 12-0-1 in last thirteen Ranger games.
-- Four of last five Bronx road games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Comiskey Park games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Baltimore games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Royal road games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won eight of last eleven home games. Padres won five of their last six road games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games. Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
-- Mets are 10-3 in last thirteen home games. Pirates are 3-1 in last four games, not allowing run in last two tilts.
-- Reds won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. LA won six of its last seven series openers.
-- Astros are 25-6 in last 31 home games, 4-4 last eight.

-- Tigers won their last three games, all by a run or extra inning game.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Devil Rays are 8-3 in last eleven home games, and are 18-12 since All-Star Break.
-- Twins won four of their last five games.
-- Orioles won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels are 7-3 in their last ten home games. Toronto won five of its last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Giants are 3-6 in their last nine road games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Arizona lost eight of their last twelve games. St Louis is 6-8 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Rockies lost four of last five games. Brewers lost six of their last seven games.

-- Red Sox are 6-9 in last fifteen road games.
-- Indians lost their last four home games. Texas lost its last eight road games in row, allowing 75 runs.
-- White Sox are just 6-11 in their last 17 home games.
-- A's scored eight runs in losing three of last four games. Orioles lost nine of last thirteen on road.
-- Royals lost their last sixteen games. Mariners lost four of their last five games.